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Ulm vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 94-87
25-29 23-18 19-21 27-19
Position#5
Record7-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game87.2
Ulm 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#17
Record1-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game97.0
GermanyBBLRound 9· Ratiopharm Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Ulm v Crailsheim Merlins
25 Nov 2023
ULM94
CME87
10 Dec 2022
ULM91
CME80
01 May 2022
ULM100
CME90
29 Apr 2021
ULM93
CME78
10 Jun 2020
ULM92
CME80
11 Apr 2020
ULM v CME
upcoming
16 Mar 2019
ULM99
CME87
28 Mar 2016
ULM83
CME79
31 Jan 2015
ULM86
CME71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#10
W
94-78
94
78
+16
94avg 82
A21/10
BBL
Turk Telekom
#15
W
91-78
91
78
+13
84avg 82
A25/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
70-99
70
99
-29
62avg 82
H28/10
BBL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
108-103 OT
108
103
+5
108avg 82
H01/11
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
W
105-87
105
87
+18
109avg 82
H05/11
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
75-86
75
86
-11
58avg 82
A08/11
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#8
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
no box
A11/11
BBL
Buducnost
#13
W
84-67
84
67
+17
86avg 82
H14/11
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#4
W
88-83
88
83
+5
80avg 82
A19/11
BBL
Aris
#11
W
99-88 OT
99
88
+11
108avg 82
A22/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-12
24-25
17-19
23-22
16-21
29-12
24-25
22-20
20-14
15-25
21-26
14-34
25-22
24-24
15-31
30-17
31-22
27-18
21-26
26-21
14-26
10-25
24-13
27-22
23-16
24-25
21-28
19-18
23-19
14-18
22-11
25-19
25-19
20-22
19-15
24-27
19-21
22-21
14-17
26-22
177.5Avg total
91.2Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)93.087.2180.2+5.888%
Season at home (4)91.289.8181.0+1.575%
Season away (4)94.884.8179.5+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)91.286.3177.5+4.980%
Last 5 (5)88.883.6172.4+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)84.684.4169.0+0.260%
vs Similar (14)88.783.0171.7+5.786%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)102.386.5188.8+15.8100%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
69-79
69
79
-10
64avg 74
A07/05
BBL
Giessen
#13
L
73-79
73
79
-6
64avg 74
A23/09
German Cup
Rostock
#15
W
85-81
85
81
+4
79avg 74
H29/09
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
75-110
75
110
-35
61avg 74
A02/10
BBL
Gottingen
#14
L
104-110 OT
104
110
-6
no box
A07/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
62-97
62
97
-35
48avg 74
H22/10
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
68-90
68
90
-22
59avg 74
A29/10
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
63-99
63
99
-36
53avg 74
H04/11
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
58-96
58
96
-38
46avg 74
A11/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
86-93
86
93
-7
80avg 74
H20/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
19-17
12-28
18-17
17-26
18-16
14-20
24-17
19-23
20-12
25-23
21-23
14-30
26-29
18-30
17-21
17-26
27-13
21-21
25-30
17-29
15-25
15-11
15-32
25-18
14-29
11-20
18-23
14-15
20-25
15-33
14-26
16-18
20-24
12-25
10-29
26-22
18-24
22-19
20-28
167.7Avg total
74.3Scored
93.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.197.0172.1-21.912%
Season at home (4)74.092.5166.5-18.525%
Season away (4)76.2101.5177.8-25.20%
Last 10 (10)74.393.4167.7-19.110%
Last 5 (5)67.495.0162.4-27.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)77.592.9170.5-15.413%
vs Similar (13)83.286.7169.8-3.531%
vs Weaker (1)78.073.0151.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -6.5-6.5Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -6.4-6.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -6.5-6.5Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -6.4-6.4
UlmCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#10
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A21/10
BBL
Turk Telekom
#15
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A25/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H28/10
BBL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H01/11
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H05/11
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
24-51
24
51
-27
A08/11
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A11/11
BBL
Buducnost
#13
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H14/11
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A19/11
BBL
Aris
#11
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A22/11
Eurocup
84.2Avg total
43.5Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.742.186.8+2.567%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.441.989.3+5.671%-
Last 30 away (16)42.242.484.6-0.162%-
Last 10 (10)43.540.784.2+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.481.2-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)43.143.486.5-0.350%-
vs Similar (14)43.140.783.8+2.464%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)51.043.394.3+7.7100%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A07/05
BBL
Giessen
#13
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A23/09
German Cup
Rostock
#15
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H29/09
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A02/10
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A07/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H22/10
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A29/10
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H04/11
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A11/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H20/11
BBL
82.0Avg total
38.2Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.443.684.0-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.541.982.4-1.540%-
Last 30 away (15)40.345.385.6-5.127%-
Last 10 (10)38.243.882.0-5.630%-
Last 5 (5)37.045.882.8-8.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.744.882.5-7.120%-
vs Similar (13)44.242.486.6+1.854%-
vs Weaker (1)36.044.080.0-8.00%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.921.4
56.5%
54.6%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.211.3
40.1%
35.4%33.9
🏀 Free throws18.613.6
73.1%
76.0%13.6
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.718.6
49.3%
54.6%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.0
34.8%
35.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws15.910.1
63.5%
76.0%10.1
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWWWLWWLWW
Crailsheim Merlins
LLLLLLLWLL
#5
League position
#17
+9.0
Net rating
-24.9
116.6
Offensive rating
95.4
107.6
Defensive rating
120.3
58.0%
Effective FG%
50.4%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
17.7%
Turnover %
23.1%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
40.1%
3-point %
34.8%
69.7%
Assist %
55.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence116.6 · 95.4Defence107.6 · 120.3Shooting58.0% · 50.4%3-point %40.1% · 34.8%Ball care17.7% · 23.1%Off. rebounds31.5% · 29.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 10%
■ Ulm   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Ulm wins
3
Crailsheim Merlins wins
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23AAris99-88 OT
19/11/23AWurzburg88-83
14/11/23HBuducnost84-67
11/11/23AOldenburg98-94 OT
08/11/23ACluj-Napoca75-86
05/11/23HBonn105-87
01/11/23HSlask Wroclaw108-103 OT
28/10/23HLudwigsburg70-99
25/10/23ATurk Telekom91-78
21/10/23AHamburg94-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/23HHeidelberg86-93
11/11/23AVechta58-96
04/11/23HOldenburg63-99
29/10/23ABonn68-90
22/10/23HBayern62-97
07/10/23AGottingen104-110 OT
02/10/23AAlba Berlin75-110
29/09/23HRostock85-81
23/09/23AGiessen73-79
07/05/23ASyntainics MBC69-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW88%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%75%100%
Points / game93.091.294.8
Allowed / game87.289.884.8
Point differential+5.8+1.5+10.0
Avg total180.2181.0179.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %12%0%25%
Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%25%0%
Points / game75.174.076.2
Allowed / game97.092.5101.5
Point differential-21.9-18.5-25.2
Avg total172.1166.5177.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz98189%87.675.1+12.4
2 Ulm87188%93.087.2+5.8
3 Vechta86275%90.978.5+12.4
4 Alba Berlin86275%95.583.2+12.2
5 Bayern85362%86.678.0+8.6
6 Bonn85362%89.083.0+6.0
7 Oldenburg85362%87.682.4+5.2
8 Ludwigsburg74357%89.181.0+8.1
9 Hamburg95456%86.689.9-3.3
10 Wurzburg73443%76.373.0+3.3
11 Syntainics MBC83538%86.287.2-1.0
12 Basketball Braunschweig83538%82.186.9-4.8
13 Rostock72529%91.096.1-5.1
14 Bamberg72529%89.196.3-7.1
15 Heidelberg82625%85.194.8-9.6
16 Tubingen82625%84.096.2-12.2
17 Gottingen61517%89.0102.7-13.7
18 Crailsheim Merlins81712%75.197.0-21.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm2523192794
Crailsheim Merlins2918211987
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