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Turan vs Shymkent Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 May 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 87-64
31-12 16-12 26-17 14-23
Position#1
Record32-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game59.5
Turan 🏆
Kazakhstan
vs
Position#2
Record29-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game94.9
Allowed / game69.6
KazakhstanHigher LeagueHigher League - Final· Olympic Center
Other2025-26
Meetings · Turan v Shymkent
02 May 2026
TURA87
SHYM64
26 Feb 2024
TURA110
SHYM106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Turan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shymkent winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TuranKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arlans
#11
W
91-74
91
74
+17
H11/03
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
83-56
83
56
+27
A12/03
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A13/04
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
88-52
88
52
+36
H14/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
68-54
68
54
+14
A15/04
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
66-55
66
55
+11
H16/04
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
104-51
104
51
+53
H26/04
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
71-50
71
50
+21
A27/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H29/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
84-72
84
72
+12
A30/04
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-19
20-16
18-11
22-28
23-11
16-13
25-17
19-15
15-17
21-15
23-16
12-19
21-20
26-10
27-12
14-10
11-12
16-15
21-12
20-15
21-18
14-17
16-10
15-10
26-20
32-8
22-12
24-11
24-13
14-10
16-14
17-13
16-12
17-17
17-15
26-19
21-16
25-10
19-24
19-22
139.6Avg total
80.2Scored
59.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)86.959.5146.4+27.4100%
Season at home (15)85.158.1143.2+27.1100%
Season away (17)88.560.8149.3+27.6100%
Last 10 (10)80.259.4139.6+20.8100%
Last 5 (5)80.258.2138.4+22.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)84.070.5154.5+13.5100%
vs Weaker (28)87.659.3147.0+28.3100%
This opponent (Shymkent) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShymkentKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AiRom
#13
W
96-46
96
46
+50
H11/03
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
103-67
103
67
+36
A12/03
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
105-73
105
73
+32
A13/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
89-68
89
68
+21
H14/04
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
87-86
87
86
+1
A15/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
85-64
85
64
+21
H16/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
115-64
115
64
+51
H26/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
88-75
88
75
+13
A27/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
94-83
94
83
+11
H29/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
88-80
88
80
+8
A30/04
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-14
21-16
24-11
22-5
26-13
33-14
24-21
20-19
24-18
30-18
26-12
25-25
21-16
28-6
23-26
17-20
23-22
26-20
19-27
19-17
19-15
21-20
26-14
19-15
29-18
27-15
35-15
24-16
28-22
20-9
17-22
23-22
24-24
20-30
30-8
20-21
20-18
29-21
24-20
15-21
165.6Avg total
95.0Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)94.969.6164.5+25.391%
Season at home (17)94.567.7162.2+26.882%
Season away (15)95.471.7167.1+23.7100%
Last 10 (10)95.070.6165.6+24.4100%
Last 5 (5)94.073.2167.2+20.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)82.875.5158.2+7.250%
vs Weaker (26)96.468.9165.3+27.596%
This opponent (Turan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: +7.0+7.0Q2: +8.6+8.6Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: +7.2+7.2Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +2.3+2.3
TuranShymkent
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TuranLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arlans
#11
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H11/03
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
39-24
39
24
+15
A12/03
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A13/04
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H14/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A15/04
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H16/04
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
58-28
58
28
+30
H26/04
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
38-23
38
23
+15
A27/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H29/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
46-26
46
26
+20
A30/04
Higher League
69.9Avg total
41.0Scored
28.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.329.374.6+16.090%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.229.173.4+15.193%-
Last 30 away (16)46.229.575.8+16.888%-
Last 10 (10)41.028.969.9+12.180%-
Last 5 (5)42.028.270.2+13.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)44.537.081.5+7.5100%-
vs Weaker (28)45.428.874.1+16.689%-
This opponent (Shymkent) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShymkentLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AiRom
#13
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H11/03
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
59-27
59
27
+32
A12/03
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A13/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
49-22
49
22
+27
H14/04
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A15/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H16/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
56-33
56
33
+23
H26/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A27/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H29/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A30/04
Higher League
84.7Avg total
49.8Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.034.485.4+16.690%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.134.985.1+15.281%-
Last 30 away (14)52.133.885.9+18.3100%-
Last 10 (10)49.834.984.7+14.990%-
Last 5 (5)47.438.485.8+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)45.839.084.8+6.850%-
vs Weaker (26)51.833.785.5+18.296%-
This opponent (Turan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Turantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Turan: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.2 pts a game · 9% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.722.7
55.8%
49.5%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.19.2
27.0%
28.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws10.37.2
69.9%
63.9%7.2
They take 74.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shymkenttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shymkent: 95.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.426.9
59.3%
49.5%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.6
34.4%
28.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws23.312.4
53.2%
63.9%12.4
They take 73.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Turan
WWWWWWWWWW
Shymkent
WWWWWWWWWW
#1
League position
#2
+28.9
Net rating
+31.1
111.5
Offensive rating
121.3
82.6
Defensive rating
90.1
48.8%
Effective FG%
56.3%
43.8%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.14
Free-throw rate
0.32
27.0%
3-point %
34.4%
72.4%
Assist %
74.2%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 121.3Defence82.6 · 90.1Shooting48.8% · 56.3%3-point %27.0% · 34.4%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.14 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)100% · 100%
■ Turan   ■ Shymkent
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Turan wins
4
Shymkent wins
DateGameScore
15/11/25Shymkent v Turan73-88
26/10/25Shymkent v Turan68-80
07/04/25Shymkent v Turan53-90
01/03/25Shymkent v Turan79-75
17/12/24Shymkent v Turan81-64
12/11/24Shymkent v Turan73-77 OT
18/10/24Shymkent v Turan63-82
26/02/24Turan v Shymkent110-106
21/01/24Shymkent v Turan88-71
13/11/23Shymkent v Turan100-88
Turanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/26ABars Petropavlovsk84-72
29/04/26HBars Petropavlovsk76-63
27/04/26ACHAMP1ON71-50
26/04/26HCHAMP1ON104-51
16/04/26HKaspiy Aktau 266-55
15/04/26AAtyrau 268-54
14/04/26HKaspiy Aktau 288-52
13/04/26AAtyrau 271-67
12/03/26AAiRom83-56
11/03/26HArlans91-74
Shymkentlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/26AAtyrau 288-80
29/04/26HAtyrau 294-83
27/04/26AChelSU Kostanay88-75
26/04/26HChelSU Kostanay115-64
16/04/26HAtyrau 285-64
15/04/26AKaspiy Aktau 287-86
14/04/26HAtyrau 289-68
13/04/26AKaspiy Aktau 2105-73
12/03/26AArlans103-67
11/03/26HAiRom96-46

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Turan
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game86.985.188.5
Allowed / game59.558.160.8
Point differential+27.4+27.1+27.6
Avg total146.4143.2149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+94%93%94%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shymkent
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %91%82%100%
Points / game94.994.595.4
Allowed / game69.667.771.7
Point differential+25.3+26.8+23.7
Avg total164.5162.2167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%82%73%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan32320100%86.959.5+27.4
2 Shymkent3229391%94.969.6+25.3
3 Bars Petropavlovsk3326779%84.762.9+21.8
4 Aktobe3325876%81.868.7+13.0
5 BC Almaty 233201361%83.874.5+9.2
6 Atyrau 233191458%75.771.5+4.2
7 ChelSU Kostanay33161748%74.979.7-4.8
8 Karaganda28131546%80.278.5+1.7
9 CHAMP1ON33141942%72.277.7-5.5
10 Tigers-KazATU28111739%68.576.4-7.9
11 Arlans2882029%73.683.0-9.4
12 Tobol Kostanay 22872125%69.781.6-11.9
13 AiRom2852318%63.282.5-19.3
14 Pavlodar282267%56.587.2-30.8
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2281274%55.783.1-27.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Turan3116261487
Shymkent1212172364
← all games of the day
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