Mornar Bar vs Ulcinj Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 May 2018

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 96-62

21-11 22-15 31-18 22-18

Position#1

Record4-2

FormWLWLW

Points / game85.5

Allowed / game76.2

Mornar Bar 🏆

Ulcinj

Position#5

Record14-8

FormLLLLL

Points / game84.9

Allowed / game76.8

Prva A LigaRound 7

Other2017-18

Meetings · Mornar Bar v Ulcinj

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ulcinj winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar Bar Montenegro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Donar Groningen

73-67

H21/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Crvena zvezda

88-84

H25/03

ABA League

Donar Groningen

74-101

101

-27

A28/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Crvena zvezda

69-88

-19

A02/04

ABA League

Tivat

105-82

105

+23

H18/04

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

80-72

A21/04

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

83-85

-2

H24/04

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

100-77

100

+23

A27/04

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

79-81

-2

H30/04

Prva A Liga

Tivat

66-60

A03/05

Prva A Liga

18-10

19-30

15-12

21-15

30-21

18-24

21-19

19-20

20-25

14-27

20-18

20-31

19-26

18-26

19-16

13-20

27-25

28-22

22-19

28-16

23-19

19-24

18-13

20-16

20-24

17-21

24-14

22-26

17-22

27-25

37-15

19-15

22-20

19-23

15-12

23-26

18-14

14-14

19-18

15-14

161.4Avg total

81.7Scored

79.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	85.5	76.2	161.7	+9.3	67%
Season at home (3)	89.0	82.7	171.7	+6.3	33%
Season away (3)	82.0	69.7	151.7	+12.3	100%
Last 10 (10)	81.7	79.7	161.4	+2.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	75.0	156.6	+6.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	75.8	83.8	159.6	-7.9	50%
vs Similar (9)	89.7	84.1	173.8	+5.6	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	86.6	74.8	161.3	+11.8	78%

This opponent (Ulcinj) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ulcinj

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tivat

83-73

+10

A03/03

Prva A Liga

Studentski Centar

#12

88-61

+27

H10/03

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

93-88

A24/03

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

92-85

H31/03

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

80-88

-8

A18/04

Prva A Liga

Mornar Bar

72-80

-8

H21/04

Prva A Liga

Tivat

65-70

-5

A24/04

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

84-92

-8

A27/04

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

71-97

-26

H30/04

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

84-97

-13

H03/05

Prva A Liga

20-24

21-25

20-16

22-8

22-17

26-22

22-14

18-8

22-22

19-20

22-22

30-24

26-25

26-22

22-14

18-24

19-33

20-15

22-20

19-20

19-23

24-19

13-18

16-20

17-22

17-20

19-13

12-15

22-22

21-30

23-28

18-12

22-30

11-27

20-17

18-23

20-31

23-18

22-27

19-21

164.3Avg total

81.2Scored

83.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	84.9	76.8	161.7	+8.1	64%
Season at home (11)	87.6	79.7	167.4	+7.9	64%
Season away (11)	82.2	73.9	156.1	+8.3	64%
Last 10 (10)	81.2	83.1	164.3	-1.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	75.2	87.2	162.4	-12.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	57.1	70.4	127.6	-13.3	14%
vs Similar (11)	80.2	81.5	161.6	-1.3	45%
vs Weaker (12)	88.1	67.4	155.5	+20.7	100%

This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Mornar BarUlcinj

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.8	19.7	42.5	+3.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	22.8	41.5	-4.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	20.6	42.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	20.9	21.5	42.4	-0.6	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.7	22.4	42.1	-2.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	21.7	19.7	41.3	+2.0	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	22.3	21.6	43.9	+0.8	48%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.5	21.2	43.6	+1.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (8)	22.1	22.2	44.4	-0.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	24.9	45.8	-4.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	25.6	45.6	-5.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	19.3	26.3	45.7	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.6	23.7	43.3	-4.1	20%	-
vs Weaker (8)	26.9	17.1	44.0	+9.8	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	21.9	42.1	-1.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	23.9	44.0	-3.7	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	23.6	42.9	-4.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.4	40.6	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	16.8	24.2	41.0	-7.5	8%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.2	20.9	44.1	+2.3	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	21.7	19.9	41.6	+1.8	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	21.0	19.7	40.7	+1.4	52%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.1	19.7	41.8	+2.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (8)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	21.8	42.6	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	22.8	42.0	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	16.7	20.3	37.0	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.3	20.8	41.1	-0.5	40%	-
vs Weaker (8)	23.6	18.0	41.6	+5.6	75%	-

Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Donar Groningen

37-40

-3

H21/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Crvena zvezda

48-45

H25/03

ABA League

Donar Groningen

34-52

-18

A28/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Crvena zvezda

37-52

-15

A02/04

ABA League

Tivat

55-47

H18/04

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

42-43

-1

A21/04

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

37-45

-8

H24/04

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

44-47

-3

A27/04

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

41-43

-2

H30/04

Prva A Liga

Tivat

32-28

A03/05

Prva A Liga

84.9Avg total

40.7Scored

44.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	43.2	84.1	-2.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.9	43.5	86.5	-0.6	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.9	42.8	81.7	-3.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	44.2	84.9	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	41.2	80.4	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	37.7	45.8	83.4	-8.1	17%	-
vs Similar (9)	42.9	43.3	86.2	-0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	43.3	39.6	82.9	+3.8	56%	-

This opponent (Ulcinj) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

UlcinjLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tivat

41-49

-8

A03/03

Prva A Liga

Studentski Centar

#12

48-39

H10/03

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

41-42

-1

A24/03

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

52-47

H31/03

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

39-48

-9

A18/04

Prva A Liga

Mornar Bar

43-42

H21/04

Prva A Liga

Tivat

34-42

-8

A24/04

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

43-52

-9

A27/04

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

33-57

-24

H30/04

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

43-49

-6

H03/05

Prva A Liga

88.4Avg total

41.7Scored

46.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	43.4	41.2	84.6	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	44.5	40.8	85.4	+3.7	77%	-
Last 30 away (8)	41.5	41.9	83.4	-0.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	46.7	88.4	-5.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	48.4	87.6	-9.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	36.0	46.7	82.7	-10.7	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	39.9	44.5	84.4	-4.6	30%	-
vs Weaker (8)	50.5	35.1	85.6	+15.4	100%	-

This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	17.8	39.0	+3.4	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	16.5	37.7	+4.8	93%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.2	19.1	40.3	+2.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	15.6	36.6	+5.4	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	14.4	37.0	+8.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.9	18.2	37.1	+0.8	75%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.4	18.4	40.9	+4.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	23.1	16.7	39.8	+6.4	89%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	20.9	18.2	39.1	+2.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.5	17.0	38.5	+4.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (8)	19.9	20.2	40.1	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	18.9	39.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.6	40.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	17.0	22.7	39.7	-5.7	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.2	20.0	41.2	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	22.0	14.4	36.4	+7.6	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	18.4	40.3	+3.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	20.4	39.7	-1.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.9	39.9	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.2	19.8	39.1	-0.6	58%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.0	19.7	42.7	+3.3	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	20.1	18.6	38.7	+1.6	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	20.0	18.1	38.1	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.2	19.2	38.5	+0.0	46%	-
Last 30 away (8)	21.2	16.2	37.5	+5.0	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	17.5	36.5	+1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	18.2	34.8	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	17.3	18.0	35.3	-0.7	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.2	17.5	37.7	+2.7	60%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.8	18.9	39.6	+1.9	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	37.2	79.1	+4.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.2	34.9	78.1	+8.3	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.5	39.5	80.1	+1.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	35.5	76.5	+5.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	33.8	76.2	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	38.2	38.0	76.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	45.4	38.1	83.6	+7.3	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	43.2	35.2	78.4	+8.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	40.9	36.3	77.2	+4.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.8	36.2	77.0	+4.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (8)	41.1	36.5	77.6	+4.6	88%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	36.4	75.9	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	38.8	74.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	34.3	40.7	75.0	-6.3	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	41.4	37.5	78.9	+3.9	80%	-
vs Weaker (8)	42.8	33.2	76.0	+9.5	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 86.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game

53%

30%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	20.2	56.3%	58.8%	40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	9.4	36.2%	31.5%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	24.1	17.7	73.4%	69.7%	17.7

They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Ulcinjtheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.7	21.0	51.6%	58.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.0	8.7	37.8%	31.5%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	18.8	13.8	73.4%	69.7%	13.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	19.1	52.0%	58.8%	38.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.1	8.7	36.0%	31.5%	26.0
🏀 Free throws	22.0	15.4	69.9%	69.7%	15.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	21.2	53.2%	58.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.2	7.6	36.1%	31.5%	22.9
🏀 Free throws	20.9	14.9	71.4%	69.7%	14.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Mornar Bar wins

Ulcinj wins

Date	Game	Score
21/04/18	Ulcinj v Mornar Bar	72-80
08/04/17	Ulcinj v Mornar Bar	0-20
01/04/17	Mornar Bar v Ulcinj	85-68
06/04/11	Mornar Bar v Ulcinj	77-69
30/03/11	Ulcinj v Mornar Bar	80-68
23/03/11	Mornar Bar v Ulcinj	69-60

Mornar Barlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/05/18	A	Tivat	66-60
30/04/18	H	Sutjeska	79-81
27/04/18	A	Lovcen Cetinje	100-77
24/04/18	H	Buducnost	83-85
21/04/18	A	Ulcinj	80-72
18/04/18	H	Tivat	105-82
02/04/18	A	Crvena zvezda	69-88
28/03/18	A	Donar Groningen	74-101
25/03/18	H	Crvena zvezda	88-84
21/03/18	H	Donar Groningen	73-67

Ulcinjlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/05/18	H	Lovcen Cetinje	84-97
30/04/18	H	Buducnost	71-97
27/04/18	A	Sutjeska	84-92
24/04/18	A	Tivat	65-70
21/04/18	H	Mornar Bar	72-80
18/04/18	A	Lovcen Cetinje	80-88
31/03/18	H	Lovcen Cetinje	92-85
24/03/18	A	Sutjeska	93-88
10/03/18	H	Studentski Centar	88-61
03/03/18	A	Tivat	83-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar

Prva A Liga 2017-18

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	67%
Home	WLL	33%
Away	WWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	67%	33%	100%
Points / game	85.5	89.0	82.0
Allowed / game	76.2	82.7	69.7
Point differential	+9.3	+6.3	+12.3
Avg total	161.7	171.7	151.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	33%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Ulcinj

Prva A Liga 2017-18

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	64%
Home	WWLLL	64%
Away	WWLLL	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	64%	64%	64%
Points / game	84.9	87.6	82.2
Allowed / game	76.8	79.7	73.9
Point differential	+8.1	+7.9	+8.3
Avg total	161.7	167.4	156.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	36%	55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Buducnost	7	7	0	100%	86.7	70.6	+16.1
2	Lovcen Cetinje	23	17	6	74%	83.3	75.3	+8.0
3	Sutjeska	23	16	7	70%	82.2	71.3	+11.0
4	Mornar Bar	6	4	2	67%	85.5	76.2	+9.3
5	Ulcinj	22	14	8	64%	84.9	76.8	+8.1
6	Tivat	23	12	11	52%	81.4	75.0	+6.4
7	Strsljen	2	1	1	50%	86.5	87.5	-1.0
8	Ibar Rozaje	16	7	9	44%	76.5	76.6	-0.1
9	Danilovgrad	16	5	11	31%	68.9	76.2	-7.4
10	Jedinstvo	16	5	11	31%	77.7	87.9	-10.2
11	Primorje	16	3	13	19%	69.6	93.1	-23.6
12	Studentski Centar	18	3	15	17%	70.3	85.3	-14.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Mornar Bar	21	22	31	22	96
Ulcinj	11	15	18	18	62

← all games of the day

Mornar Bar vs Ulcinj Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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