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UCLA vs Michigan State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 10 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game101.3
Allowed / game58.3
vs
Position#28
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game66.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · UCLA v Michigan State
09 Jan 2027
UCLA v MICH
upcoming
04 Feb 2025
UCLA63
MICH61
27 Nov 2019
UCLA62
MICH75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UCLA win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UCLAUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#21
W
72-52
72
52
+20
H04/03
NCAA
USC
#153
W
89-68
89
68
+21
A08/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
72-59
72
59
+13
H13/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
88-84
88
84
+4
A14/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
66-73
66
73
-7
H14/03
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H20/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A23/03
NCAA
Arizona
#115
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H03/11
NCAA
North Florida
#331
W
114-63
114
63
+51
H07/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#472
W
106-37
106
37
+69
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-24
35-28
45-30
44-38
30-24
42-35
44-33
44-51
27-34
39-39
35-27
40-44
33-38
24-35
43-29
41-46
52-20
62-43
51-9
55-28
147.8Avg total
82.3Scored
65.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)101.358.3159.7+43.0100%
Season at home (3)101.358.3159.7+43.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.365.5147.8+16.880%
Last 5 (5)87.263.8151.0+23.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.477.0147.4-6.644%
vs Similar (6)76.080.3156.3-4.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.364.9151.1+21.493%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#267
W
91-87
91
87
+4
H06/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A08/03
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
84-88
84
88
-4
H14/03
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
92-67
92
67
+25
H19/03
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H21/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A28/03
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#243
W
96-59
96
59
+37
H03/11
NCAA
Toledo
#262
W
91-61
91
61
+30
H06/11
NCAA
Duke
#87
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A11/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#255
W
106-72
106
72
+34
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-30
60-57
41-42
39-48
33-44
51-44
45-25
47-42
36-31
41-38
27-35
36-32
52-24
44-35
48-25
43-36
34-25
45-48
59-44
47-28
159.2Avg total
85.9Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)93.066.2159.2+26.8100%
Season at home (3)97.764.0161.7+33.7100%
Season away (1)79.073.0152.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.973.3159.2+12.670%
Last 5 (5)87.066.4153.4+20.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)78.882.0160.8-3.250%
vs Similar (7)71.669.6141.1+2.057%
vs Weaker (19)85.568.1153.6+17.589%
This opponent (UCLA) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +12.9+12.91st half: +8.1+8.12nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: +4.5+4.5
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +12.9+12.91st half: +8.1+8.12nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: +4.5+4.5
UCLAMichigan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UCLALast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#21
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H04/03
NCAA
USC
#153
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A08/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H13/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A14/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H14/03
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H20/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A23/03
NCAA
Arizona
#115
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H03/11
NCAA
North Florida
#331
W
52-20
52
20
+32
H07/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#472
W
51-9
51
9
+42
H12/11
NCAA
66.5Avg total
39.7Scored
26.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.932.970.8+5.060%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.930.370.2+9.672%-
Last 30 away (12)34.836.871.6-1.942%-
Last 10 (10)39.726.866.5+12.980%-
Last 5 (5)42.824.667.4+18.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.237.772.9-2.422%-
vs Similar (6)31.736.368.0-4.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.928.770.6+13.393%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#267
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H06/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A08/03
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H14/03
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H19/03
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H21/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A28/03
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#243
W
52-24
52
24
+28
H03/11
NCAA
Toledo
#262
W
48-25
48
25
+23
H06/11
NCAA
Duke
#87
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A11/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#255
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H14/11
NCAA
73.1Avg total
40.6Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.733.571.2+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.532.172.6+8.472%-
Last 30 away (12)33.535.669.1-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)40.632.573.1+8.170%-
Last 5 (5)44.030.674.6+13.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)34.037.071.0-3.025%-
vs Similar (7)33.434.367.7-0.929%-
vs Weaker (19)40.132.472.5+7.674%-
This opponent (UCLA) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
UCLA wins
2
Michigan State wins
DateGameScore
14/03/26Michigan State v UCLA84-88
18/02/26Michigan State v UCLA82-59
05/02/25UCLA v Michigan State63-61
19/03/21Michigan State v UCLA80-86 OT
27/11/19UCLA v Michigan State62-75
UCLAlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HArkansas-Pine Bluff106-37
07/11/26HNorth Florida114-63
03/11/26HArizona84-75
23/03/26AUconn57-73
20/03/26HUCF Knights75-71
14/03/26HPurdue66-73
14/03/26AMichigan State88-84
13/03/26HRutgers72-59
08/03/26AUSC89-68
04/03/26HNebraska72-52
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HNorthern Iowa106-72
11/11/26ADuke79-73
06/11/26HToledo91-61
03/11/26HQuinnipiac96-59
28/03/26AUconn63-67
21/03/26HLouisville77-69
19/03/26HNorth Dakota St92-67
14/03/26HUCLA84-88
08/03/26AMichigan80-90
06/03/26HRutgers91-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UCLA
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game101.3101.3-
Allowed / game58.358.3-
Point differential+43.0+43.0-
Avg total159.7159.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Michigan State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.097.779.0
Allowed / game66.264.073.0
Point differential+26.8+33.7+6.0
Avg total159.2161.7152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA330100%101.358.3+43.0
2 Nebraska330100%89.060.7+28.3
3 Rutgers330100%84.756.3+28.3
4 Michigan State440100%93.066.2+26.8
5 Oregon330100%95.068.7+26.3
6 Indiana440100%89.068.0+21.0
7 Wisconsin330100%79.058.0+21.0
8 Minnesota440100%78.858.5+20.2
9 USC330100%88.371.3+17.0
10 Washington220100%83.570.0+13.5
11 Illinois43175%104.571.2+33.2
12 Purdue43175%78.569.0+9.5
13 Northwestern43175%70.861.8+9.0
14 Iowa32167%85.064.7+20.3
15 Michigan32167%81.774.3+7.3
16 Penn State53260%77.675.6+2.0
17 Ohio State42250%81.079.2+1.8
18 Maryland31233%84.380.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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