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Rostock vs Tubingen Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 108-103 (OT)
22-17 17-16 21-26 33-34 15-10
Position#15
Record1-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game97.3
Allowed / game97.3
Rostock 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#18
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game93.0
GermanyBBLRound 5· Stadthalle Rostock
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Rostock v Tubingen
29 Oct 2023
ROS108
TUB103
16 May 2022
ROS81
TUB73
02 Oct 2021
ROS83
TUB97
17 Jan 2021
ROS83
TUB79
09 Feb 2020
ROS66
TUB62
16 Dec 2018
ROS78
TUB70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tubingen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Ulm
#4
L
86-116
86
116
-30
76avg 75
A05/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
no box
H07/05
BBL
Vechta
#5
L
76-84
76
84
-8
56avg 75
A23/09
German Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
L
81-85
81
85
-4
68avg 75
A29/09
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
122-113 OT
122
113
+9
no box
H01/10
BBL
Feniks 2010
#52
W
101-72
101
72
+29
103avg 75
A04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Keravnos
#38
W
93-74
93
74
+19
96avg 75
H05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Larnaca
#22
L
76-78
76
78
-2
68avg 75
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Oldenburg
#8
L
89-94
89
94
-5
83avg 75
A20/10
BBL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
93-65
93
65
+28
90avg 75
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-29
17-22
18-30
22-35
14-12
28-26
17-27
20-14
20-24
19-18
15-21
22-21
23-19
12-20
23-25
23-21
19-25
26-22
27-34
21-12
22-16
25-15
26-21
28-20
22-15
26-19
17-24
28-16
27-24
18-22
20-15
11-17
17-28
25-20
29-23
18-23
12-26
30-12
22-16
29-11
177.7Avg total
90.9Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)97.397.3194.7+0.033%
Season at home (1)122.0113.0235.0+9.0100%
Season away (2)85.089.5174.5-4.50%
Last 10 (10)90.986.8177.7+4.150%
Last 5 (5)90.476.6167.0+13.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.291.3169.6-13.125%
vs Similar (9)82.183.1165.2-1.056%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)94.680.0174.6+14.675%
This opponent (Tubingen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TubingenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTubingen
Date
Competition
PS Karlsruhe
#3
W
95-51
95
51
+44
no box
H18/05
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#3
W
83-70
83
70
+13
no box
A20/05
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#3
W
86-80
86
80
+6
no box
H23/05
Pro A
Vechta
#1
L
78-78
78
78
+0
no box
H02/06
Pro A
Vechta
#1
L
66-73
66
73
-7
no box
A04/06
Pro A
Basketball Braunschweig
#11
L
64-78
64
78
-14
54avg 68
H23/09
German Cup
Ulm
#5
L
84-99
84
99
-15
75avg 68
H01/10
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
88-76
88
76
+12
77avg 68
A04/10
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
72-103
72
103
-31
63avg 68
A07/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
84-94
84
94
-10
73avg 68
H21/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-15
22-12
18-12
26-12
15-16
26-23
17-14
25-17
25-20
16-15
24-24
21-21
26-26
28-17
10-16
14-19
19-15
12-22
12-14
23-22
17-22
15-16
13-19
19-21
26-27
22-25
22-19
14-28
23-19
16-9
28-21
21-27
20-32
22-23
16-25
14-23
29-28
12-25
23-20
20-21
160.2Avg total
80.0Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.093.0175.0-11.025%
Season at home (2)84.096.5180.5-12.50%
Season away (2)80.089.5169.5-9.550%
Last 10 (10)80.080.2160.2-0.240%
Last 5 (5)78.490.0168.4-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)81.392.7174.0-11.333%
vs Similar (4)76.878.2155.0-1.525%
vs Weaker (22)89.977.0166.9+13.077%
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
RostockTubingen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#4
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A05/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H07/05
BBL
Vechta
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A23/09
German Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A29/09
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H01/10
BBL
Feniks 2010
#52
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Keravnos
#38
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Larnaca
#22
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Oldenburg
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A20/10
BBL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
84.5Avg total
43.1Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.941.982.8-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.040.481.4+0.664%-
Last 30 away (16)40.843.384.1-2.531%-
Last 10 (10)43.141.484.5+1.740%-
Last 5 (5)44.839.484.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.746.485.1-7.825%-
vs Similar (9)42.039.781.7+2.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)43.237.881.0+5.562%-
This opponent (Tubingen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TubingenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PS Karlsruhe
#3
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H18/05
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A20/05
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H23/05
Pro A
Vechta
#1
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H02/06
Pro A
Vechta
#1
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A04/06
Pro A
Basketball Braunschweig
#11
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H23/09
German Cup
Ulm
#5
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H01/10
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A04/10
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A07/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H21/10
BBL
82.7Avg total
42.0Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.340.583.8+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.437.382.8+8.175%-
Last 30 away (14)40.944.185.0-3.329%-
Last 10 (10)42.040.782.7+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.445.285.6-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)43.045.088.0-2.033%-
vs Similar (4)43.841.084.8+2.850%-
vs Weaker (22)43.839.983.7+3.959%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.5
52.4%
54.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.9
37.8%
35.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.915.3
76.9%
76.0%15.3
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tubingentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tubingen: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.4
51.3%
54.6%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.8
36.1%
35.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.612.8
68.8%
76.0%12.8
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/5 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
WLLWWWLLWL
Tubingen
LLWLLLLWWW
#15
League position
#18
+2.3
Net rating
-13.9
113.4
Offensive rating
100.2
111.1
Defensive rating
114.1
54.2%
Effective FG%
52.4%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
17.5%
Turnover %
18.8%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
22.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.8%
3-point %
36.1%
67.7%
Assist %
59.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 100.2Defence111.1 · 114.1Shooting54.2% · 52.4%3-point %37.8% · 36.1%Ball care17.5% · 18.8%Off. rebounds32.0% · 22.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Rostock   ■ Tubingen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Rostock wins
3
Tubingen wins
DateGameScore
21/05/22Tubingen v Rostock77-78
16/05/22Rostock v Tubingen81-73
27/03/22Tubingen v Rostock109-88
02/10/21Rostock v Tubingen83-97
17/01/21Rostock v Tubingen83-79
05/12/20Tubingen v Rostock90-96
09/02/20Rostock v Tubingen66-62
12/10/19Tubingen v Rostock96-87
11/01/19Tubingen v Rostock83-84
16/12/18Rostock v Tubingen78-70
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/23HKarhu Basket93-65
20/10/23AOldenburg89-94
18/10/23AAEK Larnaca76-78
05/10/23HKeravnos93-74
04/10/23AFeniks 2010101-72
01/10/23HHeidelberg122-113 OT
29/09/23ACrailsheim Merlins81-85
23/09/23AVechta76-84
07/05/23HLudwigsburg92-87 OT
05/05/23AUlm86-116
Tubingenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23HHeidelberg84-94
07/10/23AVechta72-103
04/10/23ABonn88-76
01/10/23HUlm84-99
23/09/23HBasketball Braunschweig64-78
04/06/23AVechta66-73
02/06/23HVechta78-78
23/05/23HPS Karlsruhe86-80
20/05/23APS Karlsruhe83-70
18/05/23HPS Karlsruhe95-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game97.3122.085.0
Allowed / game97.3113.089.5
Point differential+0.0+9.0-4.5
Avg total194.7235.0174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %33%100%0%
Tubingen
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game82.084.080.0
Allowed / game93.096.589.5
Point differential-11.0-12.5-9.5
Avg total175.0180.5169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz54180%86.275.6+10.6
2 Vechta54180%93.083.6+9.4
3 Oldenburg54180%88.282.6+5.6
4 Ulm54180%90.686.8+3.8
5 Alba Berlin43175%96.584.0+12.5
6 Bayern43175%87.576.2+11.2
7 Wurzburg32167%77.370.7+6.7
8 Ludwigsburg42250%85.577.0+8.5
9 Bonn42250%86.582.8+3.8
10 Gottingen21150%86.590.5-4.0
11 Basketball Braunschweig52340%84.686.0-1.4
12 Hamburg52340%78.084.8-6.8
13 Rostock31233%97.397.3+0.0
14 Tubingen41325%82.093.0-11.0
15 Bamberg41325%83.897.0-13.2
16 Crailsheim Merlins41325%81.599.5-18.0
17 Heidelberg51420%88.895.2-6.4
18 Syntainics MBC5050%77.689.8-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Rostock2217213315108
Tubingen1716263410103
← all games of the day
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