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Northwestern vs Michigan State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 68-78
28-47 40-31
Position#191
Record10-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game66.2
vs
Position#17
Record13-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game65.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Northwestern v Michigan State
12 Jan 2025
NORT68
MICH78
07 Jan 2024
NORT88
MICH74
02 Jan 2022
NORT67
MICH73
20 Dec 2020
NORT79
MICH65
18 Dec 2019
NORT72
MICH77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northwestern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pepperdine
#310
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H23/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A29/11
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A30/11
NCAA
Iowa
#192
L
79-80
79
80
-1
A04/12
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
70-66 OT
70
66
+4
H07/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H15/12
NCAA
DePaul
#269
W
84-64
84
64
+20
H21/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#181
W
85-60
85
60
+25
H29/12
NCAA
Penn State
#185
L
80-84
80
84
-4
A03/01
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A05/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-19
37-31
28-31
41-40
26-25
40-36
34-45
45-35
24-27
32-29
31-26
40-34
37-27
47-37
35-33
50-27
34-37
46-47
18-41
43-38
140.8Avg total
73.3Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.166.2140.3+7.967%
Season at home (9)76.760.8137.4+15.9100%
Season away (6)70.274.3144.5-4.217%
Last 10 (10)73.367.5140.8+5.860%
Last 5 (5)76.269.4145.6+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)75.277.8153.0-2.550%
vs Similar (19)72.568.9141.4+3.553%
vs Weaker (7)74.459.3133.7+15.186%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado
#278
W
72-56
72
56
+16
H25/11
NCAA
Memphis
#15
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H26/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
A28/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
90-72
90
72
+18
A05/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
89-52
89
52
+37
H07/12
NCAA
Oakland
#220
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H18/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
W
86-69
86
69
+17
H21/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H30/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
69-62
69
62
+7
A04/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
88-54
88
54
+34
H10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-25
34-31
31-34
32-37
43-34
39-48
42-30
48-42
41-31
48-21
31-30
46-28
42-29
44-40
37-24
43-38
37-29
32-33
42-13
46-41
145.5Avg total
80.8Scored
64.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.565.9147.4+15.787%
Season at home (12)80.863.6144.4+17.283%
Season away (3)84.375.0159.3+9.3100%
Last 10 (10)80.864.7145.5+16.190%
Last 5 (5)80.061.0141.0+19.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.377.3145.7-9.00%
vs Similar (9)68.663.7132.2+4.967%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)79.965.3145.2+14.683%
This opponent (Northwestern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: +10.5+10.52nd half2nd half: +6.7+6.72nd half: +5.3+5.3
-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: +10.5+10.52nd half2nd half: +6.7+6.72nd half: +5.3+5.3
NorthwesternMichigan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pepperdine
#310
W
31-19
31
19
+12
H23/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A29/11
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A30/11
NCAA
Iowa
#192
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A04/12
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
24-27
24
27
-3
H07/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H15/12
NCAA
DePaul
#269
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H21/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#181
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H29/12
NCAA
Penn State
#185
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A03/01
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
18-41
18
41
-23
A05/01
NCAA
60.9Avg total
29.8Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.730.363.0+2.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.529.666.1+6.981%-
Last 30 away (14)28.431.059.4-2.643%-
Last 10 (10)29.831.160.9-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)31.032.863.8-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)25.033.558.5-8.50%-
vs Similar (19)32.631.564.2+1.163%-
vs Weaker (7)37.325.062.3+12.3100%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado
#278
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H25/11
NCAA
Memphis
#15
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H26/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A28/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A05/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H07/12
NCAA
Oakland
#220
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H18/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H21/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H30/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A04/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
42-13
42
13
+29
H10/01
NCAA
66.3Avg total
38.4Scored
27.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.631.366.9+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.630.666.2+4.963%-
Last 30 away (11)35.532.568.1+3.064%-
Last 10 (10)38.427.966.3+10.590%-
Last 5 (5)37.825.062.8+12.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.037.368.3-6.30%-
vs Similar (9)32.630.362.9+2.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)37.830.868.7+7.072%-
This opponent (Northwestern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Northwestern wins
4
Michigan State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25APurdue61-79
03/01/25APenn State80-84
29/12/24HNortheastern85-60
21/12/24HDePaul84-64
15/12/24HGeorgia Tech71-60
07/12/24HIllinois70-66 OT
04/12/24AIowa79-80
30/11/24AUNLV66-61
29/11/24AButler69-71
23/11/24HPepperdine68-50
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/25HWashington88-54
04/01/25AOhio State69-62
30/12/24HWestern Michigan80-62
21/12/24HFlorida Atlantic86-69
18/12/24HOakland77-58
07/12/24HNebraska89-52
05/12/24AMinnesota90-72
28/11/24ANorth Carolina94-91 OT
26/11/24HMemphis63-71
25/11/24HColorado72-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northwestern
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %67%100%17%
Points / game74.176.770.2
Allowed / game66.260.874.3
Point differential+7.9+15.9-4.2
Avg total140.3137.4144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)100% (2)20% (5)
Overtime %13%22%0%
Michigan State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW87%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15123
Win %87%83%100%
Points / game81.580.884.3
Allowed / game65.963.675.0
Point differential+15.7+17.2+9.3
Avg total147.4144.4159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %7%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oregon1614288%79.269.5+9.7
2 Michigan State1513287%81.565.9+15.7
3 Wisconsin1613381%83.170.6+12.6
4 Michigan1512380%84.767.7+17.1
5 Nebraska1512380%77.566.7+10.8
6 Indiana1713476%78.071.1+6.9
7 Maryland1612475%85.163.3+21.8
8 Illinois1612475%86.967.2+19.7
9 Penn State1612475%84.669.9+14.7
10 Iowa1612475%89.676.7+12.9
11 Purdue1612475%76.868.6+8.2
12 UCLA1611569%75.062.6+12.4
13 Northwestern1510567%74.166.2+7.9
14 Ohio State1610662%81.171.1+10.0
15 USC1610662%76.170.5+5.6
16 Washington159660%72.971.1+1.7
17 Rutgers168850%76.474.6+1.9
18 Minnesota168850%68.267.5+0.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northwestern284068
Michigan State473178
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