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Troy vs Mercer Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 79-82
32-41 47-41
Position#115
Record8-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game65.2
Troy
USA
vs
Mercer 🏆
USA
Position#261
Record6-6
FormLLWLW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game68.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Troy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mercer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#342
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A15/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#186
W
73-54
73
54
+19
H17/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#139
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A19/11
NCAA
Montana
#159
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A20/11
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#653
W
118-61
118
61
+57
H23/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A29/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A03/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A06/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#218
W
87-64
87
64
+23
H10/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-25
47-47
38-29
35-25
38-36
38-42
26-32
47-30
66-30
52-31
33-31
28-43
34-41
38-37
33-29
22-31
43-30
44-34
37-37
40-34
144.5Avg total
77.1Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.565.2144.8+14.267%
Season at home (5)92.257.6149.8+34.6100%
Season away (7)70.470.7141.1-0.343%
Last 10 (10)77.167.4144.5+9.760%
Last 5 (5)70.469.4139.8+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.075.0145.0-5.050%
vs Similar (14)65.466.4131.7-1.043%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)70.963.1134.0+7.880%
This opponent (Mercer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#320
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
A16/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#232
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H19/11
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A21/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#216
W
72-66
72
66
+6
A26/11
NCAA
Fairfield
#267
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H27/11
NCAA
Towson
#94
L
60-70
60
70
-10
A27/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#43
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H03/12
NCAA
Middle Georgia State
#494
W
100-62
100
62
+38
H06/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#178
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A11/12
NCAA
Morehead State
#82
W
79-52
79
52
+27
H17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-43
37-34
40-31
37-37
34-42
38-39
29-27
43-39
24-24
36-34
30-31
30-39
27-37
36-29
52-25
48-37
25-26
37-41
41-25
38-27
140.3Avg total
72.8Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.868.0144.8+8.850%
Season at home (6)82.861.7144.5+21.283%
Season away (6)70.774.3145.0-3.717%
Last 10 (10)72.867.5140.3+5.350%
Last 5 (5)72.863.4136.2+9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)69.976.7146.6-6.822%
vs Similar (14)67.464.9132.4+2.557%
vs Weaker (7)84.468.3152.7+16.157%
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.0+6.01st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: +2.4+2.4
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.0+6.01st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: +2.4+2.4
TroyMercer
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#342
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A15/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#186
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H17/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#139
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A19/11
NCAA
Montana
#159
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A20/11
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#653
W
66-30
66
30
+36
H23/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A29/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A03/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A06/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#218
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H10/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A17/12
NCAA
70.0Avg total
38.0Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.630.965.5+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.928.364.2+7.664%-
Last 30 away (16)33.433.266.7+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)38.032.070.0+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)36.033.669.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.030.562.5+1.550%-
vs Similar (14)31.731.463.1+0.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)34.429.764.1+4.760%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#320
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A16/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#232
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H19/11
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A21/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#216
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A26/11
NCAA
Fairfield
#267
D
24-24
24
24
+0
H27/11
NCAA
Towson
#94
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A27/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#43
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H03/12
NCAA
Middle Georgia State
#494
W
52-25
52
25
+27
H06/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#178
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A11/12
NCAA
Morehead State
#82
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H17/12
NCAA
65.3Avg total
34.2Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.731.866.5+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.731.768.4+4.953%-
Last 30 away (15)32.731.964.6+0.753%-
Last 10 (10)34.231.165.3+3.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.028.863.8+6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.035.468.4-2.444%-
vs Similar (14)32.129.061.1+3.157%-
vs Weaker (7)41.932.974.7+9.057%-
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Troy wins
0
Mercer wins
DateGameScore
22/12/21Mercer v Troy65-69
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/22ASE Louisiana77-71
10/12/22HTennessee Tech87-64
06/12/22ASan Diego State55-60
03/12/22ASiu Edwardsville72-78
29/11/22AArkansas61-74
23/11/22HSouthern-New O.118-61
20/11/22AMontana73-62
19/11/22ASt. Thomas (Minn.)76-78
17/11/22HMerrimack Warriors73-54
15/11/22AFlorida State79-72
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/22HMorehead State79-52
11/12/22AFlorida Gulf Coast62-67
06/12/22HMiddle Georgia State100-62
03/12/22HKennesaw State63-66
27/11/22ATowson60-70
27/11/22HFairfield60-58
26/11/22ARobert Morris72-66
21/11/22AFlorida State72-81
19/11/22HWinthrop77-68
16/11/22AGeorgia State83-85 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Troy
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %67%100%43%
Points / game79.592.270.4
Allowed / game65.257.670.7
Point differential+14.2+34.6-0.3
Avg total144.8149.8141.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mercer
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%83%17%
Points / game76.882.870.7
Allowed / game68.061.774.3
Point differential+8.8+21.2-3.7
Avg total144.8144.5145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss1211192%80.459.6+20.8
2 Louisiana Lafayette1110191%84.569.7+14.7
3 Marshall1311285%83.669.5+14.2
4 James Madison139469%93.266.6+26.5
5 Troy128467%79.565.2+14.2
6 Old Dominion128467%68.565.1+3.4
7 Georgia State127558%69.263.4+5.8
8 Georgia Southern127558%69.264.1+5.1
9 Arkansas State127558%68.263.4+4.8
10 Coastal Carolina116555%78.667.0+11.6
11 Appalachian State137654%77.463.5+13.9
12 Texas State137654%67.866.9+0.8
13 South Alabama126650%72.268.1+4.1
14 Louisiana Monroe134931%71.870.8+1.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman139469%82.672.9+9.7
2 Chattanooga Mocs138562%80.568.7+11.8
3 Wofford138562%76.567.2+9.4
4 Western Carolina137654%79.269.0+10.2
5 Samford126650%81.070.2+10.8
6 Mercer126650%76.868.0+8.8
7 NC Greensboro126650%70.865.6+5.2
8 VMI125742%76.874.2+2.7
9 Citadel125742%70.974.4-3.5
10 East Tennessee St124833%71.268.7+2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Troy324779
Mercer414182
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