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Tulsa vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 73-72
36-37 37-35
Position#190
Record5-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game69.8
Tulsa 🏆
USA
vs
Position#198
Record7-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game68.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Tulsa v Missouri State
06 Dec 2025
TULS98
MISS74
16 Dec 2023
TULS73
MISS72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tulsa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TulsaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Florida
#249
L
56-72
56
72
-16
A02/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
63-81
63
81
-18
A10/03
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#336
W
70-53
70
53
+17
H07/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
W
85-71
85
71
+14
H11/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#253
W
72-52
72
52
+20
H17/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#266
W
90-70
90
70
+20
H21/11
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
82-84 OT
82
84
-2
H25/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#294
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A03/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#41
W
88-77
88
77
+11
H06/12
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#297
L
57-72
57
72
-15
A10/12
NCAA
1H
2H
20-35
36-37
25-30
38-51
33-27
37-26
34-31
51-40
32-23
40-29
44-20
46-50
39-41
37-35
39-36
31-43
42-39
46-38
26-35
31-37
144.4Avg total
73.3Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.869.8146.5+7.062%
Season at home (6)81.267.8149.0+13.383%
Season away (2)63.575.5139.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)73.371.1144.4+2.250%
Last 5 (5)77.476.4153.8+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)65.479.8145.2-14.413%
vs Similar ◀ (3)64.367.3131.7-3.033%
vs Weaker (4)79.261.5140.8+17.8100%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#338
L
59-67
59
67
-8
A07/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#294
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H14/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
W
70-61
70
61
+9
A18/11
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H20/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
87-69
87
69
+18
H21/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#266
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H25/11
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
90-78
90
78
+12
H30/11
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
57-74
57
74
-17
A02/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
L
73-77 OT
73
77
-4
A06/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H10/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-24
29-43
39-27
45-42
42-29
28-32
33-27
23-25
45-37
42-32
44-32
48-42
44-30
46-48
25-36
32-38
27-32
39-34
31-23
38-37
141.8Avg total
73.7Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)73.768.1141.8+5.670%
Season at home (6)79.767.0146.7+12.7100%
Season away (4)64.869.8134.5-5.025%
Last 10 (10)73.768.1141.8+5.670%
Last 5 (5)76.272.6148.8+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)59.762.2121.8-2.567%
vs Similar ◀ (15)69.365.9135.2+3.360%
vs Weaker (9)72.766.6139.2+6.167%
This opponent (Tulsa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: +6.3+6.32nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: -0.3-0.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: +6.3+6.32nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: -0.3-0.3
TulsaMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TulsaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Florida
#249
L
20-35
20
35
-15
A02/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A10/03
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#336
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H07/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H11/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#253
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H17/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#266
W
44-20
44
20
+24
H21/11
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H25/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#294
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A03/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#41
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H06/12
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#297
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A10/12
NCAA
65.1Avg total
33.4Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.335.366.5-4.040%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.333.665.9-1.353%-
Last 30 away (13)29.937.567.4-7.523%-
Last 10 (10)33.431.765.1+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)38.034.272.2+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)30.537.467.9-7.026%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)31.332.063.3-0.767%-
vs Weaker (4)35.825.261.0+10.5100%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#338
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A07/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#294
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H14/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A18/11
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H20/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H21/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#266
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H25/11
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H30/11
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A02/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A06/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H10/12
NCAA
65.7Avg total
36.0Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.930.664.5+3.367%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.030.066.0+6.081%-
Last 30 away (14)31.531.362.8+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)36.029.765.7+6.380%-
Last 5 (5)34.230.664.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)28.531.059.5-2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)36.731.167.8+5.573%-
vs Weaker (9)32.929.462.3+3.467%-
This opponent (Tulsa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tulsa wins
0
Missouri State wins
No previous meetings.
Tulsalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23AOklahoma State57-72
06/12/23HLoyola Chicago88-77
03/12/23AOral Roberts70-79
25/11/23HUALR82-84 OT
21/11/23HSouth Carolina St90-70
17/11/23HJackson State72-52
11/11/23HIncarnate Word85-71
07/11/23HCentral Arkansas70-53
10/03/23AWichita State63-81
02/03/23ASouth Florida56-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HSam Houston St.69-60
06/12/23AMiddle Tenn. St.73-77 OT
02/12/23ADrake57-74
30/11/23HEvansville90-78
25/11/23HSouth Carolina St92-74
21/11/23HAbilene Christian87-69
20/11/23HKent State56-52
18/11/23AFlorida Gulf Coast70-61
14/11/23HOral Roberts84-69
07/11/23AWest Virginia59-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tulsa
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL62%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %62%83%0%
Points / game76.881.263.5
Allowed / game69.867.875.5
Point differential+7.0+13.3-12.0
Avg total146.5149.0139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%83%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %12%17%0%
Missouri State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW70%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %70%100%25%
Points / game73.779.764.8
Allowed / game68.167.069.8
Point differential+5.6+12.7-5.0
Avg total141.8146.7134.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %10%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida Atlantic108280%85.469.5+15.9
2 Tulane108280%91.782.5+9.2
3 Memphis97278%79.774.1+5.6
4 Wichita State107370%78.371.0+7.3
5 Tulsa85362%76.869.8+7.0
6 Temple106460%78.774.0+4.7
7 North Texas95456%68.758.4+10.2
8 Charlotte95456%66.963.9+3.0
9 East Carolina116555%74.170.4+3.7
10 South Florida84450%75.470.1+5.2
11 UTSA Roadrunners105550%80.281.2-1.0
12 UAB105550%74.676.8-2.2
13 Rice104640%73.576.8-3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisiana Tech119282%76.361.1+15.2
2 Liberty129375%79.259.2+20.1
3 Kennesaw State118373%86.377.6+8.6
4 Western Kentucky118373%81.973.9+8.0
5 Delaware107370%77.070.0+7.0
6 Missouri State107370%73.768.1+5.6
7 UTEP106460%78.668.4+10.2
8 Sam Houston St.126650%71.771.5+0.2
9 Middle Tenn. St.115645%66.166.9-0.8
10 New Mexico State125742%72.274.2-2.1
11 Jacksonville State114736%66.762.7+4.0
12 Florida International113827%70.977.3-6.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tulsa363773
Missouri State373572
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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