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TX A&M Commerce vs SE Louisiana Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 20 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 68-76
36-33 32-43
Position#363
Record2-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game63.6
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Position#152
Record10-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game68.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · TX A&M Commerce v SE Louisiana
20 Jan 2025
TX A68
SE L76
12 Feb 2024
TX A77
SE L79
18 Feb 2023
TX A76
SE L78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TX A&M Commerce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
SE Louisiana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TX A&M CommerceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#304
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A06/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
L
53-65
53
65
-12
A07/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H15/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H18/12
NCAA
South Florida
#282
L
62-88
62
88
-26
A21/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
56-75
56
75
-19
H04/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
61-83
61
83
-22
H07/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A11/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A14/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
L
73-131
73
131
-58
H18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-45
48-38
25-39
28-26
32-38
40-43
20-27
48-40
26-49
36-39
23-41
33-34
24-38
37-45
24-38
43-37
27-26
28-31
33-33
40-98
145.1Avg total
64.6Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)63.680.5144.1-16.911%
Season at home (7)65.383.1148.4-17.929%
Season away (11)62.578.8141.4-16.30%
Last 10 (10)64.680.5145.1-15.910%
Last 5 (5)62.484.2146.6-21.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)62.077.5139.5-15.610%
vs Similar (9)71.781.8153.4-10.144%
vs Weaker (1)98.085.0183.0+13.0100%
This opponent (SE Louisiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SE LouisianaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#122
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A06/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A12/12
NCAA
Grambling St.
#318
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A17/12
NCAA
Loyola NO
#524
W
96-62
96
62
+34
H21/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
51-79
51
79
-28
A31/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H04/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H07/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
91-71
91
71
+20
A11/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A14/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
65-64
65
64
+1
A18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-28
37-39
35-31
26-37
40-29
35-36
53-32
43-30
20-34
31-45
40-35
31-45
36-38
43-37
47-27
44-44
31-26
35-33
32-22
33-42
140.9Avg total
71.9Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)71.668.7140.2+2.956%
Season at home (5)81.268.6149.8+12.660%
Season away (13)67.868.7136.5-0.854%
Last 10 (10)71.969.0140.9+2.960%
Last 5 (5)74.469.8144.2+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.878.0145.8-10.220%
vs Similar (12)69.271.8140.9-2.658%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)76.264.1140.3+12.277%
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: -10.9-10.91st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: -5.0-5.02nd half: -3.0-3.0
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: -10.9-10.91st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: -5.0-5.02nd half: -3.0-3.0
TX A&M CommerceSE Louisiana
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#304
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A06/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A07/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H15/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
L
20-27
20
27
-7
H18/12
NCAA
South Florida
#282
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A21/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
23-41
23
41
-18
H04/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H07/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A11/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A14/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H18/01
NCAA
63.9Avg total
26.5Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.536.966.4-7.420%-
Last 30 at home (11)29.936.266.1-6.318%-
Last 30 away (19)29.237.366.5-8.121%-
Last 10 (10)26.537.463.9-10.910%-
Last 5 (5)26.235.261.4-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)27.838.165.9-10.315%-
vs Similar (9)30.933.964.8-3.022%-
vs Weaker (1)50.040.090.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (SE Louisiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SE LouisianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#122
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A06/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A12/12
NCAA
Grambling St.
#318
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A17/12
NCAA
Loyola NO
#524
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H21/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
20-34
20
34
-14
A31/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H04/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H07/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A11/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A14/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
32-22
32
22
+10
A18/01
NCAA
66.3Avg total
36.1Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.731.066.7+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.232.571.8+6.867%-
Last 30 away (18)33.330.063.3+3.367%-
Last 10 (10)36.130.266.3+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)37.229.666.8+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.833.066.8+0.860%-
vs Similar (12)34.631.866.4+2.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)37.529.566.9+8.085%-
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
TX A&M Commerce wins
3
SE Louisiana wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25HNew Orleans73-131
14/01/25AUTRGV55-57
11/01/25ANorthwestern St.67-75
07/01/25HNicholls State61-83
04/01/25HMcNeese State56-75
21/12/24ASouth Florida62-88
18/12/24HAbilene Christian68-67
15/12/24HSouth Alabama72-81
07/12/24AIncarnate Word53-65
06/12/24AHouston Christian79-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25ANorthwestern St.65-64
14/01/25AStephen F. Austin66-59
11/01/25ANew Orleans91-71
07/01/25HUTRGV79-75
04/01/25HTexas A&M-CC71-80
31/12/24AMcNeese State51-79
21/12/24HLoyola NO96-62
17/12/24AGrambling St.75-65
12/12/24ALouisiana Lafayette61-68
06/12/24ANicholls State64-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TX A&M Commerce
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeLWLLL29%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18711
Win %11%29%0%
Points / game63.665.362.5
Allowed / game80.583.178.8
Point differential-16.9-17.9-16.3
Avg total144.1148.4141.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
SE Louisiana
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW56%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayWLWWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18513
Win %56%60%54%
Points / game71.681.267.8
Allowed / game68.768.668.7
Point differential+2.9+12.6-0.8
Avg total140.2149.8136.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%40%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State1813572%77.464.7+12.7
2 Texas A&M-CC1913668%81.568.4+13.1
3 UTRGV1811761%78.770.5+8.2
4 Nicholls State1811761%74.769.6+5.1
5 SE Louisiana1810856%71.668.7+2.9
6 Incarnate Word189950%76.869.2+7.6
7 Lamar189950%72.567.9+4.6
8 Northwestern St.1881044%71.470.6+0.8
9 Stephen F. Austin1881044%64.664.1+0.6
10 Houston Christian1871139%66.770.7-4.0
11 New Orleans1841422%70.684.3-13.8
12 TX A&M Commerce1821611%63.680.5-16.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
TX A&M Commerce363268
SE Louisiana334376
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