Uconn vs Arkansas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 23:15

Final 88-65

46-29 42-36

Position#29

Record27-8

FormWWLWW

Points / game78.5

Allowed / game64.7

Uconn 🏆

Arkansas

Position#112

Record22-13

FormLWLWW

Points / game74.3

Allowed / game67.4

NCAA

Other2022-23

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Uconn winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Arkansas winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Uconn

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Creighton

#83

53-56

-3

A11/02

NCAA

Seton Hall

#175

64-55

H18/02

NCAA

Providence

#92

87-69

+18

H22/02

NCAA

St. John's (N.Y.)

#185

95-86

A25/02

NCAA

DePaul

#332

88-59

+29

H02/03

NCAA

Villanova

#196

71-59

+12

A05/03

NCAA

Providence

#92

73-66

H09/03

NCAA

Marquette

#15

68-70

-2

A10/03

NCAA

Iona

#25

87-63

+24

H17/03

NCAA

St. Marys (CA)

#32

70-55

+15

H19/03

NCAA

29-31

24-25

33-27

31-28

37-32

50-37

50-41

45-45

51-19

37-40

32-24

39-35

35-19

38-47

38-38

30-32

37-39

50-24

31-30

39-25

139.4Avg total

75.6Scored

63.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (35)	78.5	64.7	143.1	+13.8	77%
Season at home (21)	81.8	63.0	144.8	+18.7	90%
Season away (14)	73.5	67.1	140.6	+6.4	57%
Last 10 (10)	75.6	63.8	139.4	+11.8	80%
Last 5 (5)	73.8	62.6	136.4	+11.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	79.7	61.7	141.3	+18.0	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	76.7	66.4	143.1	+10.3	70%

This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Arkansas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Texas A&M

#55

56-62

-6

A16/02

NCAA

Florida

#205

84-65

+19

H18/02

NCAA

Georgia

#214

97-65

+32

H22/02

NCAA

Alabama

#11

83-86

-3

A25/02

NCAA

Tennessee

#62

57-75

-18

A01/03

NCAA

Kentucky

#86

79-88

-9

H04/03

NCAA

Auburn

#106

76-73

A10/03

NCAA

Texas A&M

#55

61-67

-6

A11/03

NCAA

Illinois

#114

73-63

+10

H16/03

NCAA

Kansas

#23

72-71

A18/03

NCAA

33-24

23-38

37-31

47-34

43-23

54-42

37-28

46-58

25-34

32-41

36-40

43-48

37-33

39-40

38-25

23-42

36-26

37-37

27-35

45-36

145.3Avg total

73.8Scored

71.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (35)	74.3	67.4	141.7	+6.9	63%
Season at home (21)	77.4	63.8	141.1	+13.6	81%
Season away (14)	69.7	72.8	142.5	-3.1	36%
Last 10 (10)	73.8	71.5	145.3	+2.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	72.2	72.4	144.6	-0.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	69.7	81.7	151.3	-12.0	0%
vs Similar (19)	72.9	67.8	140.7	+5.1	63%
vs Weaker (8)	77.4	64.8	142.1	+12.6	75%

This opponent (Uconn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

UconnArkansas

Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by half · pick a half

UconnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Creighton

#83

29-31

-2

A11/02

NCAA

Seton Hall

#175

33-27

H18/02

NCAA

Providence

#92

37-32

H22/02

NCAA

St. John's (N.Y.)

#185

50-41

A25/02

NCAA

DePaul

#332

51-19

+32

H02/03

NCAA

Villanova

#196

32-24

A05/03

NCAA

Providence

#92

35-19

+16

H09/03

NCAA

Marquette

#15

38-38

A10/03

NCAA

Iona

#25

37-39

-2

H17/03

NCAA

St. Marys (CA)

#32

31-30

H19/03

NCAA

67.3Avg total

37.3Scored

30.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	30.5	69.0	+8.0	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.1	30.1	70.2	+10.0	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.6	30.9	67.5	+5.8	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	30.0	67.3	+7.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	30.0	64.6	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	34.3	33.0	67.3	+1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	39.0	30.2	69.1	+8.8	78%	-

This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Texas A&M

#55

33-24

A16/02

NCAA

Florida

#205

37-31

H18/02

NCAA

Georgia

#214

43-23

+20

H22/02

NCAA

Alabama

#11

37-28

A25/02

NCAA

Tennessee

#62

25-34

-9

A01/03

NCAA

Kentucky

#86

36-40

-4

H04/03

NCAA

Auburn

#106

37-33

A10/03

NCAA

Texas A&M

#55

38-25

+13

A11/03

NCAA

Illinois

#114

36-26

+10

H16/03

NCAA

Kansas

#23

27-35

-8

A18/03

NCAA

64.8Avg total

34.9Scored

29.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.0	30.6	64.5	+3.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	35.3	30.1	65.4	+5.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	32.4	31.1	63.6	+1.3	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.9	29.9	64.8	+5.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	31.8	66.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	31.7	31.7	63.3	+0.0	33%	-
vs Similar (19)	33.2	31.4	64.6	+1.8	58%	-
vs Weaker (8)	36.6	28.2	64.9	+8.4	88%	-

This opponent (Uconn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	35.5	74.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.9	34.8	74.8	+5.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.9	36.3	73.1	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	33.8	72.1	+4.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	32.6	71.8	+6.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	45.3	28.7	74.0	+16.7	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	37.7	36.3	74.0	+1.5	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	37.6	77.0	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.0	34.5	76.5	+7.5	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.5	41.1	77.6	-4.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	41.6	80.5	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	40.6	78.0	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	38.0	50.0	88.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Similar (19)	39.1	36.1	75.2	+3.0	58%	-
vs Weaker (8)	40.8	36.5	77.2	+4.2	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Uconn wins

Arkansas wins

No previous meetings.

Uconnlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/03/23	H	St. Marys (CA)	70-55
17/03/23	H	Iona	87-63
10/03/23	A	Marquette	68-70
09/03/23	H	Providence	73-66
05/03/23	A	Villanova	71-59
02/03/23	H	DePaul	88-59
25/02/23	A	St. John's (N.Y.)	95-86
22/02/23	H	Providence	87-69
18/02/23	H	Seton Hall	64-55
11/02/23	A	Creighton	53-56

Arkansaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/03/23	A	Kansas	72-71
16/03/23	H	Illinois	73-63
11/03/23	A	Texas A&M	61-67
10/03/23	A	Auburn	76-73
04/03/23	H	Kentucky	79-88
01/03/23	A	Tennessee	57-75
25/02/23	A	Alabama	83-86
22/02/23	H	Georgia	97-65
18/02/23	H	Florida	84-65
16/02/23	A	Texas A&M	56-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Uconn

NCAA 2022-23

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	77%
Home	WWWWW	90%
Away	WLWWL	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	35	21	14
Win %	77%	90%	57%
Points / game	78.5	81.8	73.5
Allowed / game	64.7	63.0	67.1
Point differential	+13.8	+18.7	+6.4
Avg total	143.1	144.8	140.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	60%	71%	43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (4)	0% (1)	0% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Arkansas

NCAA 2022-23

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	63%
Home	LWWLW	81%
Away	LLWLW	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	35	21	14
Win %	63%	81%	36%
Points / game	74.3	77.4	69.7
Allowed / game	67.4	63.8	72.8
Point differential	+6.9	+13.6	-3.1
Avg total	141.7	141.1	142.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	46%	71%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	0% (1)	50% (8)
Overtime %	3%	0%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Marquette	36	29	7	81%	79.3	70.3	+9.1
2	Uconn	35	27	8	77%	78.5	64.7	+13.8
3	Xavier	36	27	9	75%	81.2	73.8	+7.4
4	Creighton	35	23	12	66%	76.7	68.5	+8.2
5	Providence	33	21	12	64%	77.3	71.0	+6.3
6	Seton Hall	32	17	15	53%	68.5	65.1	+3.4
7	St. John's (N.Y.)	34	18	16	53%	76.6	75.6	+1.0
8	Villanova	33	17	16	52%	70.0	67.8	+2.1
9	Butler	32	14	18	44%	65.2	67.9	-2.7
10	DePaul	33	10	23	30%	71.2	77.3	-6.1
11	Georgetown	32	7	25	22%	69.5	78.1	-8.6

Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

Southeastern conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Alabama	36	31	5	86%	82.3	68.2	+14.1
2	Texas	36	28	8	78%	77.8	67.2	+10.6
3	Tennessee	35	25	10	71%	71.2	57.8	+13.4
4	Texas A&M	35	25	10	71%	72.8	66.5	+6.3
5	Missouri	35	25	10	71%	78.9	74.4	+4.5
6	Kentucky	34	22	12	65%	74.5	67.8	+6.7
7	Arkansas	35	22	13	63%	74.3	67.4	+6.9
8	Auburn	34	21	13	62%	72.8	67.7	+5.1
9	Mississippi St.	34	20	14	59%	65.1	61.5	+3.6
10	Vanderbilt	34	20	14	59%	72.5	72.1	+0.4
11	Florida	32	16	16	50%	71.9	68.7	+3.3
12	Georgia	32	16	16	50%	68.5	71.5	-3.0
13	Oklahoma	32	15	17	47%	67.7	67.5	+0.1
14	LSU	33	14	19	42%	67.6	70.7	-3.1
15	Ole Miss	33	12	21	36%	67.5	69.1	-1.6
16	South Carolina	32	11	21	34%	64.3	72.6	-8.3