PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

TX A&M Commerce vs Northwestern St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 20:15
Final 72-50
27-23 45-27
Position#363
Record2-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game79.3
vs
Position#198
Record10-11
FormLLWWL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game69.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · TX A&M Commerce v Northwestern St.
01 Feb 2025
TX A72
NORT50
06 Mar 2024
TX A83
NORT80
09 Feb 2023
TX A82
NORT88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TX A&M Commerce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TX A&M CommerceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abilene Christian
#208
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H18/12
NCAA
South Florida
#282
L
62-88
62
88
-26
A21/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
56-75
56
75
-19
H04/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
61-83
61
83
-22
H07/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A11/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A14/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
L
73-131
73
131
-58
H18/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H20/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
58-61 OT
58
61
-3
A26/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A28/01
NCAA
1H
2H
20-27
48-40
26-49
36-39
23-41
33-34
24-38
37-45
24-38
43-37
27-26
28-31
33-33
40-98
36-33
32-43
27-23
25-29
34-44
38-35
143.2Avg total
64.0Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)64.079.3143.2-15.310%
Season at home (8)65.682.2147.9-16.625%
Season away (13)62.977.5140.4-14.50%
Last 10 (10)64.079.2143.2-15.210%
Last 5 (5)65.280.8146.0-15.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)63.076.8139.8-13.89%
vs Similar (7)71.383.3154.6-12.043%
vs Weaker (1)98.085.0183.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern-New O.
#505
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H20/12
NCAA
Texas
#168
L
53-77
53
77
-24
A29/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H04/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
69-92
69
92
-23
H07/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H11/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A14/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
64-65
64
65
-1
H18/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H20/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
57-54 OT
57
54
+3
A25/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
59-69
59
69
-10
A28/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-28
46-51
22-41
31-36
36-33
32-33
32-43
37-49
38-24
37-43
25-41
39-32
22-32
42-33
27-36
46-25
22-20
27-29
33-28
26-41
137.4Avg total
67.1Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)70.269.2139.4+1.048%
Season at home (10)78.965.7144.6+13.270%
Season away (11)62.372.5134.7-10.227%
Last 10 (10)67.170.3137.4-3.250%
Last 5 (5)63.464.4127.8-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)65.674.9140.4-9.322%
vs Similar (14)65.869.1134.9-3.336%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)80.366.7147.0+13.783%
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -7.8-7.81st half: -2.6-2.62nd half2nd half: -7.1-7.12nd half: -0.9-0.9
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -7.8-7.81st half: -2.6-2.62nd half2nd half: -7.1-7.12nd half: -0.9-0.9
TX A&M CommerceNorthwestern St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abilene Christian
#208
L
20-27
20
27
-7
H18/12
NCAA
South Florida
#282
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A21/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
23-41
23
41
-18
H04/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H07/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A11/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A14/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H18/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H20/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
W
27-23
27
23
+4
A26/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A28/01
NCAA
62.6Avg total
27.4Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.736.966.6-7.123%-
Last 30 at home (11)29.535.765.2-6.318%-
Last 30 away (19)29.937.567.4-7.626%-
Last 10 (10)27.435.262.6-7.830%-
Last 5 (5)31.431.863.2-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)28.537.866.3-9.323%-
vs Similar (7)30.733.464.1-2.714%-
vs Weaker (1)50.040.090.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern-New O.
#505
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H20/12
NCAA
Texas
#168
L
22-41
22
41
-19
A29/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H04/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H07/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H11/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A14/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
22-32
22
32
-10
H18/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H20/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
22-20
22
20
+2
A25/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A28/01
NCAA
62.6Avg total
30.0Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.431.163.5+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.230.564.7+3.753%-
Last 30 away (15)30.631.762.3-1.153%-
Last 10 (10)30.032.662.6-2.650%-
Last 5 (5)25.831.457.2-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)29.637.467.0-7.922%-
vs Similar (14)30.428.959.3+1.464%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)37.527.565.0+10.067%-
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
TX A&M Commerce wins
4
Northwestern St. wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/25AStephen F. Austin72-79
26/01/25ALamar58-61 OT
20/01/25HSE Louisiana68-76
18/01/25HNew Orleans73-131
14/01/25AUTRGV55-57
11/01/25ANorthwestern St.67-75
07/01/25HNicholls State61-83
04/01/25HMcNeese State56-75
21/12/24ASouth Florida62-88
18/12/24HAbilene Christian68-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/25ALamar59-69
25/01/25AStephen F. Austin57-54 OT
20/01/25HNew Orleans73-61
18/01/25HSE Louisiana64-65
14/01/25ATexas A&M-CC64-73
11/01/25HTX A&M Commerce75-67
07/01/25HMcNeese State69-92
04/01/25HNicholls State68-66
29/12/24ATexas53-77
20/12/24HSouthern-New O.89-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TX A&M Commerce
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL10%
HomeWLLLL25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21813
Win %10%25%0%
Points / game64.065.662.9
Allowed / game79.382.277.5
Point differential-15.3-16.6-14.5
Avg total143.2147.9140.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)100% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %5%0%8%
Northwestern St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL48%
HomeWLWLW70%
AwayLLLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %48%70%27%
Points / game70.278.962.3
Allowed / game69.265.772.5
Point differential+1.0+13.2-10.2
Avg total139.4144.6134.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %10%0%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State2116576%78.064.8+13.3
2 Texas A&M-CC2214864%79.768.5+11.3
3 Lamar2213959%71.867.0+4.8
4 UTRGV2112957%78.072.5+5.6
5 Nicholls State2112957%74.169.9+4.3
6 SE Louisiana2112957%72.068.4+3.6
7 Incarnate Word21101148%76.070.2+5.9
8 Northwestern St.21101148%70.269.2+1.0
9 Houston Christian21101148%68.270.6-2.4
10 Stephen F. Austin2291341%64.464.9-0.5
11 New Orleans2141719%69.883.4-13.6
12 TX A&M Commerce2121910%64.079.3-15.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
TX A&M Commerce274572
Northwestern St.232750
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.