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Nicholls State vs TX A&M Commerce Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 71-72
36-36 35-36
Position#189
Record14-12
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game72.8
vs
Position#277
Record11-17
FormWLLLL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game72.1
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Nicholls State v TX A&M Commerce
08 Feb 2025
NICH81
TX A65
11 Mar 2024
NICH72
TX A51
24 Feb 2024
NICH85
TX A70
23 Feb 2024
NICH v TX A
upcoming
20 Feb 2023
NICH71
TX A72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nicholls State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
TX A&M Commerce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nicholls StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#75
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H14/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H20/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A21/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
L
86-96
86
96
-10
A27/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#284
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A28/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
92-91
92
91
+1
A05/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
84-59
84
59
+25
H10/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
88-77
88
77
+11
A11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
L
74-78
74
78
-4
H17/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#284
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-31
38-32
32-34
41-30
40-32
31-36
43-36
43-60
36-31
31-38
44-42
48-49
44-30
40-29
41-47
47-30
33-37
41-41
39-33
45-41
153.5Avg total
79.6Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)76.572.8149.2+3.754%
Season at home (11)83.964.3148.2+19.682%
Season away (15)71.079.0150.0-8.033%
Last 10 (10)79.673.9153.5+5.770%
Last 5 (5)84.475.8160.2+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.5100.0165.5-34.50%
vs Similar (12)73.176.6149.7-3.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)81.267.1148.3+14.179%
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TX A&M CommerceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#339
W
81-66
81
66
+15
H14/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
63-58
63
58
+5
A20/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A21/01
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A27/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H28/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H04/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H10/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A11/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H17/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
76-78 OT
76
78
-2
H18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-28
42-38
27-37
36-21
30-27
43-52
33-31
29-26
26-39
51-37
27-29
33-29
35-36
47-52
36-42
28-30
38-50
40-34
38-38
32-32
143.2Avg total
71.6Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)70.272.1142.3-1.939%
Season at home (10)77.569.7147.2+7.860%
Season away (18)66.173.4139.6-7.328%
Last 10 (10)71.671.6143.2+0.050%
Last 5 (5)72.076.0148.0-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)67.275.0142.2-7.822%
vs Similar (11)71.075.7146.7-4.727%
vs Weaker (8)72.463.9136.2+8.575%
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: -2.8-2.82nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: +3.0+3.0
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: -2.8-2.82nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: +3.0+3.0
Nicholls StateTX A&M Commerce
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Nicholls StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#75
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H14/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H20/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A21/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A27/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#284
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A28/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A05/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H10/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H17/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#284
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H18/02
NCAA
74.4Avg total
39.1Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.134.571.6+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.829.869.6+9.969%-
Last 30 away (17)35.138.073.1-2.947%-
Last 10 (10)39.135.374.4+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)40.237.878.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.044.077.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (12)35.235.871.0-0.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)39.732.572.2+7.271%-
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#339
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H14/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A20/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A21/01
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A27/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H28/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H04/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H10/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A11/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H17/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H18/02
NCAA
68.6Avg total
32.9Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)32.334.666.9-2.234%-
Last 30 at home (10)37.834.672.4+3.250%-
Last 30 away (19)29.534.564.0-5.126%-
Last 10 (10)32.935.768.6-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)34.839.073.8-4.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)31.035.766.7-4.733%-
vs Similar (11)31.634.766.4-3.136%-
vs Weaker (8)35.233.568.8+1.838%-
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nicholls State wins
0
TX A&M Commerce wins
DateGameScore
06/01/23TX A&M Commerce v Nicholls State63-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/23HIncarnate Word84-74
17/02/23HTexas A&M-CC74-78
11/02/23ASE Louisiana88-77
10/02/23HNew Orleans84-59
05/02/23AHouston Christian92-91
28/01/23AIncarnate Word67-69
27/01/23ATexas A&M-CC86-96
21/01/23AMcNeese State71-68
20/01/23HMcNeese State73-64
14/01/23HNorthwestern St.77-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/23HSE Louisiana76-78 OT
17/02/23HNew Orleans78-84
11/02/23ANorthwestern St.64-72
10/02/23HNorthwestern St.82-88
04/02/23HMcNeese State60-58
28/01/23HHouston Christian77-76
27/01/23ALamar62-57
21/01/23ASE Louisiana73-79
20/01/23ANew Orleans63-58
14/01/23HLamar81-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nicholls State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW54%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayWLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261115
Win %54%82%33%
Points / game76.583.971.0
Allowed / game72.864.379.0
Point differential+3.7+19.6-8.0
Avg total149.2148.2150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%73%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)0% (1)57% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
TX A&M Commerce
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL39%
HomeWWLLL60%
AwayLWLWL28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281018
Win %39%60%28%
Points / game70.277.566.1
Allowed / game72.169.773.4
Point differential-1.9+7.8-7.3
Avg total142.3147.2139.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)50% (4)71% (7)
Overtime %14%20%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas A&M-CC2819968%80.171.9+8.2
2 Northwestern St.2819968%74.772.1+2.5
3 Stephen F. Austin2718967%76.567.5+9.0
4 Nicholls State26141254%76.572.8+3.7
5 SE Louisiana28151354%77.376.8+0.5
6 UTRGV29151452%76.574.4+2.1
7 TX A&M Commerce28111739%70.272.1-1.9
8 Incarnate Word28111739%70.973.7-2.8
9 Houston Christian2891932%78.683.6-5.0
10 Lamar2891932%68.074.3-6.2
11 New Orleans2681831%71.379.8-8.5
12 McNeese State2882029%67.875.0-7.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nicholls State363571
TX A&M Commerce363672
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