PythiaBasketballBETA
Higher LeagueOn 20 November 2026 the Higher League will see Turan host Pavlodar, and the Pythia model names Turan the clear favourite, assigning a 100% probability of a home win based on their 5-game season record of 5-0, 95 points per game and 57 points allowed per game, while Pavlodar sits at 0-5, 62.4 points per game and 94.2 points allowed per game, and has yet to win a game in the league. Turan's home form is solid, with a 3-2 record in their last five outings and a recent victory over Shymkent 87-64, whereas Pavlodar's road record is 0-3, with losses to ChelSU Kostanay, Tulpar and BC Almaty in their last three matches. In the two meetings between the sides, Turan has won both, most recently defeating Pavlodar 94-35 on 29 November 2025. Pythia projects a final score of 95-57 for Turan, a total of 152.0 points, and gives Turan a 100% chance to cover the home line, with no over/under line provided. The game is expected to finish within regulation, with an overtime probability of 0%.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | no games | ||||
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 76.5 | 64.5 | 141.0 | +12.0 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 73.6 | 76.6 | 150.2 | -3.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 60.5 | 92.0 | 152.5 | -31.5 | 0% |
| vs Similar (2) | 87.5 | 68.5 | 156.0 | +19.0 | 100% |
| vs Weaker (26) | 87.6 | 59.3 | 146.9 | +28.3 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 62.4 | 94.2 | 156.6 | -31.8 | 0% |
| Season at home (2) | 58.0 | 87.0 | 145.0 | -29.0 | 0% |
| Season away (3) | 65.3 | 99.0 | 164.3 | -33.7 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 59.5 | 85.8 | 145.3 | -26.3 | 10% |
| Last 5 (5) | 62.4 | 94.2 | 156.6 | -31.8 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (28) | 58.3 | 87.7 | 146.0 | -29.4 | 4% |
| vs Similar (2) | 76.5 | 60.5 | 137.0 | +16.0 | 100% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.9 | 29.9 | 73.8 | +13.9 | 83% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 43.8 | 29.5 | 73.3 | +14.3 | 87% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 43.9 | 30.3 | 74.3 | +13.6 | 80% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.4 | 31.0 | 69.4 | +7.4 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 35.8 | 33.4 | 69.2 | +2.4 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 26.5 | 44.0 | 70.5 | -17.5 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar (2) | 45.0 | 31.0 | 76.0 | +14.0 | 100% | - |
| vs Weaker (26) | 45.1 | 28.8 | 73.9 | +16.3 | 88% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 29.7 | 46.3 | 76.0 | -16.6 | 13% | - |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 31.2 | 39.2 | 70.3 | -8.0 | 31% | - |
| Last 30 away (17) | 28.6 | 51.8 | 80.4 | -23.2 | 0% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 33.0 | 47.0 | 80.0 | -14.0 | 10% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 34.2 | 52.2 | 86.4 | -18.0 | 0% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (28) | 29.4 | 47.2 | 76.6 | -17.9 | 11% | - |
| vs Similar (2) | 34.0 | 33.5 | 67.5 | +0.5 | 50% | - |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.4 | 21.4 | 49.6% | 42.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 33.9 | 8.4 | 28.6% | 25.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 12.1 | 8.5 | 63.9% | 8.5 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 48.2 | 18.0 | 49.6% | 36.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 22.3 | 4.8 | 28.6% | 14.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 15.1 | 8.4 | 63.9% | 8.4 |
Turan
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 29/11/25 | Pavlodar v Turan | 35-94 |
| 27/11/25 | Pavlodar v Turan | 60-126 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/26 | H | Almaty | 56-89 |
| 07/05/26 | A | Almaty | 65-95 |
| 02/05/26 | H | Shymkent | 87-64 |
| 30/04/26 | A | Bars Petropavlovsk | 84-72 |
| 29/04/26 | H | Bars Petropavlovsk | 76-63 |
| 27/04/26 | A | CHAMP1ON | 71-50 |
| 26/04/26 | H | CHAMP1ON | 104-51 |
| 16/04/26 | H | Kaspiy Aktau 2 | 66-55 |
| 15/04/26 | A | Atyrau 2 | 68-54 |
| 14/04/26 | H | Kaspiy Aktau 2 | 88-52 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/26 | H | ChelSU Kostanay | 55-86 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Tulpar | 65-86 |
| 23/10/26 | A | BC Almaty 2 | 79-107 |
| 22/10/26 | H | ChelSU Kostanay | 61-88 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Tulpar | 52-104 |
| 07/05/26 | A | Arlans | 49-73 |
| 06/05/26 | H | AiRom | 64-58 |
| 05/05/26 | A | Tigers-KazATU | 41-96 |
| 04/05/26 | H | Tobol Kostanay 2 | 65-76 |
| 03/05/26 | A | Karaganda | 64-84 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | - | - |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | - | - | - |
| Win % | - | - | - |
| Points / game | - | - | - |
| Allowed / game | - | - | - |
| Point differential | - | - | - |
| Avg total | - | - | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | - | - | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | - | - | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLL | 0% |
| Home | LL | 0% |
| Away | LLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Points / game | 62.4 | 58.0 | 65.3 |
| Allowed / game | 94.2 | 87.0 | 99.0 |
| Point differential | -31.8 | -29.0 | -33.7 |
| Avg total | 156.6 | 145.0 | 164.3 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bars Petropavlovsk | 9 | 9 | 0 | 100% | 88.1 | 63.3 | +24.8 |
| 2 |  BC Almaty 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 83.2 | 72.6 | +10.6 |
| 3 |  Tigers-KazATU | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 87.9 | 71.6 | +16.3 |
| 4 | Tulpar | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 82.0 | 84.8 | -2.8 |
| 5 |  Karaganda | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 68.2 | 74.8 | -6.6 |
| 6 |  ChelSU Kostanay | 9 | 2 | 7 | 22% | 70.1 | 82.1 | -12.0 |
| 7 |  Arlans | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 68.2 | 87.8 | -19.6 |
| 8 | Pavlodar | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 62.4 | 94.2 | -31.8 |
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