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Ulm vs Bayreuth Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 88-73
25-23 17-25 22-14 24-11
Position#4
Record0-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game86.5
Ulm 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#18
Record2-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game82.5
GermanyBBLRound 5
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Ulm v Bayreuth
29 Oct 2022
ULM88
BAR73
16 Jan 2022
ULM92
BAR81
14 Nov 2020
ULM104
BAR76
17 Jan 2020
ULM103
BAR93
04 May 2019
ULM92
BAR69
07 Oct 2017
ULM74
BAR84
04 Feb 2017
ULM90
BAR70
12 Mar 2016
ULM77
BAR80
23 Dec 2014
ULM84
BAR80
21 Apr 2014
ULM92
BAR74
23 Feb 2013
ULM88
BAR72
28 Jan 2012
ULM74
BAR52
19 Dec 2010
ULM82
BAR73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayreuth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
77-81 OT
77
81
-4
no box
A17/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
79-97
79
97
-18
68avg 76
H19/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
80-87
80
87
-7
75avg 76
A01/10
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
84-93
84
93
-9
80avg 76
H05/10
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
80-85
80
85
-5
75avg 76
A09/10
BBL
Venezia
#10
W
81-80
81
80
+1
79avg 76
H11/10
Eurocup
Gottingen
#8
L
82-86
82
86
-4
no box
A16/10
German Cup
Lietkabelis
#9
L
76-80
76
80
-4
70avg 76
A19/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#5
L
73-81
73
81
-8
70avg 76
A21/10
BBL
Brescia
#13
L
90-98 OT
90
98
-8
no box
H26/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
15-17
15-16
16-16
16-31
19-27
22-19
22-20
18-24
21-15
15-28
26-20
28-22
19-29
16-18
21-24
14-18
22-24
23-22
21-21
21-16
19-26
18-14
23-24
21-16
21-20
21-23
19-27
19-21
9-23
22-15
26-21
24-15
12-26
16-23
21-17
27-23
25-22
13-17
18-21
167.0Avg total
80.2Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.286.5165.8-7.20%
Season at home (1)84.093.0177.0-9.00%
Season away (3)77.784.3162.0-6.70%
Last 10 (10)80.286.8167.0-6.610%
Last 5 (5)80.485.0165.4-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.384.7161.0-8.317%
vs Similar (13)80.585.8166.3-5.223%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)83.680.6164.2+3.060%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#6
L
69-83
69
83
-14
63avg 74
H13/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
L
85-90
85
90
-5
82avg 74
A16/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
73-80
73
80
-7
69avg 74
H22/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
87-93
87
93
-6
90avg 74
H28/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
70-82
70
82
-12
68avg 74
A01/05
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
83-82 OT
83
82
+1
no box
H30/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
72-76
72
76
-4
65avg 74
A05/10
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
79-95
79
95
-16
68avg 74
H08/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#14
W
75-69
75
69
+6
no box
A15/10
German Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
99-77
99
77
+22
97avg 74
H23/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
16-22
16-18
22-24
25-26
24-18
16-20
20-26
15-18
18-22
18-17
22-23
16-26
23-24
19-17
29-26
27-27
12-21
17-12
14-22
17-27
13-12
22-20
23-16
22-14
19-30
16-14
15-18
15-27
24-25
19-20
21-23
17-24
20-19
13-14
25-12
32-18
22-16
19-24
26-19
161.9Avg total
79.2Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.282.5165.8+0.850%
Season at home (3)87.084.7171.7+2.367%
Season away (1)72.076.0148.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)79.282.7161.9-3.530%
Last 5 (5)81.679.8161.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)79.084.1163.1-5.129%
vs Similar (12)79.789.1168.8-9.417%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
UlmBayreuth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A17/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
35-58
35
58
-23
H19/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A01/10
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H05/10
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A09/10
BBL
Venezia
#10
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H11/10
Eurocup
Gottingen
#8
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A16/10
German Cup
Lietkabelis
#9
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A19/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A21/10
BBL
Brescia
#13
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H26/10
Eurocup
82.8Avg total
39.3Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.341.781.0-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.046.089.0-3.042%-
Last 30 away (18)36.838.875.6-1.944%-
Last 10 (10)39.343.582.8-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.641.681.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.543.380.8-5.817%-
vs Similar (13)39.043.182.1-4.131%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)40.539.479.9+1.170%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#6
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H13/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A16/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H22/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H28/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A01/05
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H30/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A05/10
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H08/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#14
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A15/10
German Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H23/10
BBL
82.7Avg total
39.2Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.843.884.6-3.027%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.143.084.1-1.931%-
Last 30 away (14)40.544.685.1-4.121%-
Last 10 (10)39.243.582.7-4.320%-
Last 5 (5)40.242.482.6-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)41.241.983.1-0.835%-
vs Similar (12)40.646.487.0-5.817%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.0
54.1%
54.4%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.86.1
28.0%
35.4%18.3
🏀 Free throws22.516.9
75.1%
75.8%16.9
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.015.3
47.8%
54.4%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.911.1
39.8%
35.4%33.3
🏀 Free throws15.711.5
73.2%
75.8%11.5
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
LLLLWLLLLL
Bayreuth
WWLLWLLLLL
#4
League position
#18
-7.1
Net rating
-11.1
105.6
Offensive rating
106.9
112.8
Defensive rating
118.0
49.8%
Effective FG%
53.3%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
17.0%
Turnover %
21.7%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
34.7%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.26
28.0%
3-point %
39.8%
57.9%
Assist %
69.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 106.9Defence112.8 · 118.0Shooting49.8% · 53.3%3-point %28.0% · 39.8%Ball care17.0% · 21.7%Off. rebounds27.8% · 34.7%Free throws0.37 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Ulm   ■ Bayreuth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Ulm wins
2
Bayreuth wins
DateGameScore
22/04/22Bayreuth v Ulm73-80
16/01/22Ulm v Bayreuth92-81
13/04/21Bayreuth v Ulm93-99
14/11/20Ulm v Bayreuth104-76
29/02/20Bayreuth v Ulm69-85
17/01/20Ulm v Bayreuth103-93
04/05/19Ulm v Bayreuth92-69
04/11/18Bayreuth v Ulm79-88
20/04/18Bayreuth v Ulm88-75
07/10/17Ulm v Bayreuth74-84
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/22HBrescia90-98 OT
21/10/22AOldenburg73-81
19/10/22ALietkabelis76-80
16/10/22AGottingen82-86
11/10/22HVenezia81-80
09/10/22ARostock80-85
05/10/22HGottingen84-93
01/10/22ABayern80-87
19/05/22HLudwigsburg79-97
17/05/22ALudwigsburg77-81 OT
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/22HCrailsheim Merlins99-77
15/10/22ASyntainics MBC75-69
08/10/22HHamburg79-95
05/10/22AOldenburg72-76
30/09/22HFrankfurt83-82 OT
01/05/22AFrankfurt70-82
28/04/22HLudwigsburg87-93
22/04/22HUlm73-80
16/04/22ACrailsheim Merlins85-90
13/04/22HChemnitz69-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game79.284.077.7
Allowed / game86.593.084.3
Point differential-7.2-9.0-6.7
Avg total165.8177.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayreuth
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game83.287.072.0
Allowed / game82.584.776.0
Point differential+0.8+2.3-4.0
Avg total165.8171.7148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %25%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn330100%86.373.0+13.3
2 Rostock440100%98.090.5+7.5
3 Alba Berlin440100%84.577.2+7.2
4 Hamburg54180%84.275.6+8.6
5 Ludwigsburg43175%91.883.0+8.8
6 Bayern43175%84.077.2+6.8
7 Oldenburg43175%83.279.0+4.2
8 Gottingen32167%88.785.3+3.3
9 Bayreuth42250%83.282.5+0.8
10 Wurzburg42250%89.894.0-4.2
11 Syntainics MBC31233%89.394.3-5.0
12 Heidelberg31233%83.089.3-6.3
13 Frankfurt41325%81.284.0-2.8
14 Crailsheim Merlins41325%80.089.2-9.2
15 Ulm4040%79.286.5-7.2
16 Bamberg5050%76.485.2-8.8
17 Chemnitz2020%77.587.0-9.5
18 Basketball Braunschweig4040%78.889.5-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm2517222488
Bayreuth2325141173
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