PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

UC Irvine vs Fresno State Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 30 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Scheduled
Position#15
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game61.7
vs
Position#141
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game83.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · UC Irvine v Fresno State
29 Dec 2026
UC I v FRES
upcoming
03 Dec 2022
UC I66
FRES80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UC Irvine win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UC IrvineUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego
#64
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H22/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
68-67
68
67
+1
A27/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H01/03
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
107-85
107
85
+22
H06/03
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
W
79-69 OT
79
69
+10
H08/03
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
93-78
93
78
+15
H14/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
64-71
64
71
-7
H15/03
NCAA
Chapman Panthers
#402
W
92-66
92
66
+26
H04/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#282
W
91-79
91
79
+12
H08/11
NCAA
Lincoln University (CA)
#446
W
90-40
90
40
+50
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-36
40-35
36-24
32-43
32-23
32-37
52-42
55-43
28-38
37-27
49-37
44-41
30-31
34-40
38-26
54-40
51-31
40-48
49-21
41-19
150.3Avg total
81.7Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)91.061.7152.7+29.3100%
Season at home (3)91.061.7152.7+29.3100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.768.6150.3+13.180%
Last 5 (5)86.066.8152.8+19.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)68.471.6140.0-3.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)79.767.6147.3+12.086%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#50
L
78-80
78
80
-2
H22/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A25/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
53-69
53
69
-16
H01/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H04/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
60-85
60
85
-25
A08/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A12/03
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#355
W
88-79
88
79
+9
H03/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#166
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A08/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
95-92 OT
95
92
+3
H11/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#109
W
89-80
89
80
+9
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
44-32
34-48
39-32
31-42
23-28
30-41
45-34
37-34
29-44
31-41
32-27
31-40
41-38
47-41
36-32
29-49
39-38
39-40
50-28
39-52
151.8Avg total
74.3Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.283.0167.2+1.275%
Season at home (3)90.783.7174.3+7.0100%
Season away (1)65.081.0146.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)74.377.5151.8-3.240%
Last 5 (5)80.079.8159.8+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)68.876.1144.9-7.322%
vs Similar (5)81.485.2166.6-3.840%
vs Weaker (6)78.562.8141.3+15.783%
This opponent (UC Irvine) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +8.5+8.51st half: +4.5+4.52nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: -8.0-8.0
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +8.5+8.51st half: +4.5+4.52nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: -8.0-8.0
UC IrvineFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UC IrvineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego
#64
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H22/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A27/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H01/03
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H06/03
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H08/03
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H14/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H15/03
NCAA
Chapman Panthers
#402
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H04/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#282
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H08/11
NCAA
Lincoln University (CA)
#446
W
49-21
49
21
+28
H12/11
NCAA
70.3Avg total
39.4Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.431.168.5+6.370%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.131.269.4+6.971%-
Last 30 away (13)36.430.967.3+5.569%-
Last 10 (10)39.430.970.3+8.570%-
Last 5 (5)43.429.272.6+14.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)32.431.964.3+0.629%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)38.931.170.0+7.882%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#50
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H22/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A25/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H01/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H04/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A08/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A12/03
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#355
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H03/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#166
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A08/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H11/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#109
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H14/11
NCAA
71.1Avg total
37.8Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.834.268.9+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.132.468.4+3.762%-
Last 30 away (14)33.336.269.5-2.943%-
Last 10 (10)37.833.371.1+4.580%-
Last 5 (5)39.632.672.2+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)31.132.463.5-1.339%-
vs Similar (5)40.841.081.8-0.260%-
vs Weaker (6)39.733.272.8+6.583%-
This opponent (UC Irvine) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UC Irvine wins
2
Fresno State wins
DateGameScore
04/12/22UC Irvine v Fresno State66-80
12/12/21Fresno State v UC Irvine63-55
UC Irvinelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HLincoln University (CA)90-40
08/11/26HSan Jose State91-79
04/11/26HChapman Panthers92-66
15/03/26HHawaii64-71
14/03/26HCS Northridge93-78
08/03/26HUC Davis79-69 OT
06/03/26HCal Poly107-85
01/03/26HUC Santa Barbara64-60
27/02/26ACS Northridge68-67
22/02/26HUC San Diego69-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HUC Riverside89-80
11/11/26HGeorgia State95-92 OT
08/11/26AUC San Diego65-81
03/11/26HFresno Pacific88-79
12/03/26AColorado State63-67
08/03/26AGrand Canyon60-85
04/03/26HSan Jose State82-68
01/03/26HBoise State53-69
25/02/26AColorado State70-74
22/02/26HNew Mexico78-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UC Irvine
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game91.091.0-
Allowed / game61.761.7-
Point differential+29.3+29.3-
Avg total152.7152.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Fresno State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game84.290.765.0
Allowed / game83.083.781.0
Point differential+1.2+7.0-16.0
Avg total167.2174.3146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %25%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC Irvine330100%91.061.7+29.3
2 UC Santa Barbara330100%83.761.7+22.0
3 CSU Bakersfield440100%87.071.5+15.5
4 Hawaii43175%81.863.0+18.8
5 UC Riverside43175%83.567.8+15.8
6 UC Davis43175%74.064.0+10.0
7 CS Fullerton32167%88.786.0+2.7
8 UC San Diego32167%87.786.7+1.0
9 Cal Poly42250%79.084.8-5.8
10 CS Northridge31233%84.381.0+3.3
11 Long Beach State31233%65.069.3-4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State440100%105.570.5+35.0
2 Grand Canyon440100%97.270.8+26.5
3 San Diego State330100%89.073.0+16.0
4 UNLV330100%84.374.7+9.7
5 Boise State43175%104.578.8+25.8
6 New Mexico43175%93.271.0+22.2
7 Wyoming43175%81.859.8+22.0
8 Air Force43175%93.583.8+9.8
9 Colorado State43175%76.871.2+5.5
10 Fresno State43175%84.283.0+1.2
11 Nevada42250%79.073.2+5.8
12 San Jose State31233%83.081.7+1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.