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Ulm vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 90-98 (OT)
27-23 25-22 13-17 18-21 7-15
Position#6
Record1-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Brescia 🏆
Position#13
Record1-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game75.0
EuropeEurocupRound 3
European cup2022
Meetings · Ulm v Brescia
26 Oct 2022
ULM90
BRE98
10 Nov 2020
ULM88
BRE76
30 Oct 2018
ULM83
BRE82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
99-104 OT
99
104
-5
no box
A14/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
77-81 OT
77
81
-4
no box
A17/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
79-97
79
97
-18
68avg 76
H19/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
80-87
80
87
-7
75avg 76
A01/10
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
84-93
84
93
-9
80avg 76
H05/10
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
80-85
80
85
-5
75avg 76
A09/10
BBL
Venezia
#10
W
81-80
81
80
+1
79avg 76
H11/10
Eurocup
Gottingen
#8
L
82-86
82
86
-4
no box
A16/10
German Cup
Lietkabelis
#9
L
76-80
76
80
-4
70avg 76
A19/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#5
L
73-81
73
81
-8
70avg 76
A21/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
20-11
17-23
20-22
23-20
15-17
15-16
16-16
16-31
19-27
22-19
22-20
18-24
21-15
15-28
26-20
28-22
19-29
16-18
21-24
14-18
22-24
23-22
21-21
21-16
19-26
18-14
23-24
21-16
21-20
21-23
19-27
19-21
9-23
22-15
26-21
24-15
12-26
16-23
21-17
168.5Avg total
81.1Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)78.580.0158.5-1.550%
Season at home (1)81.080.0161.0+1.0100%
Season away (1)76.080.0156.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)81.187.4168.5-6.310%
Last 5 (5)78.482.4160.8-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.384.7161.0-8.317%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.884.8164.5-5.025%
vs Weaker (11)84.481.1165.5+3.364%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Sassari
#4
W
104-97
104
97
+7
no box
H16/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
85-91
85
91
-6
71avg 78
H18/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
68-98
68
98
-30
55avg 78
A20/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
95-98
95
98
-3
88avg 78
A22/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
77-78
77
78
-1
63avg 78
A02/10
Lega A
Varese
#4
W
88-83
88
83
+5
80avg 78
H08/10
Lega A
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
63-80
63
80
-17
50avg 78
A11/10
Eurocup
Scafati
#11
W
82-81 OT
82
81
+1
no box
H16/10
Lega A
Prometey
#2
W
104-70
104
70
+34
112avg 78
H19/10
Eurocup
Brindisi
#9
L
81-82
81
82
-1
72avg 78
A23/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
28-23
27-21
25-29
24-15
21-26
12-26
28-24
25-23
9-24
15-33
19-18
23-30
30-30
18-18
24-20
21-22
15-14
22-11
19-31
23-26
17-18
20-24
28-15
22-23
15-19
12-11
14-27
16-16
21-20
18-19
18-18
21-18
27-24
28-12
28-16
27-23
12-14
26-19
16-26
170.5Avg total
84.7Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.575.0158.5+8.550%
Season at home (1)104.070.0174.0+34.0100%
Season away (1)63.080.0143.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)84.785.8170.5-1.140%
Last 5 (5)83.679.2162.8+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.874.2152.0+3.640%
vs Similar ◀ (9)84.188.3172.4-4.244%
vs Weaker (15)90.774.9165.7+15.893%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
UlmBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#4
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A14/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A17/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
35-58
35
58
-23
H19/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A01/10
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H05/10
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A09/10
BBL
Venezia
#10
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H11/10
Eurocup
Gottingen
#8
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A16/10
German Cup
Lietkabelis
#9
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A19/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A21/10
BBL
81.5Avg total
38.7Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.941.680.4-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.945.887.7-3.833%-
Last 30 away (18)36.838.875.6-1.944%-
Last 10 (10)38.742.881.5-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)36.441.077.4-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.543.380.8-5.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.942.980.8-5.025%-
vs Weaker (11)40.439.680.0+0.764%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#4
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H16/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H18/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A20/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A22/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A02/10
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H08/10
Lega A
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A11/10
Eurocup
Scafati
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H16/10
Lega A
Prometey
#2
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H19/10
Eurocup
Brindisi
#9
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A23/10
Lega A
85.3Avg total
42.1Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.939.982.9+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.739.184.8+6.671%-
Last 30 away (16)40.540.781.2-0.244%-
Last 10 (10)42.143.285.3-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.240.280.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.837.477.2+2.460%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.744.184.8-3.444%-
vs Weaker (15)45.438.183.5+7.367%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.0
54.1%
53.9%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.86.1
28.0%
35.1%18.3
🏀 Free throws22.516.9
75.1%
74.2%16.9
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.119.7
49.1%
53.9%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.8
33.6%
35.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.115.9
75.4%
74.2%15.9
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
LLLWLLLLLL
Brescia
LWWLWLLLLW
#6
League position
#13
-7.1
Net rating
-4.9
105.6
Offensive rating
107.7
112.8
Defensive rating
112.5
49.8%
Effective FG%
49.6%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
17.0%
Turnover %
14.8%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.32
28.0%
3-point %
33.6%
57.9%
Assist %
58.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 107.7Defence112.8 · 112.5Shooting49.8% · 49.6%3-point %28.0% · 33.6%Ball care17.0% · 14.8%Off. rebounds27.8% · 28.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Ulm   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ulm wins
1
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
10/11/20Ulm v Brescia88-76
07/10/20Brescia v Ulm87-84 OT
19/12/18Brescia v Ulm80-97
30/10/18Ulm v Brescia83-82
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/22AOldenburg73-81
19/10/22ALietkabelis76-80
16/10/22AGottingen82-86
11/10/22HVenezia81-80
09/10/22ARostock80-85
05/10/22HGottingen84-93
01/10/22ABayern80-87
19/05/22HLudwigsburg79-97
17/05/22ALudwigsburg77-81 OT
14/05/22ALudwigsburg99-104 OT
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/22ABrindisi81-82
19/10/22HPrometey104-70
16/10/22HScafati82-81 OT
11/10/22AJoventut Badalona63-80
08/10/22HVarese88-83
02/10/22AOlimpia Milano77-78
22/05/22ASassari95-98
20/05/22ASassari68-98
18/05/22HSassari85-91
16/05/22HSassari104-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
Eurocup 2022
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game78.581.076.0
Allowed / game80.080.080.0
Point differential-1.5+1.0-4.0
Avg total158.5161.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brescia
Eurocup 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game83.5104.063.0
Allowed / game75.070.080.0
Point differential+8.5+34.0-17.0
Avg total158.5174.0143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 JL Bourg220100%83.579.0+4.5
2 Buducnost32167%86.373.3+13.0
3 Hapoel Tel-Aviv32167%84.378.0+6.3
4 Promitheas32167%90.384.3+6.0
5 Bursaspor32167%82.078.3+3.7
6 Hamburg32167%81.079.0+2.0
7 Paris32167%89.087.0+2.0
8 Turk Telekom32167%84.083.3+0.7
9 Prometey32167%80.786.3-5.7
10 Brescia21150%83.575.0+8.5
11 Joventut Badalona21150%76.072.0+4.0
12 Gran Canaria21150%87.087.0+0.0
13 Ulm21150%78.580.0-1.5
14 Lietkabelis21150%75.579.0-3.5
15 London Lions21150%69.575.5-6.0
16 Cluj-Napoca31233%86.383.0+3.3
17 Venezia31233%79.380.0-0.7
18 Trento3030%79.086.7-7.7
19 Cedevita Olimpija2020%74.587.5-13.0
20 Slask Wroclaw3030%74.092.3-18.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Ulm27251318790
Brescia232217211598
← all games of the day
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