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Trouville vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 07 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 56-97
7-27 15-27 22-18 12-25
Position#13
Record3-7
FormWLLLW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game82.7
vs
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
Position#3
Record7-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game71.8
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Trouville
Other2024-25
Meetings · Trouville v Penarol
07 Jan 2025
TROU56
PENA97
03 May 2024
TROU64
PENA92
27 Jan 2024
TROU83
PENA91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trouville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrouvilleUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrouville
Date
Competition
Urunday
#8
W
80-72
80
72
+8
68avg 68
A25/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
77-85
77
85
-8
70avg 68
A29/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
71-85
71
85
-14
58avg 68
A01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
70-86
70
86
-16
62avg 68
H07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
82-87
82
87
-5
75avg 68
H15/11
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
83-77
83
77
+6
72avg 68
H02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
62-88
62
88
-26
45avg 68
H07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
59-90
59
90
-31
44avg 68
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
65-83
65
83
-18
59avg 68
A17/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
78-74
78
74
+4
68avg 68
H03/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
25-17
19-15
21-17
21-25
15-19
18-26
23-15
16-26
8-26
21-14
26-19
11-26
18-26
24-13
17-21
21-25
23-25
19-20
19-17
16-18
19-21
26-19
22-19
25-24
5-26
17-11
15-27
6-28
15-26
14-18
24-18
20-19
12-19
18-22
15-23
23-16
23-23
14-17
18-18
155.4Avg total
72.7Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)72.782.7155.4-10.030%
Season at home (5)75.082.4157.4-7.440%
Season away (5)70.483.0153.4-12.620%
Last 10 (10)72.782.7155.4-10.030%
Last 5 (5)69.482.4151.8-13.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)75.582.7158.2-7.336%
vs Similar (5)53.052.8105.8+0.260%
vs Weaker (3)67.349.7117.0+17.7100%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Urupan
#10
L
71-78
71
78
-7
60avg 75
H25/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
86-77 OT
86
77
+9
82avg 75
H28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
77-73
77
73
+4
67avg 75
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
67avg 75
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
78-80
78
80
-2
76avg 75
A13/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
94-67
94
67
+27
97avg 75
H02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
76-73
76
73
+3
67avg 75
H06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
91-66
91
66
+25
96avg 75
A11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
70-64
70
64
+6
61avg 75
H20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
93-65
93
65
+28
94avg 75
A04/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-22
22-20
25-15
12-21
24-10
20-24
20-14
7-23
21-17
23-24
18-18
15-14
17-15
28-7
10-25
18-28
21-19
21-21
17-24
19-16
22-15
25-17
23-21
24-14
23-24
19-17
22-16
12-16
17-21
28-18
21-12
25-15
14-19
14-17
24-14
18-14
31-15
18-24
21-17
23-9
152.7Avg total
80.9Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.971.8152.7+9.170%
Season at home (6)79.072.0151.0+7.083%
Season away (4)83.871.5155.2+12.250%
Last 10 (10)80.971.8152.7+9.170%
Last 5 (5)84.867.0151.8+17.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.080.0158.0-2.00%
vs Similar (10)77.780.7158.4-3.030%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.872.9158.7+12.884%
This opponent (Trouville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -6.5-6.5Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.3+0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -6.5-6.5Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.3+0.3
TrouvillePenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrouvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urunday
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A25/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A29/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
24-52
24
52
-28
A01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
29-52
29
52
-23
H07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H15/11
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
21-54
21
54
-33
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A17/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H03/01
Liga Uruguaya
79.5Avg total
33.7Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)37.543.781.2-6.226%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.943.979.8-8.017%-
Last 30 away (15)38.743.582.3-4.833%-
Last 10 (10)33.745.879.5-12.110%-
Last 5 (5)32.844.076.8-11.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)36.544.881.3-8.223%-
vs Similar (3)39.042.781.7-3.733%-
vs Weaker (2)45.533.579.0+12.050%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urupan
#10
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H25/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
45-22
45
22
+23
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A13/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A04/01
Liga Uruguaya
78.6Avg total
42.0Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.339.282.5+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.739.382.0+3.453%-
Last 30 away (13)44.239.083.2+5.269%-
Last 10 (10)42.036.678.6+5.480%-
Last 5 (5)42.237.479.6+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.040.082.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar (10)41.340.681.9+0.740%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.538.482.8+6.168%-
This opponent (Trouville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trouvilletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trouville: 71.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.717.6
48.0%
51.5%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.29.1
28.3%
33.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws15.29.4
61.8%
71.7%9.4
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.7
54.0%
51.5%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.09.3
31.0%
33.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws17.612.8
72.7%
71.7%12.8
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trouville
WLLLWLLLLW
Penarol
WWWWWLLWWL
#13
League position
#3
-13.1
Net rating
+12.5
95.9
Offensive rating
107.4
108.9
Defensive rating
94.9
45.4%
Effective FG%
50.6%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
44.9%
17.0%
Turnover %
15.8%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.26
28.3%
3-point %
31.0%
59.2%
Assist %
67.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence95.9 · 107.4Defence108.9 · 94.9Shooting45.4% · 50.6%3-point %28.3% · 31.0%Ball care17.0% · 15.8%Off. rebounds30.9% · 31.1%Free throws0.22 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Trouville   ■ Penarol
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Trouville wins
5
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
07/05/24Penarol v Trouville87-77
04/05/24Trouville v Penarol64-92
01/05/24Penarol v Trouville92-87
28/01/24Trouville v Penarol83-91
23/11/23Penarol v Trouville88-52
Trouvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25HCordon78-74
17/12/24AAguada65-83
13/12/24ADefensor59-90
07/12/24HUrupan62-88
02/12/24HWelcome83-77
15/11/24HBigua82-87
07/11/24HNacional70-86
01/11/24AMalvin71-85
29/10/24AHebraica y Macabi77-85
25/10/24AUrunday80-72
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25AHebraica y Macabi93-65
20/12/24HDefensor70-64
11/12/24AWelcome91-66
06/12/24HBigua76-73
02/12/24HUrunday94-67
13/11/24ANacional78-80
07/11/24AMalvin73-75
31/10/24HCordon77-73
28/10/24HAguada86-77 OT
25/10/24HUrupan71-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trouville
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW30%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game72.775.070.4
Allowed / game82.782.483.0
Point differential-10.0-7.4-12.6
Avg total155.4157.4153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %70%83%50%
Points / game80.979.083.8
Allowed / game71.872.071.5
Point differential+9.1+7.0+12.2
Avg total152.7151.0155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%17%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %10%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional10100100%92.176.1+16.0
2 Malvin108280%79.674.1+5.5
3 Aguada118373%90.678.8+11.8
4 Penarol107370%80.971.8+9.1
5 Hebraica y Macabi116555%86.188.3-2.2
6 Urunday105550%77.881.0-3.2
7 Defensor94544%85.981.2+4.7
8 Bigua114736%84.085.9-1.9
9 Cordon114736%83.485.5-2.2
10 Urupan103730%79.884.1-4.3
11 Trouville103730%72.782.7-10.0
12 Welcome110110%75.596.7-21.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trouville715221256
Penarol2727182597
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