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Kaspiy Aktau 2 vs Shymkent Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 13 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 73-105
18-24 18-30 12-26 25-25
Position#15
Record1-23
FormLLLLL
Points / game53.9
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#2
Record21-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game95.2
Allowed / game68.1
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kaspiy Aktau 2 v Shymkent
15 Apr 2026
KASP86
SHYM87
13 Apr 2026
KASP73
SHYM105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kaspiy Aktau 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shymkent winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Kaspiy Aktau 2
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 53.9
47.0▼ 6.9
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 82.5
77.4▼ 5.1
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 45%
45%▲ 0%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 14.5
14.5▲ 0.0
🔥 Form · Shymkent
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 95.2
92.8▼ 2.5
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 68.1
63.8▼ 4.3
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 58%
58%▲ 0%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 26.0
26.0▲ 0.0
Kaspiy Aktau 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karaganda
#7
L
72-112
72
112
-40
H15/12
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
L
63-93
63
93
-30
A16/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
63-86
63
86
-23
H17/12
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A18/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
29-83
29
83
-54
H10/02
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
26-93
26
93
-67
A11/02
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
44-77
44
77
-33
H12/02
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
38-75
38
75
-37
A13/02
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A03/04
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H04/04
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-25
19-31
22-33
19-23
17-21
14-26
14-22
18-24
12-15
21-35
17-14
13-22
15-12
21-9
11-23
11-16
9-30
10-19
6-22
4-12
11-20
6-20
7-38
2-15
9-22
10-19
13-21
12-15
4-24
8-13
15-16
11-22
14-20
7-19
24-17
14-15
14-19
14-21
20-16
20-15
134.1Avg total
52.0Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)53.982.5136.4-28.74%
Season at home (13)54.484.2138.6-29.80%
Season away (11)53.380.5133.8-27.39%
Last 10 (10)52.082.1134.1-30.10%
Last 5 (5)47.077.4124.4-30.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)55.485.6140.9-30.24%
vs Similar (2)60.576.5137.0-16.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShymkentKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
96-58
96
58
+38
H15/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
110-65
110
65
+45
A16/12
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
94-76
94
76
+18
H17/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
75-60
75
60
+15
A18/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
66-58
66
58
+8
A12/02
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
70-77
70
77
-7
H14/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
93-55
93
55
+38
H09/03
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
102-74
102
74
+28
A10/03
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
96-46
96
46
+50
H11/03
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
103-67
103
67
+36
A12/03
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-11
31-22
18-14
22-11
36-20
20-16
32-15
22-14
30-20
23-14
22-23
19-19
28-14
21-17
20-12
6-17
19-9
10-10
17-28
20-11
20-15
20-18
20-22
10-22
22-9
29-20
24-7
18-19
30-17
35-22
20-16
17-19
29-14
21-16
24-11
22-5
26-13
33-14
24-21
20-19
154.1Avg total
90.5Scored
63.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)95.268.1163.3+27.288%
Season at home (13)94.167.1161.2+27.077%
Season away (11)96.669.3165.9+27.4100%
Last 10 (10)90.563.6154.1+26.990%
Last 5 (5)92.863.8156.6+29.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.090.0143.0-37.00%
vs Similar (5)82.077.2159.2+4.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)93.861.9155.6+31.996%
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-15-8+0+8+15Q1Q1: -9.1-9.1Q1: +12.3+12.3Q2Q2: -8.2-8.2Q2: +7.4+7.4Q3Q3: -7.3-7.3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: -5.5-5.5Q4: +2.0+2.0
Kaspiy Aktau 2Shymkent
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Kaspiy Aktau 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karaganda
#7
L
31-56
31
56
-25
H15/12
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A16/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H17/12
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
36-21
36
21
+15
A18/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
19-49
19
49
-30
H10/02
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
17-40
17
40
-23
A11/02
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
19-41
19
41
-22
H12/02
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
12-37
12
37
-25
A13/02
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A03/04
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H04/04
Higher League
66.7Avg total
24.7Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.244.772.9-16.57%-
Last 30 at home (16)28.446.174.5-17.80%-
Last 30 away (14)28.043.171.1-15.114%-
Last 10 (10)24.742.066.7-17.310%-
Last 5 (5)19.439.458.8-20.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)27.845.573.3-17.64%-
vs Similar (2)33.534.067.5-0.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShymkentLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
56-33
56
33
+23
H15/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A16/12
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H17/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A18/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
29-19
29
19
+10
A12/02
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H14/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H09/03
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
65-39
65
39
+26
A10/03
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H11/03
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
59-27
59
27
+32
A12/03
Higher League
81.9Avg total
50.8Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)50.433.283.6+17.286%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.533.282.8+16.281%-
Last 30 away (13)51.533.284.6+18.392%-
Last 10 (10)50.831.181.9+19.7100%-
Last 5 (5)53.031.684.6+21.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)24.038.062.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (5)45.640.285.8+5.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)52.631.584.0+21.1100%-
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kaspiy Aktau 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kaspiy Aktau 2: 63.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.516.0
50.8%
49.5%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.57.5
23.8%
28.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.09.0
50.0%
63.9%9.0
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shymkenttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shymkent: 97.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.3 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.024.7
58.7%
49.5%49.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.711.0
37.1%
28.5%33.0
🏀 Free throws28.315.0
52.9%
63.9%15.0
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/3 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kaspiy Aktau 2
LLLLLLLLLL
Shymkent
WWWWLWWWWW
#15
League position
#2
-9.9
Net rating
+54.0
83.6
Offensive rating
127.1
93.5
Defensive rating
73.1
43.3%
Effective FG%
57.4%
40.7%
Opp. effective FG%
38.9%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.40
23.8%
3-point %
37.1%
61.7%
Assist %
72.9%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence83.6 · 127.1Defence93.5 · 73.1Shooting43.3% · 57.4%3-point %23.8% · 37.1%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)0% · 90%
■ Kaspiy Aktau 2   ■ Shymkent
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kaspiy Aktau 2 wins
0
Shymkent wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/26HAktobe68-71
03/04/26AAktobe59-71
13/02/26ABars Petropavlovsk38-75
12/02/26HTigers-KazATU44-77
11/02/26ABars Petropavlovsk26-93
10/02/26HTigers-KazATU29-83
18/12/25APavlodar58-60
17/12/25HKaraganda63-86
16/12/25APavlodar63-93
15/12/25HKaraganda72-112
Shymkentlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/26AArlans103-67
11/03/26HAiRom96-46
10/03/26AArlans102-74
09/03/26HAiRom93-55
14/02/26HAktobe70-77
12/02/26AAktobe66-58
18/12/25ATigers-KazATU75-60
17/12/25HBars Petropavlovsk94-76
16/12/25ATigers-KazATU110-65
15/12/25HBars Petropavlovsk96-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kaspiy Aktau 2
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL4%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %4%0%9%
Points / game53.954.453.3
Allowed / game82.584.280.5
Point differential-28.7-29.8-27.3
Avg total136.4138.6133.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shymkent
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW88%
HomeWWLWW77%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %88%77%100%
Points / game95.294.196.6
Allowed / game68.167.169.3
Point differential+27.2+27.0+27.4
Avg total163.3161.2165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+79%77%82%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan24240100%89.760.0+29.7
2 Shymkent2421388%95.268.1+27.2
3 Aktobe2823582%83.067.5+15.6
4 Bars Petropavlovsk2419579%85.960.0+25.9
5 Atyrau 22417771%78.769.3+9.3
6 BC Almaty 22416867%83.573.1+10.5
7 CHAMP1ON24131154%74.773.3+1.4
8 ChelSU Kostanay24131154%76.480.0-3.6
9 Karaganda24101442%79.879.8+0.0
10 Tigers-KazATU24101442%67.575.7-8.2
11 Arlans2882029%73.683.0-9.4
12 AiRom2852318%63.282.5-19.3
13 Tobol Kostanay 22442017%68.483.1-14.8
14 Pavlodar242228%56.189.5-33.4
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2241234%53.982.5-28.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kaspiy Aktau 21818122573
Shymkent24302625105
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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