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Bayreuth vs Hamburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 79-95
15-27 24-25 19-20 21-23
Position#18
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game79.0
Bayreuth
Germany
vs
Hamburg 🏆
Germany
Position#15
Record1-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game77.5
GermanyBBLRound 3
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Bayreuth v Hamburg
08 Oct 2022
BAR79
HAM95
05 Feb 2022
BAR90
HAM71
05 Oct 2021
BAR93
HAM84
29 Apr 2021
BAR90
HAM83
17 Mar 2020
BAR v HAM
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayreuth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hamburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#9
L
71-84
71
84
-13
no box
H26/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
53-87
53
87
-34
41avg 73
A04/04
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
L
77-83
77
83
-6
69avg 73
H09/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#6
L
69-83
69
83
-14
63avg 73
H13/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
L
85-90
85
90
-5
82avg 73
A16/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
73-80
73
80
-7
69avg 73
H22/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
87-93
87
93
-6
90avg 73
H28/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
70-82
70
82
-12
68avg 73
A01/05
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
83-82 OT
83
82
+1
no box
H30/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
72-76
72
76
-4
65avg 73
A05/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
18-24
14-21
21-16
15-18
20-20
14-14
4-35
19-19
31-23
13-22
14-19
15-19
16-22
16-18
22-24
25-26
24-18
16-20
20-26
15-18
18-22
18-17
22-23
16-26
23-24
19-17
29-26
27-27
12-21
17-12
14-22
17-27
13-12
22-20
23-16
22-14
19-30
16-14
15-18
158.0Avg total
74.0Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)77.579.0156.5-1.550%
Season at home (1)83.082.0165.0+1.0100%
Season away (1)72.076.0148.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)74.084.0158.0-10.010%
Last 5 (5)77.082.6159.6-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)77.486.6164.0-9.122%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.487.8168.2-7.425%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Valencia
#4
L
80-98
80
98
-18
72avg 78
A20/04
Eurocup
Bayern
#3
W
87-83
87
83
+4
82avg 78
H24/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
81-96
81
96
-15
no box
A27/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
101-57
101
57
+44
105avg 78
A01/05
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
67-77
67
77
-10
58avg 78
A08/05
BBL
Bonn
#2
L
98-100 OT
98
100
-2
no box
A13/05
BBL
Bonn
#2
L
81-89
81
89
-8
77avg 78
A15/05
BBL
Bonn
#2
L
88-95
88
95
-7
79avg 78
H20/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
78-81
78
81
-3
75avg 78
A28/09
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
91-74
91
74
+17
88avg 78
H01/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
19-29
17-25
22-25
24-13
17-25
25-29
21-16
21-28
21-28
17-24
22-16
33-13
20-18
22-12
26-14
15-19
23-19
9-27
20-12
23-17
19-24
24-26
25-24
26-15
20-22
16-29
19-23
22-27
32-21
21-16
13-31
25-26
20-19
18-20
15-16
23-16
29-16
20-19
19-23
170.2Avg total
85.2Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)84.577.5162.0+7.050%
Season at home (1)91.074.0165.0+17.0100%
Season away (1)78.081.0159.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)85.285.0170.2+0.230%
Last 5 (5)87.287.8175.0-0.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.188.1164.3-12.014%
vs Similar ◀ (12)84.887.2172.1-2.433%
vs Weaker (11)89.776.5166.2+13.373%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
BayreuthHamburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#9
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H26/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A04/04
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H09/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#6
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H13/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A16/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H22/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H28/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A01/05
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H30/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A05/10
BBL
81.6Avg total
38.3Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.744.084.7-3.327%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.643.984.6-3.325%-
Last 30 away (14)40.844.184.9-3.329%-
Last 10 (10)38.343.381.6-5.020%-
Last 5 (5)36.444.280.6-7.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)40.743.384.0-2.728%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.845.085.8-4.225%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#4
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A20/04
Eurocup
Bayern
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H24/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A27/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A01/05
BBL
Bamberg
#9
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A08/05
BBL
Bonn
#2
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A13/05
BBL
Bonn
#2
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A15/05
BBL
Bonn
#2
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H20/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A28/09
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H01/10
BBL
86.8Avg total
45.4Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.440.685.0+3.867%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.939.285.1+6.786%-
Last 30 away (16)43.041.884.8+1.250%-
Last 10 (10)45.441.486.8+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)47.840.688.4+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.646.685.1-8.029%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)45.540.285.7+5.383%-
vs Weaker (11)46.837.384.1+9.573%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 71.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.015.6
47.3%
54.4%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.7
36.3%
35.4%29.1
🏀 Free throws15.211.5
75.7%
75.8%11.5
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.721.4
56.8%
54.4%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.2
36.2%
35.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws16.310.2
62.6%
75.8%10.2
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayreuth
LWLLLLLLLL
Hamburg
WLLLLLWLWL
#18
League position
#15
-14.2
Net rating
+1.5
102.2
Offensive rating
110.9
116.4
Defensive rating
109.4
50.5%
Effective FG%
55.7%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
21.3%
Turnover %
20.1%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
34.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.3%
3-point %
36.2%
72.7%
Assist %
69.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 110.9Defence116.4 · 109.4Shooting50.5% · 55.7%3-point %36.3% · 36.2%Ball care21.3% · 20.1%Off. rebounds32.8% · 34.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Bayreuth   ■ Hamburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bayreuth wins
1
Hamburg wins
DateGameScore
05/02/22Bayreuth v Hamburg90-71
17/10/21Hamburg v Bayreuth77-70
05/10/21Bayreuth v Hamburg93-84
29/04/21Bayreuth v Hamburg90-83
05/02/21Hamburg v Bayreuth92-95 OT
30/11/19Hamburg v Bayreuth81-95
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/22AOldenburg72-76
30/09/22HFrankfurt83-82 OT
01/05/22AFrankfurt70-82
28/04/22HLudwigsburg87-93
22/04/22HUlm73-80
16/04/22ACrailsheim Merlins85-90
13/04/22HChemnitz69-83
09/04/22Hs.Oliver Wurzburg77-83
04/04/22AAlba Berlin53-87
26/03/22HBamberg71-84
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/22HSyntainics MBC91-74
28/09/22AAlba Berlin78-81
20/05/22HBonn88-95
15/05/22ABonn81-89
13/05/22ABonn98-100 OT
08/05/22ABamberg67-77
01/05/22ASyntainics MBC101-57
27/04/22AAlba Berlin81-96
24/04/22HBayern87-83
20/04/22AValencia80-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayreuth
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game77.583.072.0
Allowed / game79.082.076.0
Point differential-1.5+1.0-4.0
Avg total156.5165.0148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %50%100%0%
Hamburg
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game84.591.078.0
Allowed / game77.574.081.0
Point differential+7.0+17.0-3.0
Avg total162.0165.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn110100%96.071.0+25.0
2 Ludwigsburg110100%100.086.0+14.0
3 Oldenburg220100%85.577.0+8.5
4 Bayern220100%85.077.0+8.0
5 Alba Berlin220100%85.579.0+6.5
6 Gottingen220100%87.080.5+6.5
7 Hamburg21150%84.577.5+7.0
8 Bayreuth21150%77.579.0-1.5
9 Wurzburg21150%80.089.0-9.0
10 Crailsheim Merlins31233%81.086.0-5.0
11 Frankfurt2020%78.083.0-5.0
12 Bamberg2020%81.087.0-6.0
13 Basketball Braunschweig1010%82.089.0-7.0
14 Ulm2020%82.090.0-8.0
15 Heidelberg1010%86.0100.0-14.0
16 Syntainics MBC1010%74.091.0-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayreuth1524192179
Hamburg2725202395
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