PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Olimpia Milano vs Trieste Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 87-74
25-23 21-23 26-22 15-6
Position#5
Record10-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Position#6
Record10-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game84.3
ItalyLega ARound 17· Unipol Forum
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Trieste
27 Sep 2026
MIL83
TRI79
03 May 2026
MIL86
TRI78
26 Jan 2025
MIL87
TRI74
20 Nov 2022
MIL98
TRI81
13 Mar 2022
MIL102
TRI84
31 Jan 2021
MIL81
TRI100
06 Oct 2019
MIL88
TRI73
12 May 2019
MIL93
TRI88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#2
L
83-84
83
84
-1
82avg 79
H26/12
Euroleague
Treviso
#11
W
89-79
89
79
+10
86avg 79
A29/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
75-66
75
66
+9
68avg 79
A02/01
Euroleague
Pistoia
#16
W
115-82
115
82
+33
117avg 79
A05/01
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
107-74
107
74
+33
106avg 79
A09/01
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
108-106
108
106
+2
102avg 79
H12/01
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
W
100-68
100
68
+32
103avg 79
H14/01
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
70-90
70
90
-20
59avg 79
H16/01
Euroleague
Venezia
#8
L
72-85
72
85
-13
60avg 79
A19/01
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
66-110
66
110
-44
55avg 79
A23/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
21-22
20-23
23-20
24-20
25-16
23-24
17-19
19-19
17-13
15-19
24-15
27-19
25-25
35-21
28-17
20-14
25-23
33-17
29-20
28-29
27-22
29-25
24-30
23-19
24-24
31-10
22-15
17-17
23-20
18-27
12-26
22-21
21-28
19-18
10-18
9-24
22-32
17-31
18-23
172.9Avg total
88.5Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)88.685.8174.3+2.862%
Season at home (8)92.087.0179.0+5.075%
Season away (8)85.184.5169.6+0.650%
Last 10 (10)88.584.4172.9+4.160%
Last 5 (5)83.291.8175.0-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)81.692.6174.2-11.040%
vs Similar ◀ (16)85.182.9168.0+2.262%
vs Weaker (9)98.188.6186.7+9.667%
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Trento
#4
L
68-76
68
76
-8
57avg 77
A09/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
93-98
93
98
-5
90avg 77
H17/11
Lega A
Sassari
#10
L
86-98
86
98
-12
83avg 77
A01/12
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
65-69
65
69
-4
52avg 77
H08/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
78-70
78
70
+8
70avg 77
A15/12
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
91-83
91
83
+8
86avg 77
H21/12
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
70-76
70
76
-6
60avg 77
H29/12
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
110-107 OT
110
107
+3
96avg 77
A05/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
80-75
80
75
+5
74avg 77
H12/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
96-81
96
81
+15
95avg 77
A18/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
6-23
25-14
18-16
20-23
25-27
20-22
28-26
27-27
21-22
22-24
16-25
17-14
9-21
8-18
31-16
14-17
26-15
14-23
24-15
23-17
16-19
27-22
25-25
17-15
18-20
22-23
13-18
17-31
30-23
23-22
24-18
22-21
25-15
17-18
16-21
30-13
21-20
25-25
20-23
167.0Avg total
83.7Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)86.984.3171.2+2.662%
Season at home (8)84.482.1166.5+2.250%
Season away (8)89.486.5175.9+2.975%
Last 10 (10)83.783.3167.0+0.450%
Last 5 (5)89.484.4173.8+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.383.0164.3-1.733%
vs Similar ◀ (18)80.475.2155.7+5.272%
vs Weaker (9)94.885.0179.8+9.878%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.2+1.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.2+1.2
Olimpia MilanoTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H26/12
Euroleague
Treviso
#11
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A29/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A02/01
Euroleague
Pistoia
#16
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A05/01
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A09/01
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H12/01
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H14/01
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H16/01
Euroleague
Venezia
#8
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A19/01
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A23/01
Euroleague
86.4Avg total
43.8Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.643.587.2+0.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.542.286.7+2.373%-
Last 30 away (15)42.744.987.6-2.147%-
Last 10 (10)43.842.686.4+1.270%-
Last 5 (5)43.247.290.4-4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.447.886.2-9.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)42.941.684.4+1.362%-
vs Weaker (9)47.944.792.6+3.278%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#4
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A09/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H17/11
Lega A
Sassari
#10
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A01/12
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H08/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A15/12
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H21/12
Lega A
Venezia
#8
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H29/12
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A05/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H12/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A18/01
Lega A
80.9Avg total
40.3Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.238.781.9+4.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.536.780.2+6.864%-
Last 30 away (16)42.940.483.3+2.456%-
Last 10 (10)40.340.680.9-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)43.838.882.6+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.040.780.7-0.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)41.437.278.6+4.272%-
vs Weaker (9)47.841.188.9+6.744%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.217.9
55.6%
52.9%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.711.5
43.1%
35.8%34.5
🏀 Free throws21.017.2
81.9%
76.8%17.2
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.016.8
54.2%
52.9%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.612.1
35.0%
35.8%36.3
🏀 Free throws18.613.2
71.0%
76.8%13.2
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LLLWWWWWWL
Trieste
WWWLWWLLLL
#5
League position
#6
+5.2
Net rating
+1.1
123.0
Offensive rating
113.0
117.8
Defensive rating
111.9
59.7%
Effective FG%
53.3%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
15.6%
Turnover %
18.1%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
36.6%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.28
43.1%
3-point %
35.0%
58.2%
Assist %
56.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence123.0 · 113.0Defence117.8 · 111.9Shooting59.7% · 53.3%3-point %43.1% · 35.0%Ball care15.6% · 18.1%Off. rebounds28.2% · 36.6%Free throws0.36 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Olimpia Milano wins
3
Trieste wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/25AAnadolu Efes66-110
19/01/25AVenezia72-85
16/01/25HPartizan70-90
14/01/25HAlba Berlin100-68
12/01/25HReggiana108-106
09/01/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv107-74
05/01/25APistoia115-82
02/01/25ALyon-Villeurbanne75-66
29/12/24ATreviso89-79
26/12/24HOlympiacos83-84
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25AReggiana96-81
12/01/25HPistoia80-75
05/01/25AScafati110-107 OT
29/12/24HVenezia70-76
21/12/24HCremona91-83
15/12/24AVirtus Bologna78-70
08/12/24HBrescia65-69
01/12/24ASassari86-98
17/11/24HTrapani93-98
09/11/24ATrento68-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL62%
HomeWLLWW75%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game88.692.085.1
Allowed / game85.887.084.5
Point differential+2.8+5.0+0.6
Avg total174.3179.0169.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%25%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trieste
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW62%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayLLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game86.984.489.4
Allowed / game84.382.186.5
Point differential+2.6+2.2+2.9
Avg total171.2166.5175.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)33% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani1713476%93.482.7+10.6
2 Brescia1713476%91.685.6+6.0
3 Trento1713476%88.682.6+5.9
4 Virtus Bologna1612475%85.278.9+6.3
5 Olimpia Milano1610662%88.685.8+2.8
6 Trieste1610662%86.984.3+2.6
7 Tortona1710759%87.084.7+2.3
8 Reggiana1710759%80.079.0+1.0
9 Venezia178947%78.076.8+1.2
10 Treviso1771041%85.587.9-2.4
11 Sassari1661038%81.484.7-3.3
12 Varese1761135%88.998.1-9.1
13 Basket Napoli1741324%82.887.1-4.4
14 Cremona1741324%76.781.4-4.6
15 Scafati1741324%86.493.5-7.1
16 Pistoia1741324%82.189.4-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2521261587
Trieste232322674
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.