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Trieste vs Scafati Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 88-75
17-24 22-10 26-23 23-18
Position#6
Record12-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game83.7
Trieste 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#15
Record6-14
FormLLWWL
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game92.8
ItalyLega ARound 21· PalaTrieste
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Trieste v Scafati
10 Jan 2027
TRI v SKA
upcoming
09 Mar 2025
TRI88
SKA75
08 Jan 2023
TRI64
SKA59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Scafati winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Venezia
#8
L
70-76
70
76
-6
60avg 78
H29/12
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
110-107 OT
110
107
+3
96avg 78
A05/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
80-75
80
75
+5
74avg 78
H12/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
96-81
96
81
+15
95avg 78
A18/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
74-87
74
87
-13
69avg 78
A26/01
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
86-72
86
72
+14
82avg 78
H01/02
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
90-93
90
93
-3
78avg 78
A09/02
Lega A
Trapani
#5
W
74-72
74
72
+2
63avg 78
A13/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#1
L
79-82
79
82
-3
77avg 78
A15/02
Italian Cup
Treviso
#11
W
85-73
85
73
+12
79avg 78
H02/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
18-20
22-23
13-18
17-31
30-23
23-22
24-18
22-21
25-15
17-18
16-21
30-13
21-20
25-25
20-23
23-25
23-21
22-26
6-15
26-23
18-12
17-17
25-20
23-29
24-21
21-17
22-26
15-20
23-13
18-20
18-19
13-23
20-15
25-21
21-23
18-18
27-15
20-18
20-22
166.2Avg total
84.4Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)86.283.7169.9+2.560%
Season at home (10)84.680.2164.8+4.460%
Season away (10)87.987.2175.1+0.760%
Last 10 (10)84.481.8166.2+2.660%
Last 5 (5)82.878.4161.2+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)83.383.3166.7+0.033%
vs Similar (18)79.875.5155.3+4.361%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)93.986.9180.8+7.088%
This opponent (Scafati) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormScafati
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
107-102 OT
107
102
+5
85avg 77
H14/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
L
94-96 OT
94
96
-2
92avg 77
A22/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
71-97
71
97
-26
57avg 77
A29/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
107-110 OT
107
110
-3
98avg 77
H05/01
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
94-99
94
99
-5
86avg 77
A11/01
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
66-83
66
83
-17
56avg 77
H19/01
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
85-88 OT
85
88
-3
65avg 77
A26/01
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
98-82
98
82
+16
95avg 77
H02/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
91-89
91
89
+2
84avg 77
A08/02
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
92-96 OT
92
96
-4
79avg 77
H02/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
16-23
28-24
17-14
19-22
19-24
19-18
25-18
14-21
22-22
16-31
19-23
31-17
23-30
22-23
18-24
27-24
23-23
30-23
14-29
14-26
12-23
19-13
21-21
23-26
18-14
15-21
18-13
26-14
24-26
22-25
26-17
23-24
22-30
24-18
22-17
17-27
25-18
23-19
19-20
184.7Avg total
90.5Scored
94.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)87.592.8180.3-5.330%
Season at home (10)93.093.2186.2-0.240%
Season away (10)82.092.5174.5-10.520%
Last 10 (10)90.594.2184.7-3.730%
Last 5 (5)86.487.6174.0-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)82.792.7175.5-10.016%
vs Similar (11)89.090.5179.5-1.545%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.3+0.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.3+0.3
TriesteScafati
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#8
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H29/12
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A05/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H12/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A18/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A26/01
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H01/02
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A09/02
Lega A
Trapani
#5
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A13/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#1
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A15/02
Italian Cup
Treviso
#11
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H02/03
Lega A
82.6Avg total
43.3Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.639.181.7+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.437.379.6+5.171%-
Last 30 away (16)42.840.883.5+2.050%-
Last 10 (10)43.339.382.6+4.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.437.879.2+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.340.079.3-0.733%-
vs Similar (18)41.737.779.4+4.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)46.242.989.1+3.450%-
This opponent (Scafati) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H14/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A22/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A29/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H05/01
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A11/01
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
26-49
26
49
-23
H19/01
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A26/01
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H02/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A08/02
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H02/03
Lega A
87.6Avg total
42.0Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.744.687.3-1.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.145.189.2-0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)41.344.185.5-2.847%-
Last 10 (10)42.045.687.6-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.845.686.4-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)42.343.785.9-1.453%-
vs Similar (11)43.546.289.7-2.645%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.418.5
53.8%
52.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.811.4
35.8%
35.8%34.2
🏀 Free throws17.812.7
71.3%
76.8%12.7
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Scafatitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Scafati: 89.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.621.4
50.2%
52.9%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.0
35.9%
35.8%27.0
🏀 Free throws25.619.9
77.7%
76.8%19.9
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
WLWLWLWWWL
Scafati
LWWLLLLLLW
#6
League position
#15
+4.5
Net rating
-4.1
111.6
Offensive rating
111.4
107.1
Defensive rating
115.5
53.8%
Effective FG%
51.6%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
17.4%
Turnover %
14.9%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.38
35.8%
3-point %
35.9%
57.5%
Assist %
50.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 111.4Defence107.1 · 115.5Shooting53.8% · 51.6%3-point %35.8% · 35.9%Ball care17.4% · 14.9%Off. rebounds31.8% · 25.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Trieste   ■ Scafati
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Trieste wins
1
Scafati wins
DateGameScore
05/01/25Scafati v Trieste107-110 OT
25/03/23Scafati v Trieste93-85
08/01/23Trieste v Scafati64-59
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25HTreviso85-73
15/02/25ATrento79-82
13/02/25ATrapani74-72
09/02/25ABrescia90-93
01/02/25HTortona86-72
26/01/25AOlimpia Milano74-87
18/01/25AReggiana96-81
12/01/25HPistoia80-75
05/01/25AScafati110-107 OT
29/12/24HVenezia70-76
Scafatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25HVenezia92-96 OT
08/02/25APistoia91-89
02/02/25HSassari98-82
26/01/25ACremona85-88 OT
19/01/25HTrapani66-83
11/01/25ATortona94-99
05/01/25HTrieste107-110 OT
29/12/24AVirtus Bologna71-97
22/12/24ABasket Napoli94-96 OT
14/12/24HPistoia107-102 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeWLWWW60%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game86.284.687.9
Allowed / game83.780.287.2
Point differential+2.5+4.4+0.7
Avg total169.9164.8175.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%30%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Scafati
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL30%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game87.593.082.0
Allowed / game92.893.292.5
Point differential-5.3-0.2-10.5
Avg total180.3186.2174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)20% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %25%30%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia2116576%92.086.0+6.0
2 Virtus Bologna2015575%85.077.9+7.1
3 Trento2015575%88.382.7+5.7
4 Trapani2115671%92.783.6+9.1
5 Olimpia Milano2114767%89.184.6+4.5
6 Reggiana2113862%81.277.9+3.3
7 Trieste2012860%86.283.7+2.5
8 Tortona2112957%85.585.3+0.2
9 Venezia21111052%80.278.4+1.8
10 Treviso2181338%85.188.0-2.9
11 Sassari2171433%80.384.8-4.5
12 Scafati2061430%87.592.8-5.3
13 Cremona2161529%77.282.1-5.0
14 Varese2161529%88.598.7-10.2
15 Basket Napoli2151624%81.986.9-5.0
16 Pistoia2151624%82.288.9-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste1722262388
Scafati2410231875
← all games of the day
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