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UC Irvine vs Cal Poly Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 107-85
0-0 52-42 0-0 55-43
Position#60
Record20-10
FormWWLWW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game67.5
UC Irvine 🏆
USA
vs
Cal Poly
USA
Position#266
Record13-17
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game85.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UC Irvine v Cal Poly
05 Mar 2026
UC I107
CAL 85
14 Mar 2025
UC I96
CAL 78
18 Jan 2025
UC I101
CAL 71
07 Mar 2024
UC I82
CAL 68
09 Feb 2023
UC I55
CAL 54
29 Jan 2022
UC I72
CAL 48
11 Mar 2021
UC I58
CAL 51
23 Jan 2021
UC I67
CAL 44
22 Jan 2021
UC I68
CAL 49
25 Jan 2020
UC I74
CAL 67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UC Irvine winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cal Poly winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UC IrvineUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego
#64
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A25/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
W
87-76 OT
87
76
+11
H30/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
78-62
78
62
+16
H06/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A08/02
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A13/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
86-65
86
65
+21
H15/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
69-58
69
58
+11
A20/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H22/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
68-67
68
67
+1
A27/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H01/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
28-28
0-0
33-31
0-0
37-28
0-0
35-44
0-0
39-29
0-0
39-33
0-0
28-34
0-0
51-50
0-0
42-29
0-0
31-50
0-0
41-32
0-0
45-33
0-0
24-20
0-0
45-38
0-0
29-36
0-0
40-35
0-0
36-24
0-0
32-43
0-0
32-23
0-0
32-37
141.5Avg total
73.4Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)76.367.5143.8+8.867%
Season at home (16)77.965.2143.1+12.869%
Season away (14)74.470.1144.5+4.464%
Last 10 (10)73.468.1141.5+5.370%
Last 5 (5)71.264.2135.4+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)68.672.0140.6-3.433%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)79.665.5145.1+14.181%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Fullerton
#187
L
78-93
78
93
-15
H25/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
104-79
104
79
+25
A30/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
94-87
94
87
+7
A01/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
96-97
96
97
-1
H06/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A07/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H13/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H15/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
W
86-75
86
75
+11
A20/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
102-92
102
92
+10
H27/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
64-80
64
80
-16
A01/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
34-46
0-0
44-47
0-0
56-35
0-0
48-44
0-0
46-44
0-0
48-43
0-0
48-52
0-0
48-45
0-0
22-21
0-0
36-46
0-0
29-42
0-0
50-31
0-0
37-46
0-0
52-33
0-0
44-35
0-0
42-40
0-0
48-40
0-0
54-52
0-0
24-42
0-0
40-38
167.2Avg total
85.0Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)81.685.0166.6-3.443%
Season at home (14)82.982.9165.9+0.050%
Season away (16)80.486.8167.2-6.438%
Last 10 (10)85.082.2167.2+2.860%
Last 5 (5)84.079.8163.8+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)78.384.9163.2-6.635%
vs Similar (7)84.187.6171.7-3.443%
vs Weaker (1)104.079.0183.0+25.0100%
This opponent (UC Irvine) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +4.3+4.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +4.3+4.3
UC IrvineCal Poly
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UC IrvineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego
#64
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A25/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H30/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H06/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A08/02
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A13/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H15/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
24-20
24
20
+4
A20/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H22/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A27/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H01/03
NCAA
61.9Avg total
33.6Scored
28.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.330.466.7+5.963%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.829.966.7+6.962%-
Last 30 away (14)35.730.966.6+4.864%-
Last 10 (10)33.628.361.9+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)32.427.059.4+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)30.631.962.4-1.322%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)38.829.768.5+9.081%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Fullerton
#187
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H25/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
56-35
56
35
+21
A30/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A01/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H06/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
W
22-21
22
21
+1
A07/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H13/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H15/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A20/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H27/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A01/03
NCAA
79.1Avg total
38.8Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.640.578.2-2.943%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.940.377.2-3.436%-
Last 30 away (16)38.240.879.0-2.550%-
Last 10 (10)38.840.379.1-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)36.441.077.4-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)35.440.776.1-5.335%-
vs Similar (7)40.442.382.7-1.943%-
vs Weaker (1)56.035.091.0+21.0100%-
This opponent (UC Irvine) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
UC Irvine wins
2
Cal Poly wins
DateGameScore
13/02/26Cal Poly v UC Irvine79-73
15/03/25UC Irvine v Cal Poly96-78
19/01/25UC Irvine v Cal Poly101-71
03/01/25Cal Poly v UC Irvine89-98 OT
08/03/24UC Irvine v Cal Poly82-68
02/02/24Cal Poly v UC Irvine59-73
21/02/23Cal Poly v UC Irvine56-59
10/02/23UC Irvine v Cal Poly55-54
04/03/22Cal Poly v UC Irvine65-54
30/01/22UC Irvine v Cal Poly72-48
UC Irvinelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26HUC Santa Barbara64-60
27/02/26ACS Northridge68-67
22/02/26HUC San Diego69-71
20/02/26ALong Beach State69-58
15/02/26HCS Fullerton86-65
13/02/26ACal Poly73-79
08/02/26AUC Santa Barbara79-84
06/02/26HCSU Bakersfield78-62
30/01/26HHawaii87-76 OT
25/01/26AUC San Diego61-59
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26AUC San Diego64-80
27/02/26HLong Beach State102-92
20/02/26AHawaii86-75
15/02/26HUC Santa Barbara89-79
13/02/26HUC Irvine79-73
07/02/26AUC Davis58-67
06/02/26HCS Northridge96-97
01/02/26AUC Riverside94-87
30/01/26ACSU Bakersfield104-79
25/01/26HCS Fullerton78-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UC Irvine
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWWWLW69%
AwayWLLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %67%69%64%
Points / game76.377.974.4
Allowed / game67.565.270.1
Point differential+8.8+12.8+4.4
Avg total143.8143.1144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%56%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)33% (3)57% (7)
Overtime %7%12%0%
Cal Poly
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL43%
HomeLLWWW50%
AwayWWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %43%50%38%
Points / game81.682.980.4
Allowed / game85.082.986.8
Point differential-3.4+0.0-6.4
Avg total166.6165.9167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%21%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)20% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hawaii2821775%79.769.5+10.2
2 UC San Diego3021970%76.570.1+6.4
3 UC Irvine30201067%76.367.5+8.8
4 CS Northridge31191261%81.779.4+2.3
5 UC Santa Barbara30181260%78.272.8+5.4
6 UC Davis29171259%78.275.0+3.2
7 CS Fullerton30151550%83.782.7+1.0
8 Cal Poly30131743%81.685.0-3.4
9 UC Riverside31102132%72.977.4-4.5
10 Long Beach State3092130%74.777.9-3.2
11 CSU Bakersfield3182326%73.081.3-8.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
UC Irvine052055107
Cal Poly04204385
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