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Ulm vs Lietkabelis Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 99-74
27-17 26-25 18-18 28-14
Position#9
Record1-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game90.5
Ulm 🏆
vs
Position#17
Record1-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game75.0
EuropeEurocupRound 3· Ratiopharm Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Ulm v Lietkabelis
30 Dec 2026
ULM v LIE
upcoming
02 Jan 2026
ULM79
LIE89
17 Oct 2023
ULM99
LIE74
18 Jan 2023
ULM78
LIE69
08 Feb 2017
ULM81
LIE86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Bonn
#1
W
79-73
79
73
+6
71avg 80
A09/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
75-104
75
104
-29
69avg 80
A11/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
112-84
112
84
+28
114avg 80
H14/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
74-70
74
70
+4
68avg 80
H16/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
W
90-85
90
85
+5
84avg 80
H27/09
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
99-84
99
84
+15
98avg 80
A01/10
BBL
Trento
#16
W
80-70
80
70
+10
67avg 80
H03/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#2
W
100-88
100
88
+12
98avg 80
H07/10
BBL
Gran Canaria
#6
L
82-111
82
111
-29
78avg 80
A11/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#8
W
76-72
76
72
+4
73avg 80
A14/10
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
22-15
13-17
24-21
16-26
13-19
15-30
31-29
26-18
27-12
27-25
32-29
21-23
22-18
8-18
23-11
31-24
20-18
13-16
26-27
27-26
25-22
19-22
28-14
16-18
26-20
18-16
20-16
20-27
29-25
19-16
32-20
16-30
20-32
32-22
14-27
21-20
23-12
17-19
15-21
170.8Avg total
86.7Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.090.5171.5-9.550%
Season at home (1)80.070.0150.0+10.0100%
Season away (1)82.0111.0193.0-29.00%
Last 10 (10)86.784.1170.8+2.680%
Last 5 (5)87.485.0172.4+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)83.485.1168.5-1.750%
vs Similar (10)87.881.8169.6+6.090%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)100.989.8190.6+11.175%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Jonava
#6
L
63-82
63
82
-19
59avg 77
H05/06
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
75-55
75
55
+20
74avg 77
A07/06
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
84-72
84
72
+12
82avg 77
H09/06
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
81-91
81
91
-10
74avg 77
A16/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
95-92
95
92
+3
94avg 77
H25/09
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
100-79
100
79
+21
103avg 77
H30/09
LKL
Buducnost
#13
L
65-76
65
76
-11
60avg 77
A04/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#12
W
84-66
84
66
+18
86avg 77
H07/10
LKL
Aris
#11
W
84-74
84
74
+10
82avg 77
H10/10
Eurocup
BC Wolves
#3
W
108-105 OT
108
105
+3
no box
H14/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
13-19
8-16
18-23
23-18
20-11
16-15
16-11
17-22
29-13
16-19
22-18
14-16
24-29
26-18
17-28
24-25
25-20
20-19
26-28
28-25
23-18
30-21
19-15
17-17
21-14
12-22
15-23
25-16
20-18
15-20
24-12
23-20
20-16
18-23
23-15
14-19
30-26
20-22
20-17
163.1Avg total
83.9Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.575.0149.5-0.550%
Season at home (1)84.074.0158.0+10.0100%
Season away (1)65.076.0141.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)83.979.2163.1+4.770%
Last 5 (5)88.280.0168.2+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)74.282.1156.4-7.938%
vs Similar (14)82.781.8164.5+0.957%
vs Weaker (8)89.577.5167.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
UlmLietkabelis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#1
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A09/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A11/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H14/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H16/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H27/09
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A01/10
BBL
Trento
#16
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H03/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H07/10
BBL
Gran Canaria
#6
L
36-62
36
62
-26
A11/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#8
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A14/10
German Cup
86.6Avg total
44.1Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.842.886.6+1.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.541.888.3+4.767%-
Last 30 away (15)41.143.784.9-2.653%-
Last 10 (10)44.142.586.6+1.670%-
Last 5 (5)44.646.491.0-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.843.084.8-1.250%-
vs Similar (10)42.541.584.0+1.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)48.544.092.5+4.575%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H05/06
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A07/06
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H09/06
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A16/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H25/09
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H30/09
LKL
Buducnost
#13
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A04/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#12
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H07/10
LKL
Aris
#11
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H10/10
Eurocup
BC Wolves
#3
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H14/10
LKL
82.0Avg total
43.4Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.083.0+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.842.985.8-0.147%-
Last 30 away (13)40.838.579.3+2.246%-
Last 10 (10)43.438.682.0+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)44.237.882.0+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)36.040.876.8-4.825%-
vs Similar (14)41.841.483.1+0.450%-
vs Weaker (8)48.140.888.9+7.462%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.2
55.0%
54.0%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.7
35.5%
35.5%29.1
🏀 Free throws25.218.2
72.2%
74.5%18.2
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.2
56.1%
54.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.6
35.7%
35.5%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.815.1
72.6%
74.5%15.1
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WLWWWWWWLW
Lietkabelis
WWWLWWLWWL
#9
League position
#17
+3.3
Net rating
+7.1
110.4
Offensive rating
113.6
107.0
Defensive rating
106.4
54.3%
Effective FG%
55.1%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
18.4%
Turnover %
20.5%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
36.2%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.5%
3-point %
35.7%
75.4%
Assist %
64.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 113.6Defence107.0 · 106.4Shooting54.3% · 55.1%3-point %35.5% · 35.7%Ball care18.4% · 20.5%Off. rebounds29.4% · 36.2%Free throws0.41 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Ulm   ■ Lietkabelis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ulm wins
3
Lietkabelis wins
DateGameScore
18/01/23Ulm v Lietkabelis78-69
19/10/22Lietkabelis v Ulm80-76
08/02/17Ulm v Lietkabelis81-86
11/01/17Lietkabelis v Ulm86-84
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23AWurzburg76-72
11/10/23AGran Canaria82-111
07/10/23HAlba Berlin100-88
03/10/23HTrento80-70
01/10/23ATubingen99-84
27/09/23HChemnitz90-85
16/06/23HBonn74-70
14/06/23HBonn112-84
11/06/23ABonn75-104
09/06/23ABonn79-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23HBC Wolves108-105 OT
10/10/23HAris84-74
07/10/23HGargzdai84-66
04/10/23ABuducnost65-76
30/09/23HNevezis100-79
25/09/23HPieno Zvaigzdes95-92
16/09/23ANeptunas81-91
09/06/23HJonava84-72
07/06/23AJonava75-55
05/06/23HJonava63-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game81.080.082.0
Allowed / game90.570.0111.0
Point differential-9.5+10.0-29.0
Avg total171.5150.0193.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lietkabelis
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game74.584.065.0
Allowed / game75.074.076.0
Point differential-0.5+10.0-11.0
Avg total149.5158.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv110100%100.073.0+27.0
2 Gran Canaria220100%96.574.0+22.5
3 Paris220100%93.076.5+16.5
4 Besiktas220100%77.566.0+11.5
5 JL Bourg220100%84.573.0+11.5
6 London Lions220100%88.081.5+6.5
7 Cluj-Napoca220100%75.069.0+6.0
8 Buducnost32167%85.377.7+7.7
9 Joventut Badalona21150%75.075.0+0.0
10 Lietkabelis21150%74.575.0-0.5
11 Prometey21150%83.584.5-1.0
12 Turk Telekom21150%75.078.5-3.5
13 Ulm21150%81.090.5-9.5
14 Venezia2020%72.078.5-6.5
15 Trento2020%71.079.5-8.5
16 Slask Wroclaw3030%76.787.7-11.0
17 Aris2020%70.083.0-13.0
18 Hamburg2020%85.598.5-13.0
19 Cedevita Olimpija2020%80.094.0-14.0
20 BC Wolves1010%78.0105.0-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm2726182899
Lietkabelis1725181474
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