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Lietkabelis vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 73-81
16-19 23-29 22-16 12-17
Position#4
Record10-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Position#7
Record6-8
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game80.9
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Neptunas
21 Apr 2027
LIE v NEP
upcoming
31 Oct 2026
LIE99
NEP79
13 Jun 2026
LIE82
NEP91
08 Jun 2026
LIE80
NEP68
26 Apr 2026
LIE83
NEP80
20 Sep 2025
LIE84
NEP96
30 Apr 2025
LIE84
NEP79
02 Nov 2024
LIE81
NEP89
04 Mar 2024
LIE76
NEP78
21 Jan 2024
LIE79
NEP76
14 Jan 2023
LIE73
NEP81
26 Nov 2022
LIE80
NEP73
15 Jan 2022
LIE80
NEP80
18 Sep 2021
LIE83
NEP62
13 May 2021
LIE94
NEP93
08 Apr 2021
LIE82
NEP77
03 Oct 2020
LIE87
NEP82
02 May 2020
LIE v NEP
upcoming
11 Jan 2020
LIE102
NEP64
22 Apr 2019
LIE69
NEP73
24 Nov 2018
LIE76
NEP100
17 Jun 2018
LIE78
NEP89
12 Jun 2018
LIE69
NEP71
18 Apr 2018
LIE89
NEP94
04 Oct 2017
LIE88
NEP76
01 Apr 2017
LIE74
NEP61
05 Oct 2016
LIE93
NEP74
17 Apr 2016
LIE72
NEP80
25 Oct 2015
LIE75
NEP80
16 Apr 2015
LIE81
NEP83
09 Oct 2014
LIE65
NEP78
10 Apr 2014
LIE69
NEP83
16 Jan 2013
LIE65
NEP81
21 Jan 2012
LIE103
NEP98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
L
92-96
92
96
-4
95avg 76
H03/12
LKL
Brescia
#13
W
79-70
79
70
+9
76avg 76
H07/12
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
104-109 OT
104
109
-5
no box
A10/12
LKL
Bursaspor
#15
L
69-75
69
75
-6
63avg 76
A13/12
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
77-85
77
85
-8
no box
A18/12
LKL
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
76-90
76
90
-14
68avg 76
H21/12
Eurocup
BC Wolves
#3
W
86-80
86
80
+6
no box
A28/12
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
85-81
85
81
+4
no box
A03/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#6
W
86-84
86
84
+2
78avg 76
H07/01
LKL
Prometey
#2
L
72-80
72
80
-8
54avg 76
H11/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
26-13
20-30
27-33
26-14
17-22
14-20
22-14
23-27
21-24
29-18
17-21
22-16
13-20
11-20
23-19
12-24
25-8
14-27
26-26
21-16
18-21
19-32
18-21
15-21
26-21
19-27
26-11
15-19
25-17
21-20
24-25
18-19
19-27
23-18
26-20
24-12
10-21
17-22
21-25
167.6Avg total
82.6Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)85.681.7167.3+3.967%
Season at home (6)81.578.5160.0+3.067%
Season away (9)88.383.9172.2+4.467%
Last 10 (10)82.685.0167.6-2.440%
Last 5 (5)81.083.0164.0-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)76.983.6160.4-6.714%
vs Similar (8)81.481.2162.6+0.162%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)88.579.0167.5+9.5100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#6
W
90-84
90
84
+6
no box
A17/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#8
W
71-67
71
67
+4
65avg 70
A21/11
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
105-72
105
72
+33
no box
A24/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
73-80
73
80
-7
68avg 70
A26/11
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
99-86
99
86
+13
no box
H30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#9
L
60-61
60
61
-1
50avg 70
A06/12
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
86-79
86
79
+7
77avg 70
H12/12
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
80-75
80
75
+5
77avg 70
H21/12
LKL
Jonava
#3
L
80-85
80
85
-5
no box
H04/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
46-77
46
77
-31
33avg 70
A08/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
22-24
20-13
25-28
15-21
18-16
23-17
15-13
23-14
30-15
26-22
26-21
19-13
22-24
9-27
23-16
28-15
23-27
27-21
21-23
22-16
10-9
10-20
18-16
30-23
15-21
21-19
20-16
16-14
20-14
25-22
19-25
20-24
17-26
14-15
29-20
13-12
13-19
15-25
5-21
155.6Avg total
79.0Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.080.9158.9-2.943%
Season at home (7)85.681.0166.6+4.657%
Season away (7)70.480.7151.1-10.329%
Last 10 (10)79.076.6155.6+2.460%
Last 5 (5)70.475.4145.8-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)73.682.3155.9-8.833%
vs Similar (7)77.779.9157.6-2.143%
vs Weaker (11)92.683.6176.3+9.073%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
LietkabelisNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H03/12
LKL
Brescia
#13
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H07/12
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A10/12
LKL
Bursaspor
#15
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A13/12
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A18/12
LKL
Joventut Badalona
#4
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H21/12
Eurocup
BC Wolves
#3
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A28/12
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A03/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#6
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H07/01
LKL
Prometey
#2
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H11/01
Eurocup
77.7Avg total
39.5Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.838.978.7+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.938.077.9+1.964%-
Last 30 away (16)39.839.679.4+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)39.538.277.7+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.877.0-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.439.977.3-2.450%-
vs Similar (8)39.438.477.8+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)44.537.682.1+6.975%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A17/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#8
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A21/11
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
53-29
53
29
+24
A24/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A26/11
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#9
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A06/12
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H12/12
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H21/12
LKL
Jonava
#3
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H04/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A08/01
LKL
76.5Avg total
39.9Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.540.079.5-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.140.882.9+1.256%-
Last 30 away (14)36.539.175.6-2.643%-
Last 10 (10)39.936.676.5+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)35.235.670.8-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.639.375.9-2.833%-
vs Similar (7)37.642.780.3-5.143%-
vs Weaker (11)43.839.182.9+4.773%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.320.5
55.0%
54.9%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.7
35.7%
35.0%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.714.4
77.0%
74.2%14.4
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.017.5
50.0%
54.9%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.5
31.1%
35.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.315.3
71.8%
74.2%15.3
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
LWWWLLLLWL
Neptunas
LLWWLWLWWW
#4
League position
#7
-0.3
Net rating
-1.1
111.2
Offensive rating
102.7
111.5
Defensive rating
103.8
54.4%
Effective FG%
48.6%
58.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
19.3%
Turnover %
18.5%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.7%
3-point %
31.1%
63.4%
Assist %
60.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 102.7Defence111.5 · 103.8Shooting54.4% · 48.6%3-point %35.7% · 31.1%Ball care19.3% · 18.5%Off. rebounds31.6% · 30.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Lietkabelis wins
2
Neptunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/23HPrometey72-80
07/01/23HJonava86-84
03/01/23AJuventus85-81
28/12/22ABC Wolves86-80
21/12/22HJoventut Badalona76-90
18/12/22AZalgiris Kaunas77-85
13/12/22ABursaspor69-75
10/12/22ARytas104-109 OT
07/12/22HBrescia79-70
03/12/22HBC Wolves92-96
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/23AZalgiris Kaunas46-77
04/01/23HJonava80-85
21/12/22HPrienai80-75
12/12/22HNevezis86-79
06/12/22ASiauliai60-61
30/11/22HJuventus99-86
26/11/22ALietkabelis73-80
24/11/22APrienai105-72
21/11/22ANevezis71-67
17/11/22ABC Wolves90-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW67%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game85.681.588.3
Allowed / game81.778.583.9
Point differential+3.9+3.0+4.4
Avg total167.3160.0172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%17%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %7%0%11%
Neptunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL43%
HomeWLWWW57%
AwayWWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%57%29%
Points / game78.085.670.4
Allowed / game80.981.080.7
Point differential-2.9+4.6-10.3
Avg total158.9166.6151.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %14%14%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1514193%87.370.1+17.3
2 Juventus1511473%85.381.6+3.7
3 Rytas1410471%88.884.4+4.4
4 BC Wolves1510567%83.979.8+4.1
5 Lietkabelis1510567%85.681.7+3.9
6 Jonava148657%82.679.9+2.6
7 Siauliai158753%81.481.5-0.1
8 Neptunas146843%78.080.9-2.9
9 Nevezis156940%80.182.1-2.1
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes1431121%79.288.8-9.6
11 Gargzdai1521313%77.986.1-8.1
12 Prienai150150%76.490.1-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis1623221273
Neptunas1929161781
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