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UAB vs Middle Tenn. St. Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 18 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Scheduled
Position#220
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game74.2
vs
Position#139
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game76.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · UAB v Middle Tenn. St.
17 Dec 2026
UAB v MIDD
upcoming
01 Dec 2024
UAB69
MIDD76
11 Feb 2023
UAB92
MIDD69
05 Feb 2022
UAB97
MIDD75
31 Jan 2021
UAB63
MIDD52
12 Feb 2020
UAB83
MIDD72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UAB win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Middle Tenn. St. win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UABUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temple
#205
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A19/02
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
78-67
78
67
+11
A22/02
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
58-62
58
62
-4
H01/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
80-74
80
74
+6
A05/03
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
90-83
90
83
+7
H08/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H13/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#153
L
78-99
78
99
-21
A02/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#203
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H07/11
NCAA
Florida A&M
#309
W
92-64
92
64
+28
H10/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#214
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-33
37-38
46-30
32-37
28-21
30-41
33-35
47-39
41-44
49-39
33-31
45-52
35-44
43-55
36-30
34-33
47-27
45-37
30-35
38-36
150.5Avg total
76.8Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.074.2151.2+2.850%
Season at home (2)81.063.5144.5+17.5100%
Season away (2)73.085.0158.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)76.873.7150.5+3.160%
Last 5 (5)77.276.0153.2+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.585.3163.8-6.850%
vs Similar ◀ (9)71.373.1144.4-1.833%
vs Weaker (15)79.870.7150.5+9.180%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#326
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H21/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H27/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
86-85 OT
86
85
+1
H28/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A06/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A07/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A12/03
NCAA
Fisk
#476
W
117-73
117
73
+44
H02/11
NCAA
Kansas
#12
L
45-89
45
89
-44
A07/11
NCAA
Evansville
#229
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H11/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#222
W
88-75
88
75
+13
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-20
47-46
34-26
43-41
36-42
40-34
33-34
40-33
37-27
38-36
25-39
44-41
52-32
65-41
14-36
31-53
27-20
46-48
50-32
38-43
151.4Avg total
78.1Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.876.2157.0+4.575%
Season at home (3)92.772.0164.7+20.7100%
Season away (1)45.089.0134.0-44.00%
Last 10 (10)78.173.3151.4+4.880%
Last 5 (5)78.477.0155.4+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)65.677.0142.6-11.433%
vs Similar ◀ (14)74.670.9145.5+3.657%
vs Weaker (6)85.574.3159.8+11.267%
This opponent (UAB) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +1.6+1.6
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +1.6+1.6
UABMiddle Tenn. St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UABLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temple
#205
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A19/02
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A22/02
NCAA
North Texas
#138
W
28-21
28
21
+7
H01/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A05/03
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H08/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H13/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#153
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A02/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#203
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H07/11
NCAA
Florida A&M
#309
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H10/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#214
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A15/11
NCAA
69.8Avg total
36.8Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.234.770.8+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.634.971.5+1.862%-
Last 30 away (14)35.634.470.1+1.257%-
Last 10 (10)36.833.069.8+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)36.233.469.6+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.538.773.2-4.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)34.933.067.9+1.967%-
vs Weaker (15)37.634.171.7+3.573%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#326
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H21/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H27/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H28/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A06/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A07/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A12/03
NCAA
Fisk
#476
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H02/11
NCAA
Kansas
#12
L
14-36
14
36
-22
A07/11
NCAA
Evansville
#229
W
27-20
27
20
+7
H11/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#222
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H14/11
NCAA
64.7Avg total
33.9Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.633.668.3+1.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.231.967.1+3.450%-
Last 30 away (14)33.935.669.6-1.736%-
Last 10 (10)33.930.864.7+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)33.631.865.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.937.068.9-5.122%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.133.268.3+1.936%-
vs Weaker (6)38.529.367.8+9.2100%-
This opponent (UAB) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
UAB wins
3
Middle Tenn. St. wins
DateGameScore
02/12/25Middle Tenn. St. v UAB76-61
01/12/24UAB v Middle Tenn. St.69-76
22/11/23Middle Tenn. St. v UAB57-58
11/02/23UAB v Middle Tenn. St.92-69
17/01/23Middle Tenn. St. v UAB74-73 OT
11/03/22Middle Tenn. St. v UAB98-102 OT
05/02/22UAB v Middle Tenn. St.97-75
31/01/21UAB v Middle Tenn. St.63-52
29/01/21Middle Tenn. St. v UAB59-70
15/02/20Middle Tenn. St. v UAB66-79
UABlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AJacksonville State68-71
10/11/26HFlorida A&M92-64
07/11/26HNicholls State70-63
02/11/26AMcNeese State78-99
13/03/26HCharlotte78-83
08/03/26HEast Carolina90-83
05/03/26ACharlotte80-74
01/03/26HNorth Texas58-62
22/02/26AMemphis78-67
19/02/26ATemple76-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSoutheast Missouri State88-75
11/11/26HEvansville73-68
07/11/26AKansas45-89
02/11/26HFisk117-73
12/03/26ALouisiana Tech69-80
07/03/26AMissouri State75-63
06/03/26AFlorida International73-67
28/02/26HNew Mexico State86-85 OT
27/02/26HUTEP77-67
21/02/26HDelaware78-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UAB
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game77.081.073.0
Allowed / game74.263.585.0
Point differential+2.8+17.5-12.0
Avg total151.2144.5158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game80.892.745.0
Allowed / game76.272.089.0
Point differential+4.5+20.7-44.0
Avg total157.0164.7134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa330100%90.765.3+25.3
2 North Texas43175%84.064.5+19.5
3 Wichita State43175%88.570.0+18.5
4 East Carolina43175%75.565.8+9.8
5 Florida Atlantic43175%79.577.5+2.0
6 UTSA Roadrunners32167%76.774.0+2.7
7 Memphis32167%83.389.7-6.3
8 South Florida42250%82.874.8+8.0
9 Rice42250%81.274.0+7.2
10 Tulane42250%81.278.2+3.0
11 UAB42250%77.074.2+2.8
12 Charlotte42250%69.267.8+1.5
13 Temple31233%67.375.3-8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kennesaw State440100%95.564.8+30.8
2 Missouri State330100%85.361.3+24.0
3 Florida International330100%91.771.0+20.7
4 Western Kentucky43175%84.263.5+20.8
5 Middle Tenn. St.43175%80.876.2+4.5
6 Liberty32167%81.364.0+17.3
7 UTEP32167%71.767.3+4.3
8 Louisiana Tech42250%69.863.2+6.5
9 Jacksonville State42250%80.075.5+4.5
10 Sam Houston St.42250%86.885.0+1.8
11 Delaware31233%76.762.7+14.0
12 New Mexico State31233%66.378.3-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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