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Drake vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 74-57
36-25 38-32
Position#15
Record6-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game71.6
Drake 🏆
USA
vs
Position#198
Record6-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game67.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Drake v Missouri State
02 Mar 2025
DRAK68
MISS60
02 Dec 2023
DRAK74
MISS57
18 Jan 2023
DRAK62
MISS65
09 Feb 2022
DRAK62
MISS66
06 Mar 2021
DRAK71
MISS69
26 Jan 2020
DRAK71
MISS69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Drake winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#61
W
65-52
65
52
+13
H04/03
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
77-51
77
51
+26
A05/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
56-63
56
63
-7
A17/03
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H09/11
NCAA
Southwest Minnesota State
#421
W
87-67
87
67
+20
H15/11
NCAA
Oakland
#76
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A19/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
L
68-92
68
92
-24
A20/11
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H21/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#210
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H26/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
83-65
83
65
+18
A30/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-23
26-29
41-21
36-30
30-25
26-38
44-48
41-22
38-33
49-34
37-36
48-41
32-38
36-54
35-29
44-30
43-30
34-41
37-36
46-29
142.9Avg total
76.2Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.671.6152.1+9.086%
Season at home (4)82.066.8148.8+15.2100%
Season away (3)78.778.0156.7+0.767%
Last 10 (10)76.266.7142.9+9.580%
Last 5 (5)78.472.8151.2+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)76.363.7140.0+12.783%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)77.264.8142.0+12.378%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#84
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A26/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H03/03
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
51-54
51
54
-3
A04/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
L
59-67
59
67
-8
A07/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#294
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H14/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
W
70-61
70
61
+9
A18/11
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H20/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
87-69
87
69
+18
H21/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#266
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H25/11
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
90-78
90
78
+12
H30/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-25
32-37
34-30
40-27
30-25
21-29
30-24
29-43
39-27
45-42
42-29
28-32
33-27
23-25
45-37
42-32
44-32
48-42
44-30
46-48
137.2Avg total
72.9Scored
64.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)76.967.1144.0+9.786%
Season at home (5)81.868.4150.2+13.4100%
Season away (2)64.564.0128.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)72.964.3137.2+8.680%
Last 5 (5)79.066.8145.8+12.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)63.063.2126.2-0.267%
vs Similar (15)68.766.3135.0+2.553%
vs Weaker (9)73.364.4137.8+8.978%
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +5.7+5.71st half: +8.9+8.92nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: -0.3-0.3
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +5.7+5.71st half: +8.9+8.92nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: -0.3-0.3
DrakeMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#61
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H04/03
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
41-21
41
21
+20
A05/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A17/03
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H09/11
NCAA
Southwest Minnesota State
#421
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H15/11
NCAA
Oakland
#76
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A19/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A20/11
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H21/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#210
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H26/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A30/11
NCAA
69.5Avg total
37.6Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.530.068.5+8.473%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.928.268.1+11.881%-
Last 30 away (14)36.832.168.9+4.664%-
Last 10 (10)37.631.969.5+5.780%-
Last 5 (5)36.833.870.6+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)40.530.771.2+9.867%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)38.029.767.7+8.274%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#84
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A26/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H03/03
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A04/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A07/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#294
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H14/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A18/11
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H20/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H21/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#266
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H25/11
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H30/11
NCAA
66.1Avg total
37.5Scored
28.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.531.165.6+3.467%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.130.466.5+5.776%-
Last 30 away (13)32.431.964.3+0.554%-
Last 10 (10)37.528.666.1+8.9100%-
Last 5 (5)41.631.072.6+10.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)29.732.562.2-2.850%-
vs Similar (15)36.531.668.1+4.967%-
vs Weaker (9)34.329.263.6+5.178%-
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Drake wins
5
Missouri State wins
DateGameScore
19/01/23Drake v Missouri State62-65 OT
01/01/23Missouri State v Drake52-49
10/02/22Drake v Missouri State62-66
03/01/22Missouri State v Drake61-56
06/03/21Drake v Missouri State71-69
28/01/21Missouri State v Drake73-78
27/01/21Missouri State v Drake61-68
13/02/20Missouri State v Drake97-62
26/01/20Drake v Missouri State71-69
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/23AValparaiso83-65
26/11/23HTexas Southern77-71
21/11/23HAkron79-59
20/11/23AStephen F. Austin68-92
19/11/23AOakland85-77
15/11/23HSouthwest Minnesota State87-67
09/11/23HLipscomb85-70
17/03/23AMiami (FL)56-63
05/03/23ABradley77-51
04/03/23HSouthern Illinois65-52
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/23HEvansville90-78
25/11/23HSouth Carolina St92-74
21/11/23HAbilene Christian87-69
20/11/23HKent State56-52
18/11/23AFlorida Gulf Coast70-61
14/11/23HOral Roberts84-69
07/11/23AWest Virginia59-67
04/03/23ASouthern Illinois51-54
03/03/23HIllinois (Chi.)74-57
26/02/23AIndiana State66-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Drake
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game80.682.078.7
Allowed / game71.666.878.0
Point differential+9.0+15.2+0.7
Avg total152.1148.8156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Missouri State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %86%100%50%
Points / game76.981.864.5
Allowed / game67.168.464.0
Point differential+9.7+13.4+0.5
Avg total144.0150.2128.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Evansville87188%85.668.4+17.2
2 Indiana State87188%87.173.5+13.6
3 Drake76186%80.671.6+9.0
4 Bradley86275%75.271.2+4.0
5 Southern Illinois75271%79.465.0+14.4
6 Belmont96367%82.280.4+1.8
7 Illinois (Chi.)85362%74.462.6+11.8
8 Illinois State74357%66.665.9+0.7
9 Murray State63350%77.873.0+4.8
10 Valparaiso84450%70.169.8+0.4
11 Northern Iowa82625%75.475.2+0.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Missouri State76186%76.967.1+9.7
2 Louisiana Tech86275%77.862.0+15.8
3 Liberty86275%80.065.5+14.5
4 UTEP85362%80.968.9+12.0
5 Kennesaw State85362%86.577.1+9.4
6 Delaware85362%76.268.9+7.4
7 Western Kentucky85362%81.174.4+6.8
8 Jacksonville State84450%70.862.4+8.4
9 Middle Tenn. St.84450%65.164.2+0.9
10 Sam Houston St.84450%73.473.0+0.4
11 New Mexico State94544%72.971.2+1.7
12 Florida International92722%71.877.4-5.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Drake363874
Missouri State253257
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