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UCLA vs St. Marys (CA) Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 26 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game101.3
Allowed / game58.3
UCLA
USA
vs
St. Marys (CA)
USA
Position#105
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game76.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · UCLA v St. Marys (CA)
26 Nov 2026
UCLA v ST.
upcoming
19 Mar 2022
UCLA72
ST. 56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UCLA win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
St. Marys (CA) win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UCLAUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#21
W
72-52
72
52
+20
H04/03
NCAA
USC
#153
W
89-68
89
68
+21
A08/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
72-59
72
59
+13
H13/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
88-84
88
84
+4
A14/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
66-73
66
73
-7
H14/03
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H20/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A23/03
NCAA
Arizona
#115
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H03/11
NCAA
North Florida
#331
W
114-63
114
63
+51
H07/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#472
W
106-37
106
37
+69
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-24
35-28
45-30
44-38
30-24
42-35
44-33
44-51
27-34
39-39
35-27
40-44
33-38
24-35
43-29
41-46
52-20
62-43
51-9
55-28
147.8Avg total
82.3Scored
65.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)101.358.3159.7+43.0100%
Season at home (3)101.358.3159.7+43.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.365.5147.8+16.880%
Last 5 (5)87.263.8151.0+23.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.477.0147.4-6.644%
vs Similar (6)76.080.3156.3-4.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.364.9151.1+21.493%
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Marys (CA)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seattle
#108
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A19/02
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
83-67
83
67
+16
A22/02
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
W
86-67
86
67
+19
H26/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H01/03
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H10/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
50-63
50
63
-13
H19/03
NCAA
Illinois State
#300
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
H03/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#264
W
105-64
105
64
+41
H05/11
NCAA
Nevada
#210
L
95-96 OT
95
96
-1
A08/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#111
W
84-61
84
61
+23
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-28
37-42
40-39
43-28
42-36
44-31
29-36
41-23
35-32
36-44
26-37
24-26
33-39
44-38
45-26
60-38
35-42
44-37
42-24
42-37
151.4Avg total
80.6Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)93.576.5170.0+17.075%
Season at home (3)93.070.0163.0+23.0100%
Season away (1)95.096.0191.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)80.670.8151.4+9.870%
Last 5 (5)84.873.8158.6+11.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)67.566.0133.5+1.550%
vs Similar (5)73.272.4145.6+0.840%
vs Weaker (23)79.766.5146.2+13.287%
This opponent (UCLA) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +12.9+12.91st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: +7.1+7.1
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +12.9+12.91st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: +7.1+7.1
UCLASt. Marys (CA)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UCLALast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#21
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H04/03
NCAA
USC
#153
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A08/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H13/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A14/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H14/03
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H20/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A23/03
NCAA
Arizona
#115
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H03/11
NCAA
North Florida
#331
W
52-20
52
20
+32
H07/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#472
W
51-9
51
9
+42
H12/11
NCAA
66.5Avg total
39.7Scored
26.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.932.970.8+5.060%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.930.370.2+9.672%-
Last 30 away (12)34.836.871.6-1.942%-
Last 10 (10)39.726.866.5+12.980%-
Last 5 (5)42.824.667.4+18.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.237.772.9-2.422%-
vs Similar (6)31.736.368.0-4.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.928.770.6+13.393%-
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Marys (CA)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seattle
#108
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A19/02
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A22/02
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H26/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H01/03
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H10/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H19/03
NCAA
Illinois State
#300
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H03/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#264
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H05/11
NCAA
Nevada
#210
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A08/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#111
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H14/11
NCAA
70.1Avg total
36.2Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.332.068.3+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.130.868.9+7.376%-
Last 30 away (13)33.933.667.5+0.354%-
Last 10 (10)36.233.970.1+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)36.233.669.8+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)33.535.068.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (5)35.635.070.6+0.660%-
vs Weaker (23)36.731.167.8+5.670%-
This opponent (UCLA) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UCLA wins
0
St. Marys (CA) wins
DateGameScore
19/03/22UCLA v St. Marys (CA)72-56
UCLAlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HArkansas-Pine Bluff106-37
07/11/26HNorth Florida114-63
03/11/26HArizona84-75
23/03/26AUconn57-73
20/03/26HUCF Knights75-71
14/03/26HPurdue66-73
14/03/26AMichigan State88-84
13/03/26HRutgers72-59
08/03/26AUSC89-68
04/03/26HNebraska72-52
St. Marys (CA)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HIllinois (Chi.)84-61
08/11/26ANevada95-96 OT
05/11/26HNorth Dakota St105-64
03/11/26HIllinois State90-85 OT
19/03/26HTexas A&M50-63
10/03/26HSanta Clara71-76
01/03/26HGonzaga70-59
26/02/26HSanta Clara86-67
22/02/26AWashington State83-67
19/02/26ASeattle72-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UCLA
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game101.3101.3-
Allowed / game58.358.3-
Point differential+43.0+43.0-
Avg total159.7159.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
St. Marys (CA)
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game93.593.095.0
Allowed / game76.570.096.0
Point differential+17.0+23.0-1.0
Avg total170.0163.0191.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %50%33%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA330100%101.358.3+43.0
2 Nebraska330100%89.060.7+28.3
3 Rutgers330100%84.756.3+28.3
4 Michigan State440100%93.066.2+26.8
5 Oregon330100%95.068.7+26.3
6 Indiana440100%89.068.0+21.0
7 Wisconsin330100%79.058.0+21.0
8 Minnesota440100%78.858.5+20.2
9 USC330100%88.371.3+17.0
10 Washington220100%83.570.0+13.5
11 Illinois43175%104.571.2+33.2
12 Purdue43175%78.569.0+9.5
13 Northwestern43175%70.861.8+9.0
14 Iowa32167%85.064.7+20.3
15 Michigan32167%81.774.3+7.3
16 Penn State53260%77.675.6+2.0
17 Ohio State42250%81.079.2+1.8
18 Maryland31233%84.380.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oregon State440100%93.269.5+23.8
2 Santa Clara550100%86.675.0+11.6
3 St. Marys (CA)43175%93.576.5+17.0
4 San Diego Toreros43175%84.275.5+8.8
5 San Francisco43175%71.568.5+3.0
6 Pacific32167%74.753.7+21.0
7 Pepperdine42250%96.070.0+26.0
8 Portland52340%87.093.6-6.6
9 Gonzaga31233%87.075.7+11.3
10 Seattle31233%70.373.3-3.0
11 Loyola Marymount41325%84.574.8+9.8
12 Washington State41325%81.579.5+2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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