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UCLA vs Michigan State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 63-61
35-28 28-33
Position#66
Record16-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game64.5
UCLA 🏆
USA
vs
Position#17
Record18-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game67.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · UCLA v Michigan State
09 Jan 2027
UCLA v MICH
upcoming
04 Feb 2025
UCLA63
MICH61
27 Nov 2019
UCLA62
MICH75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UCLA winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UCLAUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gonzaga
#37
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A28/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A04/01
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
75-94
75
94
-19
H08/01
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A11/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A13/01
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
94-70
94
70
+24
H18/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
W
85-83
85
83
+2
H22/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A25/01
NCAA
USC
#215
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A28/01
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
78-52
78
52
+26
H31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-25
38-37
24-24
34-42
37-47
38-47
36-40
25-39
33-30
35-45
57-24
37-46
36-41
49-42
36-32
29-28
42-37
40-39
40-26
38-26
144.8Avg total
73.1Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.064.5140.5+11.573%
Season at home (14)81.662.5144.1+19.179%
Season away (8)66.167.9134.0-1.862%
Last 10 (10)73.171.7144.8+1.460%
Last 5 (5)80.868.2149.0+12.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)65.075.2140.2-10.220%
vs Similar ◀ (10)70.572.6143.1-2.140%
vs Weaker (15)77.758.6136.3+19.187%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Atlantic
#162
W
86-69
86
69
+17
H21/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H30/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
69-62
69
62
+7
A04/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
88-54
88
54
+34
H10/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A12/01
NCAA
Penn State
#185
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H16/01
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H19/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
81-74
81
74
+7
A25/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
73-51
73
51
+22
H29/01
NCAA
USC
#215
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
42-29
44-40
37-24
43-38
37-29
32-33
42-13
46-41
47-28
31-40
46-36
44-49
36-36
44-42
35-32
46-42
36-16
37-35
32-35
32-35
146.2Avg total
78.9Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.467.3147.8+13.186%
Season at home (15)80.965.1146.0+15.787%
Season away (6)79.372.8152.2+6.583%
Last 10 (10)78.967.3146.2+11.690%
Last 5 (5)77.671.6149.2+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.377.3145.7-9.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)70.065.4135.4+4.671%
vs Weaker (20)79.566.3145.8+13.280%
This opponent (UCLA) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: +11.2+11.22nd half2nd half: -2.8-2.82nd half: +0.4+0.4
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: +11.2+11.22nd half2nd half: -2.8-2.82nd half: +0.4+0.4
UCLAMichigan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UCLALast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gonzaga
#37
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A28/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
D
24-24
24
24
+0
A04/01
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H08/01
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A11/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A13/01
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
57-24
57
24
+33
H18/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H22/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A25/01
NCAA
USC
#215
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A28/01
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H31/01
NCAA
69.4Avg total
36.8Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.331.167.4+5.263%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.329.968.2+8.368%-
Last 30 away (11)32.933.065.9-0.155%-
Last 10 (10)36.832.669.4+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.232.074.2+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.636.668.2-5.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)34.935.670.5-0.740%-
vs Weaker (15)38.826.265.0+12.687%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Atlantic
#162
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H21/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H30/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A04/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
42-13
42
13
+29
H10/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A12/01
NCAA
Penn State
#185
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H16/01
NCAA
Illinois
#100
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H19/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A25/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
36-16
36
16
+20
H29/01
NCAA
USC
#215
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A01/02
NCAA
66.8Avg total
39.0Scored
27.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.830.866.7+5.060%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.129.865.9+6.363%-
Last 30 away (11)35.432.567.9+2.855%-
Last 10 (10)39.027.866.8+11.280%-
Last 5 (5)37.031.068.0+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.037.368.3-6.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)31.730.662.3+1.143%-
vs Weaker (20)38.029.968.0+8.175%-
This opponent (UCLA) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UCLA wins
1
Michigan State wins
DateGameScore
19/03/21Michigan State v UCLA80-86 OT
27/11/19UCLA v Michigan State62-75
UCLAlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/25HOregon78-52
28/01/25AUSC82-76
25/01/25AWashington65-60
22/01/25HWisconsin85-83
18/01/25HIowa94-70
13/01/25ARutgers68-75
11/01/25AMaryland61-79
08/01/25HMichigan75-94
04/01/25ANebraska58-66
28/12/24AGonzaga65-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25AUSC64-70
29/01/25HMinnesota73-51
25/01/25ARutgers81-74
19/01/25HIllinois80-78
16/01/25HPenn State90-85
12/01/25ANorthwestern78-68
10/01/25HWashington88-54
04/01/25AOhio State69-62
30/12/24HWestern Michigan80-62
21/12/24HFlorida Atlantic86-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UCLA
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeLLWWW79%
AwayLLLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22148
Win %73%79%62%
Points / game76.081.666.1
Allowed / game64.562.567.9
Point differential+11.5+19.1-1.8
Avg total140.5144.1134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)50% (2)100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Michigan State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL86%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21156
Win %86%87%83%
Points / game80.480.979.3
Allowed / game67.365.172.8
Point differential+13.1+15.7+6.5
Avg total147.8146.0152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %5%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan State2118386%80.467.3+13.1
2 Wisconsin2318578%81.370.2+11.0
3 Purdue2318578%78.268.5+9.7
4 Maryland2217577%83.065.5+17.5
5 Michigan2116576%82.370.3+12.0
6 UCLA2216673%76.064.5+11.5
7 Oregon2216673%76.471.0+5.5
8 Illinois2215768%85.370.4+14.9
9 Nebraska2214864%75.671.1+4.5
10 Indiana2314961%76.573.6+2.9
11 Ohio State2213959%80.071.4+8.5
12 Iowa2213959%85.579.0+6.5
13 USC2213959%76.672.6+4.0
14 Penn State23131057%81.472.5+8.9
15 Northwestern23131057%74.069.9+4.1
16 Minnesota23121152%68.868.7+0.2
17 Rutgers22111150%76.074.6+1.3
18 Washington20101050%71.472.1-0.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UCLA352863
Michigan State283361
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