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UCF Knights vs Baylor Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 14 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#75
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#6
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game95.3
Allowed / game59.7
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · UCF Knights v Baylor
13 Jan 2027
UCF v BAYL
upcoming
28 Feb 2026
UCF 86
BAYL87
31 Jan 2024
UCF 69
BAYL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UCF Knights win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Baylor win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UCF KnightsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#200
L
86-87
86
87
-1
H01/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
104-111 OT
104
111
-7
H04/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
62-77
62
77
-15
A07/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
66-65 OT
66
65
+1
H11/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
59-81
59
81
-22
A12/03
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A20/03
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#304
W
96-95 OT
96
95
+1
H03/11
NCAA
Yale
#322
W
87-75
87
75
+12
H07/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#257
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H11/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#312
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-56
44-31
40-45
54-49
23-32
39-45
26-27
32-31
30-46
29-35
27-35
44-40
36-38
46-44
39-42
48-33
32-34
44-35
36-27
48-43
159.6Avg total
79.1Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.877.2163.0+8.5100%
Season at home (4)85.877.2163.0+8.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.180.5159.6-1.450%
Last 5 (5)82.876.8159.6+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)73.479.7153.1-6.343%
vs Similar (15)80.579.5160.1+1.053%
vs Weaker (8)82.473.2155.6+9.1100%
This opponent (Baylor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#292
L
74-90
74
90
-16
A18/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H25/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
87-86
87
86
+1
A01/03
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A05/03
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
101-75
101
75
+26
H07/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A10/03
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#338
W
87-65
87
65
+22
H03/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#472
W
109-53
109
53
+56
H06/11
NCAA
Yale
#322
W
90-61
90
61
+29
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-41
40-49
32-40
41-28
41-34
39-53
56-42
31-44
35-35
29-42
53-33
48-42
35-44
44-39
50-32
37-33
58-13
51-40
41-30
49-31
158.9Avg total
84.4Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)95.359.7155.0+35.7100%
Season at home (3)95.359.7155.0+35.7100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.474.5158.9+9.960%
Last 5 (5)93.267.4160.6+25.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)66.577.5144.0-11.00%
vs Similar (11)80.778.0158.7+2.745%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)93.271.1164.2+22.177%
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -5.1-5.11st half: +9.1+9.12nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: +0.8+0.8
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -5.1-5.11st half: +9.1+9.12nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: +0.8+0.8
UCF KnightsBaylor
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UCF KnightsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#200
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H01/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H04/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
23-32
23
32
-9
A07/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H11/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A12/03
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A20/03
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#304
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H03/11
NCAA
Yale
#322
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H07/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#257
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H11/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#312
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H14/11
NCAA
71.3Avg total
33.1Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.536.773.2-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.236.474.5+1.847%-
Last 30 away (11)33.537.370.8-3.736%-
Last 10 (10)33.138.271.3-5.110%-
Last 5 (5)34.035.269.2-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)34.937.071.9-2.143%-
vs Similar (15)36.337.774.0-1.540%-
vs Weaker (8)38.234.572.8+3.850%-
This opponent (Baylor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#292
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A18/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H21/02
NCAA
Arizona
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H25/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A01/03
NCAA
Houston
#18
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A05/03
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H07/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A10/03
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#338
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H03/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#472
W
58-13
58
13
+45
H06/11
NCAA
Yale
#322
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H11/11
NCAA
77.9Avg total
43.5Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.135.076.0+6.150%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.433.476.8+10.161%-
Last 30 away (12)37.537.374.8+0.233%-
Last 10 (10)43.534.477.9+9.160%-
Last 5 (5)47.430.477.8+17.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.233.065.2-0.817%-
vs Similar (11)38.537.475.9+1.245%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)47.333.881.2+13.569%-
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UCF Knights wins
3
Baylor wins
DateGameScore
01/03/26UCF Knights v Baylor86-87
08/02/25Baylor v UCF Knights91-76
01/02/24UCF Knights v Baylor69-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HGeorgia Southern84-70
11/11/26HSouth Alabama76-69
07/11/26HYale87-75
03/11/26HFlorida Gulf Coast96-95 OT
20/03/26AUCLA71-75
12/03/26AArizona59-81
11/03/26HCincinnati66-65 OT
07/03/26AWest Virginia62-77
04/03/26HOklahoma State104-111 OT
01/03/26HBaylor86-87
Baylorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HYale90-61
06/11/26HArkansas-Pine Bluff109-53
03/11/26HNorthwestern St.87-65
10/03/26AArizona State79-83
07/03/26HUtah Utes101-75
05/03/26AHouston64-77
01/03/26AUCF Knights87-86
25/02/26HArizona80-87
21/02/26HArizona State73-68
18/02/26AKansas State74-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UCF Knights
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game85.885.8-
Allowed / game77.277.2-
Point differential+8.5+8.5-
Avg total163.0163.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %25%25%-
Baylor
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game95.395.3-
Allowed / game59.759.7-
Point differential+35.7+35.7-
Avg total155.0155.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baylor330100%95.359.7+35.7
2 West Virginia330100%85.753.3+32.3
3 Kansas330100%91.059.7+31.3
4 TCU440100%95.067.2+27.8
5 Texas Tech440100%81.053.8+27.2
6 Arizona State440100%85.563.2+22.2
7 Brigham Young440100%96.575.8+20.8
8 Utah Utes330100%72.761.3+11.3
9 UCF Knights440100%85.877.2+8.5
10 Cincinnati43175%79.063.0+16.0
11 Arizona43175%87.274.0+13.2
12 Houston32167%84.762.3+22.3
13 Oklahoma State32167%92.772.0+20.7
14 Iowa State32167%81.061.3+19.7
15 Kansas State32167%83.376.0+7.3
16 Colorado42250%74.069.5+4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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