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Ulm vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 117-87
34-8 22-28 26-24 35-27
Position#2
Record17-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game79.4
Ulm 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#7
Record14-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game79.8
GermanyBBLRound 27· Ratiopharm Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Ulm v Chemnitz
10 Jan 2027
ULM v CHE
upcoming
14 Jan 2026
ULM88
CHE76
28 Sep 2025
ULM94
CHE81
06 Apr 2025
ULM117
CHE87
27 Sep 2023
ULM90
CHE85
05 Nov 2022
ULM93
CHE99
22 Jan 2022
ULM77
CHE68
24 Jan 2021
ULM102
CHE63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
71-92
71
92
-21
64avg 78
A02/02
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
90-97
90
97
-7
80avg 78
H05/02
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
92-66
92
66
+26
84avg 78
H08/02
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
91-72
91
72
+19
87avg 78
A13/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
111-75
111
75
+36
104avg 78
H28/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
W
101-90 OT
101
90
+11
94avg 78
H09/03
BBL
Vechta
#10
W
84-73
84
73
+11
80avg 78
A14/03
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
62-70
62
70
-8
52avg 78
A17/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
115-88
115
88
+27
90avg 78
H22/03
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
67-85
67
85
-18
43avg 78
A29/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-22
16-19
21-20
22-31
21-29
29-20
22-16
18-32
22-16
16-20
29-11
25-19
26-15
21-23
27-11
17-23
11-18
34-17
32-21
34-19
17-16
20-33
21-13
28-24
22-21
19-13
24-19
19-20
11-10
19-18
17-19
15-23
29-24
32-16
24-18
30-30
10-21
11-19
24-26
22-19
169.2Avg total
88.4Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)86.279.4165.5+6.868%
Season at home (12)89.774.2163.9+15.492%
Season away (13)82.984.1167.0-1.246%
Last 10 (10)88.480.8169.2+7.660%
Last 5 (5)85.881.2167.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)81.285.5166.8-4.225%
vs Similar (11)90.986.3177.2+4.645%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)87.777.3164.9+10.473%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Manisa
#25
L
84-87
84
87
-3
82avg 73
H14/01
Champions League
Hamburg
#13
W
69-60
69
60
+9
66avg 73
H17/01
BBL
Vechta
#10
L
66-89
66
89
-23
52avg 73
A24/01
BBL
Bonn
#14
W
84-80
84
80
+4
69avg 73
A02/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
83-95
83
95
-12
75avg 73
H08/02
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
72-65
72
65
+7
68avg 73
H11/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
72-94
72
94
-22
62avg 73
H02/03
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
94-90
94
90
+4
67avg 73
A08/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
90-83
90
83
+7
82avg 73
A16/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
70-65
70
65
+5
60avg 73
A30/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
23-17
21-25
19-19
15-12
16-11
22-16
16-21
15-19
15-21
18-24
18-25
22-21
24-24
17-23
21-12
18-20
29-31
20-26
16-18
23-19
15-14
20-15
14-17
17-12
25-30
14-29
16-23
18-20
26-29
16-24
34-17
19-14
21-22
22-21
28-26
17-14
18-21
10-14
25-16
159.2Avg total
78.4Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.179.8158.9-0.761%
Season at home (12)82.482.1164.5+0.367%
Season away (11)75.577.3152.8-1.755%
Last 10 (10)78.480.8159.2-2.460%
Last 5 (5)79.679.4159.0+0.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)76.585.4161.9-8.823%
vs Similar (12)79.678.2157.8+1.367%
vs Weaker (4)86.277.2163.5+9.0100%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +6.7+6.7Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +6.7+6.7Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
UlmChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A02/02
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H05/02
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H08/02
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A13/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H28/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H09/03
BBL
Vechta
#10
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A14/03
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A17/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
61-40
61
40
+21
H22/03
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
21-40
21
40
-19
A29/03
BBL
78.8Avg total
39.8Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.540.983.4+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.840.586.3+5.367%-
Last 30 away (15)39.241.480.6-2.247%-
Last 10 (10)39.839.078.8+0.870%-
Last 5 (5)38.038.276.2-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.545.586.0-5.025%-
vs Similar (11)42.243.385.5-1.145%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.338.081.3+5.373%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manisa
#25
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H14/01
Champions League
Hamburg
#13
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H17/01
BBL
Vechta
#10
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A24/01
BBL
Bonn
#14
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A02/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H08/02
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H11/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H02/03
BBL
Gottingen
#17
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A08/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A16/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A30/03
BBL
79.4Avg total
39.7Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.879.0-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.138.679.7+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)37.241.178.3-3.927%-
Last 10 (10)39.739.779.4+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.078.8+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.440.577.9-3.231%-
vs Similar (12)39.839.579.3+0.358%-
vs Weaker (4)44.038.082.0+6.050%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.718.1
53.7%
52.3%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.811.3
39.2%
33.6%33.9
🏀 Free throws24.217.5
72.3%
73.5%17.5
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.0
48.8%
52.3%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.8
32.2%
33.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.915.0
75.4%
73.5%15.0
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
LWLWWWWWLL
Chemnitz
WWWLWLWLWL
#2
League position
#7
+10.2
Net rating
-3.7
114.4
Offensive rating
102.7
104.3
Defensive rating
106.4
56.1%
Effective FG%
48.6%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
18.7%
Turnover %
18.7%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.31
39.2%
3-point %
32.2%
58.5%
Assist %
54.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.4 · 102.7Defence104.3 · 106.4Shooting56.1% · 48.6%3-point %39.2% · 32.2%Ball care18.7% · 18.7%Off. rebounds30.5% · 31.2%Free throws0.39 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Ulm   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Ulm wins
4
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
22/09/24Chemnitz v Ulm86-90
02/03/24Chemnitz v Ulm83-82
09/12/23Chemnitz v Ulm78-87
27/09/23Ulm v Chemnitz90-85
21/04/23Chemnitz v Ulm92-86
05/11/22Ulm v Chemnitz93-99 OT
22/01/22Ulm v Chemnitz77-68
24/10/21Chemnitz v Ulm78-81
02/10/21Chemnitz v Ulm87-85
02/05/21Chemnitz v Ulm70-85
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25ARostock67-85
22/03/25HFrankfurt115-88
17/03/25ABayern62-70
14/03/25AVechta84-73
09/03/25HAlba Berlin101-90 OT
28/02/25HBasketball Braunschweig111-75
13/02/25AGottingen91-72
08/02/25HSyntainics MBC92-66
05/02/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv90-97
02/02/25ALudwigsburg71-92
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/25AFrankfurt70-65
16/03/25AWurzburg90-83
08/03/25AGottingen94-90
02/03/25HBayern72-94
11/02/25HHeidelberg72-65
08/02/25HBasketball Braunschweig83-95
02/02/25ABonn84-80
24/01/25AVechta66-89
17/01/25HHamburg69-60
14/01/25HManisa84-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL68%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWWLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %68%92%46%
Points / game86.289.782.9
Allowed / game79.474.284.1
Point differential+6.8+15.4-1.2
Avg total165.5163.9167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%58%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Chemnitz
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW61%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayLWWWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %61%67%55%
Points / game79.182.475.5
Allowed / game79.882.177.3
Point differential-0.7+0.3-1.7
Avg total158.9164.5152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (2)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2418675%81.773.8+8.0
2 Ulm2517868%86.279.4+6.8
3 Chemnitz2314961%79.179.8-0.7
4 Basketball Braunschweig25151060%84.482.5+1.9
5 Heidelberg24141058%80.280.6-0.4
6 Syntainics MBC25141156%84.884.4+0.4
7 Vechta26141254%81.182.0-0.9
8 Wurzburg25131252%83.581.1+2.4
9 Rostock25131252%81.281.1+0.2
10 Hamburg25131252%81.082.0-0.9
11 Alba Berlin25121348%86.182.1+4.0
12 Ludwigsburg25121348%75.073.2+1.9
13 Bonn25121348%84.583.4+1.1
14 Oldenburg25121348%89.188.3+0.8
15 Bamberg25101540%82.684.9-2.2
16 Frankfurt2461825%76.283.8-7.6
17 Gottingen241234%80.495.6-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm34222635117
Chemnitz828242787
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