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Nicholls State vs TX A&M Commerce Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 81-65
33-37 48-28
Position#122
Record14-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game69.4
vs
Position#363
Record3-20
FormLLLWL
Points / game64.4
Allowed / game78.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nicholls State v TX A&M Commerce
08 Feb 2025
NICH81
TX A65
11 Mar 2024
NICH72
TX A51
24 Feb 2024
NICH85
TX A70
23 Feb 2024
NICH v TX A
upcoming
20 Feb 2023
NICH71
TX A72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nicholls State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
TX A&M Commerce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nicholls StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#198
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A04/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
83-61
83
61
+22
A07/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A11/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A14/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H18/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
74-78
74
78
-4
H20/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A25/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
82-75
82
75
+7
A28/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H01/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H04/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-36
33-32
38-24
45-37
33-39
38-41
40-30
48-52
39-33
34-28
37-35
37-43
18-26
39-35
30-34
52-41
35-28
36-35
27-38
48-29
143.6Avg total
74.0Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)74.069.4143.5+4.661%
Season at home (11)76.662.5139.2+14.173%
Season away (12)71.775.8147.4-4.150%
Last 10 (10)74.069.6143.6+4.460%
Last 5 (5)71.868.8140.6+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.983.4157.3-9.629%
vs Similar (11)69.869.1138.9+0.755%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)79.162.5141.6+16.692%
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TX A&M CommerceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McNeese State
#20
L
56-75
56
75
-19
H04/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
61-83
61
83
-22
H07/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A11/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A14/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
L
73-131
73
131
-58
H18/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H20/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
58-61 OT
58
61
-3
A26/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A28/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
72-50
72
50
+22
H01/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
66-78
66
78
-12
H04/02
NCAA
1H
2H
23-41
33-34
24-38
37-45
24-38
43-37
27-26
28-31
33-33
40-98
36-33
32-43
27-23
25-29
34-44
38-35
27-23
45-27
27-41
39-37
141.3Avg total
64.8Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)64.478.0142.3-13.613%
Season at home (10)66.378.6144.9-12.330%
Season away (13)62.977.5140.4-14.50%
Last 10 (10)64.876.5141.3-11.710%
Last 5 (5)67.268.8136.0-1.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)63.575.3138.8-11.813%
vs Similar (6)70.384.0154.3-13.750%
vs Weaker (1)98.085.0183.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: -5.8-5.82nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: -5.6-5.6
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: -5.8-5.82nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: -5.6-5.6
Nicholls StateTX A&M Commerce
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Nicholls StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#198
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A04/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
38-24
38
24
+14
A07/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A11/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A14/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H18/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H20/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
18-26
18
26
-8
A25/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A28/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H01/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H04/02
NCAA
65.3Avg total
33.0Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.533.167.5+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.829.966.8+6.977%-
Last 30 away (17)32.635.568.1-2.841%-
Last 10 (10)33.032.365.3+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)29.432.261.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.739.372.0-6.629%-
vs Similar (11)31.531.763.3-0.255%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)38.230.768.8+7.575%-
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McNeese State
#20
L
23-41
23
41
-18
H04/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H07/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A11/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A14/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H18/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H20/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
W
27-23
27
23
+4
A26/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A28/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
27-23
27
23
+4
H01/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H04/02
NCAA
62.2Avg total
28.2Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.336.365.6-7.027%-
Last 30 at home (12)28.635.163.7-6.525%-
Last 30 away (18)29.837.266.9-7.428%-
Last 10 (10)28.234.062.2-5.840%-
Last 5 (5)30.232.863.0-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)28.237.065.3-8.826%-
vs Similar (6)30.033.063.0-3.017%-
vs Weaker (1)50.040.090.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Nicholls State wins
1
TX A&M Commerce wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/25HHouston Christian75-67
01/02/25HMcNeese State71-63
28/01/25AUTRGV82-75
25/01/25ATexas A&M-CC57-61
20/01/25HLamar74-78
18/01/25HStephen F. Austin73-61
14/01/25AIncarnate Word88-82
11/01/25AMcNeese State71-80
07/01/25ATX A&M Commerce83-61
04/01/25ANorthwestern St.66-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/25HTexas A&M-CC66-78
01/02/25HNorthwestern St.72-50
28/01/25AStephen F. Austin72-79
26/01/25ALamar58-61 OT
20/01/25HSE Louisiana68-76
18/01/25HNew Orleans73-131
14/01/25AUTRGV55-57
11/01/25ANorthwestern St.67-75
07/01/25HNicholls State61-83
04/01/25HMcNeese State56-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nicholls State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW61%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %61%73%50%
Points / game74.076.671.7
Allowed / game69.462.575.8
Point differential+4.6+14.1-4.1
Avg total143.5139.2147.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%36%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
TX A&M Commerce
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL13%
HomeLLLWL30%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %13%30%0%
Points / game64.466.362.9
Allowed / game78.078.677.5
Point differential-13.6-12.3-14.5
Avg total142.3144.9140.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)100% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State2317674%76.965.0+11.9
2 Texas A&M-CC2415962%79.469.0+10.4
3 Nicholls State2314961%74.069.4+4.6
4 SE Louisiana2314961%72.668.9+3.7
5 UTRGV23131057%77.672.8+4.8
6 Lamar23131057%72.167.7+4.5
7 Incarnate Word23111248%75.569.8+5.7
8 Northwestern St.23111248%69.769.1+0.6
9 Stephen F. Austin23101343%65.465.8-0.3
10 Houston Christian23101343%68.070.9-3.0
11 New Orleans2341917%70.383.3-12.9
12 TX A&M Commerce2332013%64.478.0-13.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nicholls State334881
TX A&M Commerce372865
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