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Forli vs Trieste Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 92-64
25-18 21-16 18-16 28-14
Position#2
Record17-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game73.6
Forli 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#5
Record14-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game77.3
ItalySerie A2Round 22· PalaGalassi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Forli v Trieste
21 May 2024
FORL76
TRI91
19 May 2024
FORL49
TRI72
04 Feb 2024
FORL92
TRI64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Cento
#12
W
82-62
82
62
+20
82avg 69
H02/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
114-107 OT
114
107
+7
no box
A06/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
77-74 OT
77
74
+3
no box
H10/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
72-71
72
71
+1
60avg 69
A17/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
80-68
80
68
+12
73avg 69
A23/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
63-58
63
58
+5
53avg 69
H30/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
77-86
77
86
-9
70avg 69
A06/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
76-68
76
68
+8
64avg 69
H13/01
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
82-74
82
74
+8
80avg 69
H21/01
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
73-61
73
61
+12
62avg 69
A28/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
25-14
22-18
11-15
27-21
23-16
22-23
19-31
12-12
21-18
16-16
14-17
22-21
18-22
11-15
21-13
23-26
17-24
19-8
21-10
14-10
15-11
18-21
16-16
20-13
19-25
17-28
21-20
21-12
14-22
20-21
21-13
19-9
23-26
19-27
21-12
9-20
22-14
19-14
23-13
152.5Avg total
79.6Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.273.6152.9+5.681%
Season at home (10)81.270.5151.7+10.7100%
Season away (11)77.576.5153.9+1.064%
Last 10 (10)79.672.9152.5+6.790%
Last 5 (5)74.269.4143.6+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)73.574.4147.9-0.957%
vs Weaker (16)82.170.7152.8+11.494%
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Orzinuovi
#21
W
87-69
87
69
+18
83avg 73
A03/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
83-75
83
75
+8
67avg 73
A10/12
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
80-66
80
66
+14
73avg 73
H17/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
75-89
75
89
-14
68avg 73
A23/12
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
88-85
88
85
+3
82avg 73
H30/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
86-69
86
69
+17
81avg 73
H07/01
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
83-87
83
87
-4
109avg 73
A12/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
66-81
66
81
-15
52avg 73
A19/01
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
98-90
98
90
+8
93avg 73
H24/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
76-90
76
90
-14
60avg 73
H28/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-15
22-15
18-18
19-21
17-14
16-23
22-15
28-23
21-10
23-16
18-23
18-17
17-25
20-18
25-28
13-18
23-23
20-25
20-20
25-17
24-16
21-19
20-16
21-18
21-22
16-20
23-16
23-29
13-25
11-21
22-15
20-20
20-24
28-14
25-27
25-25
11-22
23-22
16-20
26-26
162.3Avg total
82.2Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.377.3157.6+3.067%
Season at home (11)81.076.0157.0+5.082%
Season away (10)79.678.7158.3+0.950%
Last 10 (10)82.280.1162.3+2.160%
Last 5 (5)81.883.4165.2-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.987.7164.6-10.914%
vs Similar ◀ (15)77.778.5156.3-0.853%
vs Weaker (8)86.177.0163.1+9.188%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
ForliTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cento
#12
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H02/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A06/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H10/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A17/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A23/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
29-21
29
21
+8
H30/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A06/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H13/01
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H21/01
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A28/01
Serie A2
73.9Avg total
38.8Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.935.974.8+3.067%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.333.571.9+4.880%-
Last 30 away (15)39.438.377.7+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)38.835.173.9+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)35.232.467.6+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.438.173.5-2.643%-
vs Weaker (16)41.934.075.9+7.988%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orzinuovi
#21
W
50-30
50
30
+20
A03/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A10/12
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H17/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A23/12
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H30/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H07/01
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A12/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A19/01
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H24/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H28/01
Serie A2
78.4Avg total
39.5Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.339.578.8-0.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.437.176.5+2.353%-
Last 30 away (15)39.341.881.1-2.527%-
Last 10 (10)39.538.978.4+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)37.641.078.6-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.343.683.9-3.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)36.939.576.4-2.533%-
vs Weaker (8)43.035.978.9+7.162%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.016.1
43.5%
50.3%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.9
36.3%
34.1%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.013.7
72.1%
74.2%13.7
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.816.6
50.6%
50.3%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.812.2
34.1%
34.1%36.6
🏀 Free throws18.111.2
61.9%
74.2%11.2
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forli
WWWLWWWWWW
Trieste
LWLLWWLWWW
#2
League position
#5
+6.1
Net rating
+4.0
103.6
Offensive rating
112.5
97.5
Defensive rating
108.5
47.9%
Effective FG%
50.9%
45.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
16.4%
Turnover %
15.1%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
35.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.3%
3-point %
34.1%
51.2%
Assist %
56.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 112.5Defence97.5 · 108.5Shooting47.9% · 50.9%3-point %36.3% · 34.1%Ball care16.4% · 15.1%Off. rebounds30.1% · 35.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Forli   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Forli wins
1
Trieste wins
DateGameScore
26/11/23Trieste v Forli79-62
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24AUdine73-61
21/01/24HChiusi82-74
13/01/24HVerona76-68
06/01/24ACividale77-86
30/12/23HAssigeco Piacenza63-58
23/12/23ARimini80-68
17/12/23AOrzinuovi72-71
10/12/23HFortitudo Bologna77-74 OT
06/12/23ANardo114-107 OT
02/12/23HCento82-62
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24HRimini76-90
24/01/24HChiusi98-90
19/01/24ACividale66-81
12/01/24AUdine83-87
07/01/24HAssigeco Piacenza86-69
30/12/23HVerona88-85
23/12/23AFortitudo Bologna75-89
17/12/23HCento80-66
10/12/23ANardo83-75
03/12/23AOrzinuovi87-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW81%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %81%100%64%
Points / game79.281.277.5
Allowed / game73.670.576.5
Point differential+5.6+10.7+1.0
Avg total152.9151.7153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%30%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %24%40%9%
Trieste
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL67%
HomeWWWWL82%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %67%82%50%
Points / game80.381.079.6
Allowed / game77.376.078.7
Point differential+3.0+5.0+0.9
Avg total157.6157.0158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%36%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2120195%91.977.0+14.8
2 Fortitudo Bologna2117481%76.870.9+5.9
3 Forli2117481%79.273.6+5.6
4 Cantu2116576%88.679.9+8.7
5 Udine2115671%79.069.5+9.5
6 Verona2114767%76.071.9+4.1
7 Basket Torino2114767%85.282.0+3.2
8 Trieste2114767%80.377.3+3.0
9 Sebastiani Rieti2113862%81.979.2+2.7
10 JuVi Cremona2112957%87.585.2+2.2
11 Treviglio21111052%82.082.0+0.0
12 Urania Milano21111052%83.784.3-0.7
13 Assigeco Piacenza2191243%75.874.7+1.1
14 Rimini2181338%77.077.0+0.0
15 Vigevano2181338%78.782.1-3.4
16 Cento2181338%73.278.4-5.2
17 Nardo2181338%76.383.1-6.8
18 Cividale2171433%73.677.2-3.7
19 Luiss Roma2171433%79.586.8-7.3
20 Agrigento2161529%75.881.2-5.4
21 Orzinuovi2151624%72.676.4-3.8
22 Monferrato2151624%79.985.0-5.1
23 Chiusi2141719%65.075.0-10.0
24 Latina2131814%78.988.6-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forli2521182892
Trieste1816161464
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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