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Ulm vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 93-78
21-17 23-26 28-21 21-14
Position#6
Record19-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game78.5
Ulm 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#5
Record21-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game82.7
GermanyBBLRound 31
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Ulm v Crailsheim Merlins
25 Nov 2023
ULM94
CME87
10 Dec 2022
ULM91
CME80
01 May 2022
ULM100
CME90
29 Apr 2021
ULM93
CME78
10 Jun 2020
ULM92
CME80
11 Apr 2020
ULM v CME
upcoming
16 Mar 2019
ULM99
CME87
28 Mar 2016
ULM83
CME79
31 Jan 2015
ULM86
CME71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#7
W
89-76
89
76
+13
90avg 82
H03/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
76-84
76
84
-8
67avg 82
H07/03
BBL
Vechta
#18
L
77-92
77
92
-15
64avg 82
A13/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
H20/03
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
74-88
74
88
-14
61avg 82
A27/03
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
88-64
88
64
+24
94avg 82
H01/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
91-57
91
57
+34
89avg 82
H05/04
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
109-79
109
79
+30
110avg 82
H10/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
W
99-93
99
93
+6
98avg 82
A13/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
93-75
93
75
+18
92avg 82
A24/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
25-20
19-16
21-22
27-18
19-20
8-28
22-18
24-22
11-19
20-29
22-22
14-15
25-18
19-21
19-29
14-14
24-22
19-24
17-28
19-19
28-13
21-18
20-14
27-18
14-14
23-15
27-10
31-18
22-26
28-14
28-21
22-29
30-27
23-15
24-22
21-26
20-15
20-20
32-14
166.4Avg total
87.3Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)87.878.5166.3+9.363%
Season at home (16)86.874.0160.8+12.869%
Season away (14)89.183.6172.7+5.457%
Last 10 (10)87.379.1166.4+8.260%
Last 5 (5)96.073.6169.6+22.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)82.984.6167.4-1.722%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)88.776.6165.2+12.176%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
L
84-94
84
94
-10
81avg 81
H03/03
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
L
78-97
78
97
-19
73avg 81
A05/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
W
68-58
68
58
+10
62avg 81
H14/03
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
74-79
74
79
-5
no box
H21/03
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
102-77
102
77
+25
96avg 81
H27/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
L
84-92
84
92
-8
73avg 81
A04/04
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
91-88
91
88
+3
84avg 81
H07/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
L
77-82
77
82
-5
70avg 81
H09/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
85-73
85
73
+12
78avg 81
A14/04
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
98-81
98
81
+17
98avg 81
H24/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
20-18
19-21
24-27
14-28
27-24
19-22
18-23
14-18
26-8
15-14
13-18
15-16
20-15
20-27
19-21
22-22
26-20
29-9
25-26
22-21
22-21
15-21
25-29
25-16
15-31
20-16
31-25
20-21
20-27
16-19
21-15
15-27
23-14
21-13
26-19
25-15
20-22
25-27
28-17
166.2Avg total
84.1Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)87.282.7169.9+4.470%
Season at home (16)85.180.1165.2+5.075%
Season away (14)89.585.7175.2+3.864%
Last 10 (10)84.182.1166.2+2.050%
Last 5 (5)87.083.2170.2+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)79.286.7165.8-7.550%
vs Similar (6)85.390.0175.3-4.750%
vs Weaker (18)90.479.0169.4+11.483%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
UlmCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#7
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H03/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H07/03
BBL
Vechta
#18
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A13/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H20/03
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A27/03
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H01/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H05/04
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H10/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A13/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A24/04
BBL
83.2Avg total
44.1Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.239.283.4+5.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.235.979.1+7.469%-
Last 30 away (14)45.243.088.2+2.250%-
Last 10 (10)44.139.183.2+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)46.841.087.8+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)42.740.783.3+2.056%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.838.683.4+6.262%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H03/03
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A05/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H14/03
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H21/03
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H27/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A04/04
BBL
Bonn
#13
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H07/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H09/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A14/04
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H24/04
BBL
82.4Avg total
41.2Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.040.082.9+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.138.480.4+3.769%-
Last 30 away (14)44.041.885.8+2.250%-
Last 10 (10)41.241.282.4+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.443.084.4-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.740.278.8-1.550%-
vs Similar (6)41.545.286.7-3.750%-
vs Weaker (18)44.938.283.1+6.767%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.2
53.5%
54.2%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.59.5
42.2%
37.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws23.319.6
84.1%
78.0%19.6
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.516.4
53.8%
54.2%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.811.8
38.3%
37.1%35.4
🏀 Free throws20.315.3
75.4%
78.0%15.3
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWWWWLLLLW
Crailsheim Merlins
WWLWLWLWLL
#6
League position
#5
+10.6
Net rating
+3.5
117.5
Offensive rating
112.2
106.9
Defensive rating
108.7
57.3%
Effective FG%
55.6%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
15.2%
Turnover %
19.5%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.33
42.2%
3-point %
38.3%
59.9%
Assist %
58.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.5 · 112.2Defence106.9 · 108.7Shooting57.3% · 55.6%3-point %42.2% · 38.3%Ball care15.2% · 19.5%Off. rebounds25.7% · 31.7%Free throws0.40 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Ulm   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Ulm wins
3
Crailsheim Merlins wins
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/21AOldenburg93-75
13/04/21ABayreuth99-93
10/04/21HGiessen109-79
05/04/21HBasketball Braunschweig91-57
01/04/21Hs.Oliver Wurzburg88-64
27/03/21ABamberg74-88
20/03/21HLudwigsburg77-83
13/03/21AVechta77-92
07/03/21HAlba Berlin76-84
03/03/21HHamburg89-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/21HVechta98-81
14/04/21AChemnitz85-73
09/04/21HSyntainics MBC77-82
07/04/21HBonn91-88
04/04/21AFrankfurt84-92
27/03/21HGiessen102-77
21/03/21HBayern74-79
14/03/21HLudwigsburg68-58
05/03/21ABayreuth78-97
03/03/21Hs.Oliver Wurzburg84-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW63%
HomeLLWWW69%
AwayWLLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %63%69%57%
Points / game87.886.889.1
Allowed / game78.574.083.6
Point differential+9.3+12.8+5.4
Avg total166.3160.8172.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)60% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW70%
HomeLWWLW75%
AwayWLLLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %70%75%64%
Points / game87.285.189.5
Allowed / game82.780.185.7
Point differential+4.4+5.0+3.8
Avg total169.9165.2175.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%44%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)60% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ludwigsburg3028293%89.276.6+12.6
2 Alba Berlin3024680%86.275.5+10.7
3 Bayern3123874%87.078.8+8.2
4 Oldenburg3022873%93.685.0+8.6
5 Crailsheim Merlins3021970%87.282.7+4.4
6 Hamburg31201165%84.879.1+5.8
7 Ulm30191163%87.878.5+9.3
8 Bamberg29151452%84.481.4+3.0
9 Basketball Braunschweig31131842%83.487.5-4.2
10 Gottingen29121741%83.389.3-6.0
11 Bayreuth31121939%83.585.6-2.1
12 Frankfurt29111838%77.083.2-6.2
13 Bonn30111937%82.784.7-2.0
14 Chemnitz30111937%79.587.5-8.0
15 s.Oliver Wurzburg3092130%78.287.1-8.9
16 Syntainics MBC3192229%83.689.9-6.3
17 Giessen3062420%84.594.5-10.0
18 Vechta3052517%79.288.5-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm2123282193
Crailsheim Merlins1726211478
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