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Missouri State vs Abilene Christian Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 87-69
45-37 42-32
Position#198
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game67.2
Allowed / game62.2
vs
Position#239
Record3-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game67.6
Allowed / game67.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Missouri State v Abilene Christian
16 Nov 2026
MISS v ABIL
upcoming
20 Nov 2023
MISS87
ABIL69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Abilene Christian winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#45
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A16/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H18/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H22/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A26/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H03/03
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
51-54
51
54
-3
A04/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
L
59-67
59
67
-8
A07/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#294
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H14/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
W
70-61
70
61
+9
A18/11
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H20/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-37
28-27
38-33
28-36
46-34
38-35
34-25
32-37
34-30
40-27
30-25
21-29
30-24
29-43
39-27
45-42
42-29
28-32
33-27
23-25
128.8Avg total
66.4Scored
62.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)67.262.2129.5+5.075%
Season at home (2)70.060.5130.5+9.5100%
Season away (2)64.564.0128.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)66.462.4128.8+4.060%
Last 5 (5)64.060.6124.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)58.062.9120.9-4.950%
vs Similar ◀ (13)65.765.2130.8+0.546%
vs Weaker (9)70.461.9132.3+8.678%
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Abilene ChristianUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#102
L
89-91 OT
89
91
-2
H23/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
L
62-66
62
66
-4
H26/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#333
W
20-0
20
0
+20
H02/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
54-72
54
72
-18
A04/03
NCAA
California Baptist
#184
L
62-69
62
69
-7
A07/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#297
W
64-59
64
59
+5
A07/11
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
64-84
64
84
-20
A11/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#321
L
74-79
74
79
-5
H15/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A17/11
NCAA
Fordham
#288
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-42
44-33
31-28
31-38
–
–
21-32
33-40
30-36
32-33
36-25
28-34
29-47
35-37
37-35
37-44
33-43
44-28
32-16
27-29
126.1Avg total
62.5Scored
63.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)67.667.6135.2+0.060%
Season at home (2)66.562.0128.5+4.550%
Season away (3)68.371.3139.7-3.067%
Last 10 (10)62.563.6126.1-1.140%
Last 5 (5)67.667.6135.2+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)59.276.6135.8-17.40%
vs Similar ◀ (15)73.674.4148.0-0.840%
vs Weaker (10)71.748.1119.8+23.690%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: -0.6-0.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: -0.6-0.6
Missouri StateAbilene Christian
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#45
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A16/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H18/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H22/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A26/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H03/03
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A04/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A07/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#294
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H14/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A18/11
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H20/11
NCAA
64.3Avg total
35.2Scored
29.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.430.462.8+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.329.662.9+3.767%-
Last 30 away (15)31.631.162.7+0.553%-
Last 10 (10)35.229.164.3+6.190%-
Last 5 (5)34.826.461.2+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)27.130.958.0-3.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)35.331.366.6+4.062%-
vs Weaker (9)33.028.661.6+4.478%-
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Abilene ChristianLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#102
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H23/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H26/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
21-32
21
32
-11
A04/03
NCAA
California Baptist
#184
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A07/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#297
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A07/11
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A11/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#321
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H15/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A17/11
NCAA
Fordham
#288
W
32-16
32
16
+16
H19/11
NCAA
64.9Avg total
31.1Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)34.033.867.8+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.929.166.0+7.979%-
Last 30 away (14)31.138.569.6-7.47%-
Last 10 (9)31.133.864.9-2.744%-
Last 5 (5)33.433.266.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)27.036.063.0-9.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)34.235.870.0-1.633%-
vs Weaker (8)38.028.666.6+9.475%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Missouri State wins
0
Abilene Christian wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/23HKent State56-52
18/11/23AFlorida Gulf Coast70-61
14/11/23HOral Roberts84-69
07/11/23AWest Virginia59-67
04/03/23ASouthern Illinois51-54
03/03/23HIllinois (Chi.)74-57
26/02/23AIndiana State66-62
22/02/23HMurray State84-69
18/02/23HNorthern Iowa66-69
16/02/23ABradley54-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23HFordham59-45
17/11/23ASan Jose State77-71
15/11/23HPrairie View A&M74-79
11/11/23ANC State64-84
07/11/23AOklahoma State64-59
07/03/23ACalifornia Baptist62-69
04/03/23ASam Houston St.54-72
02/03/23HNew Mexico State20-0
26/02/23HUtah Valley State62-66
23/02/23HStephen F. Austin89-91 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game67.270.064.5
Allowed / game62.260.564.0
Point differential+5.0+9.5+0.5
Avg total129.5130.5128.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Abilene Christian
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game67.666.568.3
Allowed / game67.662.071.3
Point differential+0.0+4.5-3.0
Avg total135.2128.5139.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UTEP440100%100.870.5+30.2
2 Liberty550100%83.260.6+22.6
3 Delaware440100%80.562.2+18.2
4 Kennesaw State54180%87.272.8+14.4
5 Middle Tenn. St.43175%73.261.8+11.5
6 Western Kentucky43175%83.072.8+10.2
7 Missouri State43175%67.262.2+5.0
8 Louisiana Tech32167%82.062.3+19.7
9 New Mexico State53260%71.668.0+3.6
10 Sam Houston St.52340%72.475.4-3.0
11 Jacksonville State41325%71.563.2+8.2
12 Florida International61517%71.780.7-9.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 California Baptist54180%70.061.8+8.2
2 Tarleton53260%70.868.4+2.4
3 Abilene Christian53260%67.667.6+0.0
4 Utah Valley State53260%66.669.4-2.8
5 Utah Tech42250%74.875.0-0.2
6 UT Arlington42250%76.579.5-3.0
7 Southern Utah31233%88.079.7+8.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri State454287
Abilene Christian373269
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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