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Alabama vs Arkansas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 92-88 (OT)
36-42 38-32 18-14
Position#67
Record20-10
FormWLWLL
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game80.1
Alabama 🏆
USA
vs
Position#224
Record15-15
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game79.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Alabama v Arkansas
18 Feb 2026
ALAB117
ARKA115
09 Mar 2024
ALAB92
ARKA88
25 Feb 2023
ALAB86
ARKA83
12 Feb 2022
ALAB68
ARKA67
16 Jan 2021
ALAB90
ARKA59
01 Feb 2020
ALAB78
ARKA82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#197
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A31/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
W
99-67
99
67
+32
H04/02
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
81-99
81
99
-18
A08/02
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
109-92
109
92
+17
A10/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
W
100-75
100
75
+25
H17/02
NCAA
Florida
#73
W
98-93 OT
98
93
+5
H22/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
95-117
95
117
-22
A24/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
W
103-88
103
88
+15
A29/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
74-81
74
81
-7
H03/03
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
87-105
87
105
-18
A06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
27-41
58-35
47-24
52-43
41-55
40-44
49-46
60-46
49-35
51-40
37-41
48-44
42-58
53-59
39-42
64-46
41-39
33-42
35-44
52-61
182.4Avg total
93.1Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)90.880.1170.9+10.767%
Season at home (15)94.072.3166.3+21.787%
Season away (15)87.688.0175.6-0.447%
Last 10 (10)93.189.3182.4+3.860%
Last 5 (5)91.496.8188.2-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.088.2168.2-8.225%
vs Similar (13)88.884.5173.3+4.246%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)96.273.2169.4+22.9100%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri
#345
W
91-84
91
84
+7
A01/02
NCAA
LSU
#182
L
74-95
74
95
-21
A03/02
NCAA
Georgia
#197
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H10/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
63-92
63
92
-29
H15/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A17/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A21/02
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H24/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
L
82-85
82
85
-3
H28/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
102-111
102
111
-9
A02/03
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
94-83
94
83
+11
H07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
47-28
44-56
30-45
44-50
34-29
44-46
40-46
23-46
29-34
38-37
35-31
43-40
36-34
52-39
31-35
51-50
48-53
54-58
42-35
52-48
165.7Avg total
81.7Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)77.479.2156.6-1.850%
Season at home (19)79.276.4155.5+2.868%
Season away (11)74.484.1158.5-9.718%
Last 10 (10)81.784.0165.7-2.350%
Last 5 (5)88.884.6173.4+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)74.981.0155.9-6.135%
vs Similar (11)80.176.1156.2+4.073%
vs Weaker (2)84.081.0165.0+3.050%
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.8-1.81st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: -2.5-2.5
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.8-1.81st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: -2.5-2.5
AlabamaArkansas
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#197
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A31/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H04/02
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A08/02
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A10/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H17/02
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H22/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A24/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A29/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H03/03
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A06/03
NCAA
83.2Avg total
40.7Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.138.081.1+5.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.532.978.3+12.687%-
Last 30 away (15)40.743.183.8-2.340%-
Last 10 (10)40.742.583.2-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)38.844.883.6-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.543.286.8+0.250%-
vs Similar (13)41.539.180.5+2.446%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.635.279.8+9.485%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri
#345
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A01/02
NCAA
LSU
#182
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A03/02
NCAA
Georgia
#197
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H10/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H15/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A17/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A21/02
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H24/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H28/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A02/03
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H07/03
NCAA
74.2Avg total
37.2Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.035.370.3-0.253%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.733.469.2+2.368%-
Last 30 away (11)33.838.572.3-4.627%-
Last 10 (10)37.237.074.2+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.437.676.0+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)35.337.472.7-2.147%-
vs Similar (11)34.832.467.2+2.564%-
vs Weaker (2)34.033.067.0+1.050%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Alabama wins
2
Arkansas wins
DateGameScore
25/02/23Alabama v Arkansas86-83
12/01/23Arkansas v Alabama69-84
12/02/22Alabama v Arkansas68-67
25/02/21Arkansas v Alabama81-66
16/01/21Alabama v Arkansas90-59
01/02/20Alabama v Arkansas78-82
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/24AFlorida87-105
03/03/24HTennessee74-81
29/02/24AOle Miss103-88
24/02/24AKentucky95-117
22/02/24HFlorida98-93 OT
17/02/24HTexas A&M100-75
10/02/24ALSU109-92
08/02/24AAuburn81-99
04/02/24HMississippi St.99-67
31/01/24AGeorgia85-76
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/24HLSU94-83
02/03/24AKentucky102-111
28/02/24HVanderbilt82-85
24/02/24HMissouri88-73
21/02/24ATexas A&M78-71
17/02/24AMississippi St.67-71
15/02/24HTennessee63-92
10/02/24HGeorgia78-75
03/02/24ALSU74-95
01/02/24AMissouri91-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alabama
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL67%
HomeWWWWL87%
AwayLWLWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %67%87%47%
Points / game90.894.087.6
Allowed / game80.172.388.0
Point differential+10.7+21.7-0.4
Avg total170.9166.3175.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%73%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Arkansas
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeWLWLW68%
AwayWLLWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301911
Win %50%68%18%
Points / game77.479.274.4
Allowed / game79.276.484.1
Point differential-1.8+2.8-9.7
Avg total156.6155.5158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%37%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)83% (6)0% (2)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee3024680%80.267.1+13.1
2 South Carolina3024680%71.665.6+6.0
3 Auburn3023777%83.268.2+15.0
4 Kentucky3022873%89.779.1+10.6
5 Florida3021970%85.177.5+7.6
6 Alabama30201067%90.880.1+10.7
7 Oklahoma30201067%75.467.7+7.7
8 Ole Miss30201067%75.673.3+2.3
9 Texas30191163%76.069.3+6.8
10 Mississippi St.30191163%74.868.9+5.9
11 Texas A&M30171357%73.069.8+3.2
12 LSU30161453%76.674.7+2.0
13 Georgia30161453%74.974.2+0.7
14 Arkansas30151550%77.479.2-1.8
15 Missouri3082227%72.376.3-4.0
16 Vanderbilt3082227%67.075.3-8.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Alabama36381892
Arkansas42321488
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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