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Ulm vs Crailsheim Merlins Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 11 Apr 2020
Tip-off: 16:00
Postponed
Position#6
Record10-10
FormWLLWL
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game85.5
vs
Position#5
Record15-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game84.4
GermanyBBLRound 28
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Ulm v Crailsheim Merlins
25 Nov 2023
ULM94
CME87
10 Dec 2022
ULM91
CME80
01 May 2022
ULM100
CME90
29 Apr 2021
ULM93
CME78
10 Jun 2020
ULM92
CME80
11 Apr 2020
ULM v CME
upcoming
16 Mar 2019
ULM99
CME87
28 Mar 2016
ULM83
CME79
31 Jan 2015
ULM86
CME71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#4
W
104-91
104
91
+13
A08/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
96-80
96
80
+16
H21/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A29/12
BBL
Bonn
#15
W
85-73
85
73
+12
H05/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#12
W
103-93
103
93
+10
H17/01
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
86-65
86
65
+21
A25/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
106-112 OT
106
112
-6
H11/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#10
L
98-103
98
103
-5
H14/02
BBL
Bayreuth
#12
W
85-69
85
69
+16
A29/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
L
76-94
76
94
-18
H08/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
32-26
19-22
32-19
22-17
29-16
23-28
22-19
18-12
18-34
34-16
9-29
19-15
29-20
15-24
22-14
25-20
23-23
27-27
28-23
26-21
32-14
15-16
13-14
25-34
29-19
20-22
22-21
27-25
17-32
31-24
23-22
19-18
17-20
23-11
26-20
23-21
18-32
21-15
14-26
178.9Avg total
91.8Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)87.485.5172.9+2.050%
Season at home (10)89.584.6174.1+4.950%
Season away (10)85.386.3171.6-1.050%
Last 10 (10)91.887.1178.9+4.760%
Last 5 (5)90.288.6178.8+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.598.0178.5-17.50%
vs Similar (7)87.989.6177.4-1.771%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.679.1167.8+9.571%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#10
W
115-105 OT
115
105
+10
A27/12
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
91-79
91
79
+12
H29/12
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H04/01
BBL
Hamburg
#17
W
101-98
101
98
+3
H19/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
82-98
82
98
-16
A27/01
BBL
Bonn
#15
W
85-66
85
66
+19
H01/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#14
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
A09/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#10
W
98-81
98
81
+17
H12/02
BBL
Hamburg
#17
W
92-91 OT
92
91
+1
A29/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
W
91-82
91
82
+9
H08/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
27-22
19-16
24-28
12-18
34-18
16-34
29-9
13-16
27-17
14-18
19-18
24-20
31-23
26-29
20-26
22-22
18-30
19-23
23-23
26-15
18-17
19-21
22-13
14-19
23-24
19-22
20-11
18-18
32-25
18-13
30-25
30-21
15-27
23-19
14-15
22-21
21-26
22-20
26-15
176.1Avg total
91.1Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)90.084.4174.4+5.671%
Season at home (12)87.580.2167.7+7.375%
Season away (9)93.390.0183.3+3.367%
Last 10 (10)91.185.0176.1+6.190%
Last 5 (5)89.880.2170.0+9.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)83.891.3175.1-7.625%
vs Similar (8)89.287.1176.4+2.162%
vs Weaker (10)92.081.8173.8+10.290%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +4.4+4.4
UlmCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#4
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A08/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H21/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A29/12
BBL
Bonn
#15
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H05/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#12
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H17/01
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
58-35
58
35
+23
A25/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H11/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#10
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H14/02
BBL
Bayreuth
#12
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A29/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H08/03
BBL
91.2Avg total
46.9Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.243.088.2+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.641.086.6+4.671%-
Last 30 away (16)44.944.789.6+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)46.944.391.2+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)46.647.293.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)44.246.590.7-2.350%-
vs Similar (7)44.048.392.3-4.329%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.139.585.6+6.676%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#10
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A27/12
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H29/12
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H04/01
BBL
Hamburg
#17
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H19/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A27/01
BBL
Bonn
#15
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H01/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#14
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A09/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#10
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H12/02
BBL
Hamburg
#17
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A29/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H08/03
BBL
87.4Avg total
44.9Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.344.389.6+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.541.685.1+1.853%-
Last 30 away (13)47.747.795.4+0.038%-
Last 10 (10)44.942.587.4+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)43.842.686.4+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)43.048.291.2-5.28%-
vs Similar (8)45.641.086.6+4.688%-
vs Weaker (10)47.842.290.0+5.660%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.719.1
48.1%
54.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.17.6
36.0%
33.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws24.819.8
79.8%
73.5%19.8
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Ulm wins
2
Crailsheim Merlins wins
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/20HLudwigsburg76-94
29/02/20ABayreuth85-69
14/02/20HBasketball Braunschweig98-103
11/02/20HAlba Berlin106-112 OT
25/01/20AGottingen86-65
17/01/20HBayreuth103-93
05/01/20HBonn85-73
29/12/19ACrailsheim Merlins79-91
21/12/19HSyntainics MBC96-80
08/12/19AOldenburg104-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/20HAlba Berlin91-82
29/02/20AHamburg92-91 OT
12/02/20HBasketball Braunschweig98-81
09/02/20AFrankfurt83-81 OT
01/02/20HBonn85-66
27/01/20AAlba Berlin82-98
19/01/20HHamburg101-98
04/01/20HBamberg73-69
29/12/19HUlm91-79
27/12/19ABasketball Braunschweig115-105 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayWWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game87.489.585.3
Allowed / game85.584.686.3
Point differential+1.9+4.9-1.0
Avg total172.8174.1171.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2019-20
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game90.087.593.3
Allowed / game84.480.290.0
Point differential+5.6+7.3+3.3
Avg total174.4167.7183.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%42%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %24%8%44%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2119290%85.174.0+11.1
2 Ludwigsburg2117481%86.578.8+7.7
3 Alba Berlin1914574%93.481.6+11.7
4 Crailsheim Merlins2115671%90.084.4+5.6
5 Oldenburg2013765%84.383.2+1.2
6 Bamberg2112957%82.678.5+4.1
7 Vechta2112957%80.781.8-1.1
8 s.Oliver Wurzburg21111052%83.685.0-1.4
9 Gottingen21111052%82.285.1-2.9
10 Ulm20101050%87.485.5+1.9
11 Basketball Braunschweig2091145%89.591.5-2.0
12 Bayreuth2191243%86.286.2+0.0
13 Giessen2061430%84.789.2-4.5
14 Frankfurt2161529%75.280.6-5.4
15 Bonn2041620%84.391.2-6.8
16 Syntainics MBC2031715%89.597.5-7.9
17 Hamburg2031715%81.292.8-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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