PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Arkansas vs Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 79-88
36-40 43-48
Position#112
Record19-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game66.5
Arkansas
USA
vs
Kentucky 🏆
USA
Position#86
Record20-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game67.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Arkansas v Kentucky
31 Jan 2026
ARKA77
KENT85
27 Jan 2024
ARKA57
KENT63
04 Mar 2023
ARKA79
KENT88
26 Feb 2022
ARKA75
KENT73
18 Jan 2020
ARKA66
KENT73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#67
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A28/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H01/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A04/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
W
88-73
88
73
+15
A08/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
L
64-70
64
70
-6
H11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A16/02
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
84-65
84
65
+19
H18/02
NCAA
Georgia
#214
W
97-65
97
65
+32
H22/02
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A25/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
57-75
57
75
-18
A01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-27
31-40
42-34
39-36
36-27
29-36
41-40
47-33
25-34
39-36
33-24
23-38
37-31
47-34
43-23
54-42
37-28
46-58
25-34
32-41
143.5Avg total
73.9Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)74.766.5141.2+8.163%
Season at home (19)77.562.5140.1+15.084%
Season away (11)69.773.5143.2-3.727%
Last 10 (10)73.969.6143.5+4.350%
Last 5 (5)75.470.6146.0+4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.781.7151.3-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)74.166.6140.6+7.562%
vs Weaker (11)76.962.4139.3+14.582%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#23
L
68-77
68
77
-9
H29/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
75-66
75
66
+9
A01/02
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H05/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
L
73-88
73
88
-15
H08/02
NCAA
Georgia
#214
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A11/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A16/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H18/02
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A23/02
NCAA
Auburn
#106
W
86-54
86
54
+32
H25/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-41
34-36
32-32
43-34
33-22
39-45
40-41
33-47
32-42
36-33
36-35
35-33
39-19
27-35
36-37
46-37
40-29
46-25
30-34
36-34
141.8Avg total
72.7Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)74.767.3142.0+7.467%
Season at home (20)76.864.2141.1+12.675%
Season away (10)70.473.3143.7-2.950%
Last 10 (10)72.769.1141.8+3.660%
Last 5 (5)74.263.6137.8+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)62.566.3128.8-3.850%
vs Similar ◀ (11)75.571.9147.4+3.564%
vs Weaker (13)79.763.8143.5+15.977%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +1.6+1.6
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +1.6+1.6
ArkansasKentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#67
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A28/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H01/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A04/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A08/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A16/02
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H18/02
NCAA
Georgia
#214
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H22/02
NCAA
Alabama
#11
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A25/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A01/03
NCAA
65.4Avg total
35.2Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.130.164.1+4.067%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.329.464.7+5.868%-
Last 30 away (11)32.031.263.2+0.864%-
Last 10 (10)35.230.265.4+5.080%-
Last 5 (5)35.028.063.0+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.731.763.3+0.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)32.731.163.8+1.656%-
vs Weaker (11)36.728.164.8+8.691%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#23
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H29/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A01/02
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
33-22
33
22
+11
H05/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H08/02
NCAA
Georgia
#214
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A11/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A16/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
W
39-19
39
19
+20
H18/02
NCAA
Florida
#205
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A23/02
NCAA
Auburn
#106
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H25/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H02/03
NCAA
68.4Avg total
35.2Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.532.568.0+3.150%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.431.168.5+6.360%-
Last 30 away (10)31.835.367.1-3.530%-
Last 10 (10)35.233.268.4+2.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.230.867.0+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.230.560.7-0.350%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.233.869.0+1.445%-
vs Weaker (13)38.332.270.5+6.154%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Arkansas wins
1
Kentucky wins
DateGameScore
08/02/23Kentucky v Arkansas73-88
26/02/22Arkansas v Kentucky75-73
10/02/21Kentucky v Arkansas80-81
18/01/20Arkansas v Kentucky66-73
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/23ATennessee57-75
25/02/23AAlabama83-86
22/02/23HGeorgia97-65
18/02/23HFlorida84-65
16/02/23ATexas A&M56-62
11/02/23HMississippi St.64-70
08/02/23AKentucky88-73
04/02/23ASouth Carolina65-63
01/02/23HTexas A&M81-70
28/01/23ABaylor64-67
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/23HVanderbilt66-68
25/02/23HAuburn86-54
23/02/23AFlorida82-74
18/02/23HTennessee66-54
16/02/23AMississippi St.71-68
11/02/23AGeorgia68-75
08/02/23HArkansas73-88
05/02/23HFlorida72-67
01/02/23AOle Miss75-66
29/01/23HKansas68-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL63%
HomeWWLWW84%
AwayWWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301911
Win %63%84%27%
Points / game74.777.569.7
Allowed / game66.562.573.5
Point differential+8.1+15.0-3.7
Avg total141.2140.1143.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%74%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (1)33% (6)
Overtime %3%0%9%
Kentucky
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWLWWL75%
AwayWWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games302010
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game74.776.870.4
Allowed / game67.364.273.3
Point differential+7.4+12.6-2.9
Avg total142.0141.1143.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%55%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)60% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %3%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama3126584%82.869.5+13.3
2 Texas A&M3123874%73.365.6+7.7
3 Tennessee3022873%71.956.7+15.2
4 Texas3022873%79.069.0+10.0
5 Missouri3022873%80.074.7+5.3
6 Kentucky30201067%74.767.3+7.4
7 Arkansas30191163%74.766.5+8.1
8 Auburn30191163%72.566.7+5.8
9 Mississippi St.30191163%65.560.5+5.0
10 Vanderbilt30171357%71.971.7+0.2
11 Georgia31161552%68.671.5-2.9
12 Florida30151550%71.868.7+3.1
13 Oklahoma30141647%68.168.1-0.1
14 LSU30131743%67.570.4-2.9
15 Ole Miss30111937%67.668.9-1.3
16 South Carolina31112035%64.572.8-8.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas364379
Kentucky404888
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.