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Tubingen vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 68-106
19-23 17-30 19-26 13-27
Position#18
Record1-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game96.2
Tubingen
Germany
vs
Chemnitz 🏆
Germany
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game74.3
GermanyBBLRound 7· Paul Horn Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Tubingen v Chemnitz
12 Nov 2023
TUB68
CHE106
01 Mar 2020
TUB80
CHE94
23 Feb 2019
TUB80
CHE98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tubingen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TubingenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTubingen
Date
Competition
PS Karlsruhe
#3
W
86-80
86
80
+6
no box
H23/05
Pro A
Vechta
#1
L
78-78
78
78
+0
no box
H02/06
Pro A
Vechta
#1
L
66-73
66
73
-7
no box
A04/06
Pro A
Basketball Braunschweig
#11
L
64-78
64
78
-14
54avg 69
H23/09
German Cup
Ulm
#5
L
84-99
84
99
-15
75avg 69
H01/10
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
88-76
88
76
+12
77avg 69
A04/10
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
72-103
72
103
-31
63avg 69
A07/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
84-94
84
94
-10
73avg 69
H21/10
BBL
Rostock
#15
L
103-108 OT
103
108
-5
no box
A29/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
81-97
81
97
-16
73avg 69
H06/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
16-15
24-24
21-21
26-26
28-17
10-16
14-19
19-15
12-22
12-14
23-22
17-22
15-16
13-19
19-21
26-27
22-25
22-19
14-28
23-19
16-9
28-21
21-27
20-32
22-23
16-25
14-23
29-28
12-25
23-20
20-21
17-22
16-17
26-21
34-33
27-29
22-20
16-26
16-22
169.2Avg total
80.6Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.396.2181.5-10.817%
Season at home (3)83.096.7179.7-13.70%
Season away (3)87.795.7183.3-8.033%
Last 10 (10)80.688.6169.2-8.020%
Last 5 (5)85.695.6181.2-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)85.696.6182.2-11.020%
vs Similar (4)76.878.2155.0-1.525%
vs Weaker (20)90.876.7167.4+14.080%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#11
W
109-79
109
79
+30
101avg 79
H02/10
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
86-81
86
81
+5
83avg 79
A08/10
BBL
Giessen
#13
W
89-64
89
64
+25
82avg 79
H14/10
German Cup
Peja
#34
W
98-72
98
72
+26
97avg 79
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#14
W
77-63
77
63
+14
72avg 79
H22/10
BBL
Spojnia Stargard
#24
W
84-66
84
66
+18
79avg 79
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
74-65
74
65
+9
69avg 79
H28/10
BBL
Den Bosch
#40
W
77-66
77
66
+11
68avg 79
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Wurzburg
#4
W
70-68
70
68
+2
64avg 79
A04/11
BBL
Peja
#34
W
99-63
99
63
+36
102avg 79
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
31-18
33-22
22-15
31-15
15-22
18-21
22-23
29-17
20-13
18-20
22-14
26-29
22-16
25-11
25-16
20-17
17-11
18-19
22-16
22-9
12-20
29-28
21-9
12-12
19-21
23-15
20-17
17-24
17-10
21-16
22-16
16-20
16-19
12-12
26-17
23-12
28-13
30-22
18-16
155.0Avg total
86.3Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.574.3157.8+9.283%
Season at home (3)86.769.0155.7+17.7100%
Season away (3)80.379.7160.0+0.767%
Last 10 (10)86.368.7155.0+17.6100%
Last 5 (5)80.865.6146.4+15.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.488.9168.3-9.414%
vs Similar (8)82.184.2166.4-2.125%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.472.3157.7+13.187%
This opponent (Tubingen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +6.1+6.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +6.1+6.1
TubingenChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TubingenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PS Karlsruhe
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H23/05
Pro A
Vechta
#1
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H02/06
Pro A
Vechta
#1
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A04/06
Pro A
Basketball Braunschweig
#11
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H23/09
German Cup
Ulm
#5
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H01/10
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A04/10
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A07/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H21/10
BBL
Rostock
#15
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A29/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H06/11
BBL
83.9Avg total
41.0Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.340.383.6+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.638.083.6+7.671%-
Last 30 away (13)40.243.383.5-3.231%-
Last 10 (10)41.042.983.9-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)40.844.885.6-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)42.244.686.8-2.420%-
vs Similar (4)43.841.084.8+2.850%-
vs Weaker (20)44.039.283.2+4.865%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#11
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H02/10
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A08/10
BBL
Giessen
#13
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H14/10
German Cup
Peja
#34
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#14
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H22/10
BBL
Spojnia Stargard
#24
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H28/10
BBL
Den Bosch
#40
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Wurzburg
#4
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A04/11
BBL
Peja
#34
W
51-25
51
25
+26
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
75.8Avg total
41.6Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.441.183.5+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.542.185.6+1.450%-
Last 30 away (16)41.540.281.7+1.344%-
Last 10 (10)41.634.275.8+7.470%-
Last 5 (5)36.432.068.4+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)43.145.989.0-2.729%-
vs Similar (8)43.044.487.4-1.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.837.178.9+4.760%-
This opponent (Tubingen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tubingentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tubingen: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.0
52.2%
54.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.8
35.8%
35.4%26.5
🏀 Free throws17.012.0
70.6%
76.0%12.0
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.021.6
52.7%
54.6%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.8
35.9%
35.4%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.612.9
73.3%
76.0%12.9
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tubingen
LLLLWLLLLW
Chemnitz
WWWWWWWWWW
#18
League position
#3
-14.5
Net rating
+22.2
100.4
Offensive rating
110.3
114.9
Defensive rating
88.1
52.8%
Effective FG%
53.1%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
43.2%
18.5%
Turnover %
18.3%
21.0%
Off. rebound %
34.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.8%
3-point %
35.9%
61.3%
Assist %
65.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 110.3Defence114.9 · 88.1Shooting52.8% · 53.1%3-point %35.8% · 35.9%Ball care18.5% · 18.3%Off. rebounds21.0% · 34.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 100%
■ Tubingen   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tubingen wins
4
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
01/03/20Tubingen v Chemnitz80-94
18/10/19Chemnitz v Tubingen85-72
23/02/19Tubingen v Chemnitz80-98
03/11/18Chemnitz v Tubingen104-68
Tubingenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/23HAlba Berlin81-97
29/10/23ARostock103-108 OT
21/10/23HHeidelberg84-94
07/10/23AVechta72-103
04/10/23ABonn88-76
01/10/23HUlm84-99
23/09/23HBasketball Braunschweig64-78
04/06/23AVechta66-73
02/06/23HVechta78-78
23/05/23HPS Karlsruhe86-80
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/23APeja99-63
04/11/23AWurzburg70-68
01/11/23ADen Bosch77-66
28/10/23HSyntainics MBC74-65
25/10/23ASpojnia Stargard84-66
22/10/23HGottingen77-63
18/10/23HPeja98-72
14/10/23HGiessen89-64
08/10/23ABasketball Braunschweig86-81
02/10/23HBamberg109-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tubingen
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL17%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%0%33%
Points / game85.383.087.7
Allowed / game96.296.795.7
Point differential-10.8-13.7-8.0
Avg total181.5179.7183.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %17%0%33%
Chemnitz
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game83.586.780.3
Allowed / game74.369.079.7
Point differential+9.2+17.7+0.7
Avg total157.8155.7160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin76186%98.479.7+18.7
2 Ulm76186%93.787.9+5.9
3 Chemnitz65183%83.574.3+9.2
4 Vechta75271%91.780.1+11.6
5 Oldenburg75271%90.682.0+8.6
6 Ludwigsburg64267%90.079.2+10.8
7 Bayern74357%85.977.1+8.7
8 Bonn74357%87.383.9+3.4
9 Hamburg74357%85.489.0-3.6
10 Wurzburg63350%75.270.5+4.7
11 Basketball Braunschweig73443%81.486.1-4.7
12 Rostock62433%93.798.0-4.3
13 Bamberg62433%89.096.7-7.7
14 Syntainics MBC72529%83.189.0-5.9
15 Gottingen51420%91.4103.0-11.6
16 Tubingen61517%85.396.2-10.8
17 Heidelberg71614%84.096.0-12.0
18 Crailsheim Merlins71614%73.697.6-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tubingen1917191368
Chemnitz23302627106
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