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Trieste vs Scafati Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 10 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record4-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game94.4
Allowed / game88.4
Trieste
Italy
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.8/10
Above normal
2.9/10
🧊 Cold
Scafati
Italy
Position#15
Record1-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game92.0
ItalyLega ARound 15· PalaTrieste
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Trieste v Scafati
10 Jan 2027
TRI v SKA
upcoming
09 Mar 2025
TRI88
SKA75
08 Jan 2023
TRI64
SKA59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Scafati win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
L
80-84
80
84
-4
73avg 76
H21/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
83-77
83
77
+6
79avg 76
H23/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
75-90
75
90
-15
67avg 76
A25/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
79-83
79
83
-4
64avg 76
A27/09
Lega A
Venezia
#9
L
82-87
82
87
-5
57avg 76
H04/10
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
84-85
84
85
-1
75avg 76
A10/10
Lega A
Cantu
#16
W
92-72
92
72
+20
88avg 76
H18/10
Lega A
Verona
#10
W
108-99
108
99
+9
101avg 76
H25/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
100-93
100
93
+7
no box
A02/11
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
116-100
116
100
+16
no box
H08/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
21-22
15-17
26-23
17-16
18-22
28-18
20-21
16-27
23-20
12-20
24-23
19-17
22-21
23-19
15-26
15-21
27-18
20-20
20-28
15-19
23-21
20-21
26-24
20-18
24-20
23-15
25-19
23-27
28-26
28-24
29-22
25-24
21-31
31-17
23-21
28-32
30-24
34-26
24-18
176.9Avg total
89.9Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)94.488.4182.9+6.057%
Season at home (4)99.589.5189.0+10.075%
Season away (3)87.787.0174.7+0.733%
Last 10 (10)89.987.0176.9+2.950%
Last 5 (5)100.089.8189.8+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)81.788.7170.3-7.027%
vs Similar (11)86.084.5170.5+1.545%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)99.589.5189.0+10.075%
This opponent (Scafati) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormScafati
Date
Competition
Cento
#18
W
88-83
88
83
+5
69avg 73
A12/04
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
93-71
93
71
+22
91avg 73
H19/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
80-76
80
76
+4
67avg 73
A26/04
Serie A2
Udine
#8
L
63-87
63
87
-24
50avg 73
A27/09
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
77-85
77
85
-8
67avg 73
H04/10
Lega A
Verona
#10
L
82-89
82
89
-7
39avg 73
H11/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
83-108
83
108
-25
74avg 73
A18/10
Lega A
Trento
#11
W
87-81
87
81
+6
80avg 73
H24/10
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
L
90-103
90
103
-13
81avg 73
A31/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#2
L
89-91
89
91
-2
no box
H08/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
26-22
24-24
22-23
24-21
24-14
26-20
19-16
32-16
17-27
17-18
14-15
11-19
17-28
14-23
21-17
17-24
21-16
24-30
15-15
25-24
22-28
25-18
10-19
17-32
19-18
20-23
27-35
22-26
16-19
24-19
25-17
29-25
24-26
23-27
14-25
19-22
28-15
28-27
14-27
170.6Avg total
83.2Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.692.0173.6-10.414%
Season at home (4)83.886.5170.2-2.825%
Season away (3)78.799.3178.0-20.70%
Last 10 (10)83.287.4170.6-4.240%
Last 5 (5)86.294.4180.6-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)81.692.0173.6-10.414%
vs Similar (8)78.980.4159.2-1.562%
vs Weaker (15)87.174.2161.3+12.993%
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -2.8-2.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -2.8-2.8
TriesteScafati
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H21/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H23/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A25/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A27/09
Lega A
Venezia
#9
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H04/10
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A10/10
Lega A
Cantu
#16
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H18/10
Lega A
Verona
#10
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H25/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A02/11
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H08/11
Lega A
88.1Avg total
43.3Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.045.389.3-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.645.089.6-0.444%-
Last 30 away (14)43.445.689.0-2.143%-
Last 10 (10)43.344.888.1-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)47.448.495.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)41.945.987.8-4.127%-
vs Similar (11)45.343.989.2+1.455%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)48.846.595.2+2.275%-
This opponent (Scafati) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cento
#18
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A12/04
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H19/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A26/04
Serie A2
Udine
#8
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A27/09
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H04/10
Lega A
Verona
#10
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H11/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A18/10
Lega A
Trento
#11
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H24/10
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A31/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#2
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H08/11
Lega A
86.2Avg total
42.6Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.681.6+2.467%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.139.183.3+5.073%-
Last 30 away (15)39.940.180.0-0.360%-
Last 10 (10)42.643.686.2-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)44.247.091.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)41.046.087.0-5.029%-
vs Similar (8)41.238.980.1+2.475%-
vs Weaker (15)42.937.179.9+5.880%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.418.3
54.8%
54.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.9
34.9%
34.3%32.7
🏀 Free throws21.816.4
75.2%
74.6%16.4
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Scafatitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Scafati: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.117.9
48.2%
54.3%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.59.3
39.6%
34.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws22.214.4
64.9%
74.6%14.4
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
WWWWLLLLWL
Scafati
LLWLLLLWWW
#7
League position
#15
+0.2
Net rating
-4.9
100.8
Offensive rating
95.9
100.6
Defensive rating
100.8
53.6%
Effective FG%
52.6%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
12.9%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.9%
3-point %
39.6%
56.5%
Assist %
56.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 95.9Defence100.6 · 100.8Shooting53.6% · 52.6%3-point %34.9% · 39.6%Ball care12.9% · 14.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Trieste   ■ Scafati
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Trieste wins
1
Scafati wins
DateGameScore
09/03/25Trieste v Scafati88-75
05/01/25Scafati v Trieste107-110 OT
25/03/23Scafati v Trieste93-85
08/01/23Trieste v Scafati64-59
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HBC Roma116-100
02/11/26AVirtus Bologna100-93
25/10/26HVerona108-99
18/10/26HCantu92-72
10/10/26AVarese84-85
04/10/26HVenezia82-87
27/09/26AOlimpia Milano79-83
25/05/26ABrescia75-90
23/05/26HBrescia83-77
21/05/26HBrescia80-84
Scafatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HBasket Napoli89-91
31/10/26ABC Roma90-103
24/10/26HTrento87-81
18/10/26AVirtus Bologna83-108
11/10/26HVerona82-89
04/10/26HVarese77-85
27/09/26AUdine63-87
26/04/26ARimini80-76
19/04/26HAvellino Basket93-71
12/04/26ACento88-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW57%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game94.499.587.7
Allowed / game88.489.587.0
Point differential+6.0+10.0+0.7
Avg total182.9189.0174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Scafati
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL14%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game81.683.878.7
Allowed / game92.086.599.3
Point differential-10.4-2.8-20.7
Avg total173.6170.2178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna76186%96.486.0+10.4
2 Basket Napoli76186%93.786.6+7.1
3 Olimpia Milano75271%90.982.7+8.1
4 Maxima Roma75271%88.183.7+4.4
5 Treviso75271%90.788.6+2.1
6 Varese85362%89.187.1+2.0
7 Trieste74357%94.488.4+6.0
8 Udine74357%81.380.3+1.0
9 Venezia74357%87.988.6-0.7
10 Verona84450%88.590.8-2.2
11 Trento73443%80.483.6-3.1
12 Tortona72529%83.791.0-7.3
13 BC Roma82625%98.698.0+0.6
14 Reggiana82625%82.085.6-3.6
15 Scafati71614%81.692.0-10.4
16 Cantu7070%76.990.9-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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