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Ulm vs Lietkabelis Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 30 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#15
Record3-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game87.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#21
Record3-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game81.7
EuropeEurocupRound 12· Ratiopharm Arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Ulm v Lietkabelis
30 Dec 2026
ULM v LIE
upcoming
02 Jan 2026
ULM79
LIE89
17 Oct 2023
ULM99
LIE74
18 Jan 2023
ULM78
LIE69
08 Feb 2017
ULM81
LIE86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Lietkabelis win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Vechta
#13
L
92-97 OT
92
97
-5
84avg 75
A10/10
BBL
KK Bosna
#23
W
102-93
102
93
+9
96avg 75
H14/10
Eurocup
PAOK
#7
L
78-87
78
87
-9
65avg 75
A21/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#8
L
82-98
82
98
-16
76avg 75
A25/10
BBL
Lietkabelis
#21
W
86-68
86
68
+18
84avg 75
A27/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#12
W
81-65
81
65
+16
77avg 75
H31/10
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
82-96
82
96
-14
no box
H03/11
Eurocup
Rostock
#6
L
87-97
87
97
-10
no box
A07/11
BBL
BC Roma
#18
L
78-83
78
83
-5
no box
A11/11
Eurocup
Jena
#18
W
97-78
97
78
+19
no box
H14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
27-13
14-26
23-25
26-26
26-23
26-16
24-28
20-19
22-27
13-13
23-28
18-23
25-22
16-23
23-30
22-25
28-17
17-9
19-17
18-20
26-12
16-20
21-13
19-19
17-35
24-14
22-28
21-29
24-29
21-15
21-24
15-11
19-24
16-27
28-21
33-11
17-28
30-16
17-23
172.7Avg total
86.5Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.687.4175.0+0.143%
Season at home (3)94.091.0185.0+3.067%
Season away (4)82.884.8167.5-2.025%
Last 10 (10)86.586.2172.7+0.340%
Last 5 (5)85.083.8168.8+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)81.694.0175.6-12.40%
vs Similar (14)82.087.5169.5-5.529%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)87.876.3164.1+11.573%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
PAOK
#7
W
95-86
95
86
+9
93avg 72
H13/10
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
73-72
73
72
+1
66avg 72
A17/10
LKL
Balkan
#32
W
64-57
64
57
+7
54avg 72
A20/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#3
L
80-83
80
83
-3
66avg 72
A24/10
LKL
Ulm
#15
L
68-86
68
86
-18
54avg 72
H27/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#5
W
99-79
99
79
+20
91avg 72
H31/10
LKL
Manresa
#8
L
66-80
66
80
-14
no box
H04/11
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
W
85-81
85
81
+4
no box
H07/11
LKL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
61-99
61
99
-38
no box
A11/11
Eurocup
Taurage
#9
W
81-73
81
73
+8
no box
A14/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
27-18
24-24
21-22
20-19
22-9
20-21
11-23
13-10
20-15
16-20
15-12
14-27
23-12
22-16
21-28
25-22
17-28
9-17
17-19
19-33
29-20
25-11
26-15
14-24
14-21
17-22
21-13
20-21
22-25
23-14
20-21
19-22
16-25
9-32
17-20
22-21
23-21
19-15
17-16
156.8Avg total
77.2Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)73.781.7155.4-8.043%
Season at home (4)76.081.0157.0-5.050%
Season away (3)70.782.7153.3-12.033%
Last 10 (10)77.279.6156.8-2.460%
Last 5 (5)78.482.4160.8-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)78.087.2165.2-9.231%
vs Similar (12)78.878.3157.1+0.442%
vs Weaker (5)74.471.8146.2+2.680%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
UlmLietkabelis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#13
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A10/10
BBL
KK Bosna
#23
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H14/10
Eurocup
PAOK
#7
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A21/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A25/10
BBL
Lietkabelis
#21
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A27/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#12
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H31/10
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H03/11
Eurocup
Rostock
#6
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A07/11
BBL
BC Roma
#18
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A11/11
Eurocup
Jena
#18
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H14/11
BBL
87.6Avg total
44.3Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.541.384.8+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.240.783.9+2.562%-
Last 30 away (17)43.841.885.5+2.059%-
Last 10 (10)44.343.387.6+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.843.685.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.851.693.4-9.820%-
vs Similar (14)41.640.481.9+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)46.837.884.6+9.091%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#7
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H13/10
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A17/10
LKL
Balkan
#32
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A20/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#3
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A24/10
LKL
Ulm
#15
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H27/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#5
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H31/10
LKL
Manresa
#8
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H04/11
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H07/11
LKL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A11/11
Eurocup
Taurage
#9
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A14/11
LKL
81.7Avg total
40.2Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.342.080.3-3.627%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.142.280.3-4.120%-
Last 30 away (15)38.641.780.3-3.133%-
Last 10 (10)40.241.581.7-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.646.686.2-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.844.283.9-4.415%-
vs Similar (12)37.043.180.1-6.117%-
vs Weaker (5)37.833.671.4+4.280%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.923.1
56.5%
54.0%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.2
34.3%
34.0%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.913.9
69.8%
75.6%13.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.3
51.6%
54.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.8
35.0%
34.0%23.4
🏀 Free throws18.814.6
77.7%
75.6%14.6
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WLLLWWLLWL
Lietkabelis
WLWLWLLWWW
#15
League position
#21
-2.8
Net rating
-2.7
93.5
Offensive rating
95.5
96.3
Defensive rating
98.3
54.6%
Effective FG%
51.9%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
58.2%
17.0%
Turnover %
15.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.3%
3-point %
35.0%
59.4%
Assist %
56.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence93.5 · 95.5Defence96.3 · 98.3Shooting54.6% · 51.9%3-point %34.3% · 35.0%Ball care17.0% · 15.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Ulm   ■ Lietkabelis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Ulm wins
5
Lietkabelis wins
DateGameScore
27/10/26Lietkabelis v Ulm68-86
02/01/26Ulm v Lietkabelis79-89
15/10/25Lietkabelis v Ulm94-98
19/12/23Lietkabelis v Ulm94-90
17/10/23Ulm v Lietkabelis99-74
18/01/23Ulm v Lietkabelis78-69
19/10/22Lietkabelis v Ulm80-76
08/02/17Ulm v Lietkabelis81-86
11/01/17Lietkabelis v Ulm86-84
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HJena97-78
11/11/26ABC Roma78-83
07/11/26ARostock87-97
03/11/26HBahcesehir Kol.82-96
31/10/26HOldenburg81-65
27/10/26ALietkabelis86-68
25/10/26AAlba Berlin82-98
21/10/26APAOK78-87
14/10/26HKK Bosna102-93
10/10/26AVechta92-97 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ATaurage81-73
11/11/26ABahcesehir Kol.61-99
07/11/26HRytas85-81
04/11/26HManresa66-80
31/10/26HNeptunas99-79
27/10/26HUlm68-86
24/10/26AGargzdai80-83
20/10/26ABalkan64-57
17/10/26ANevezis73-72
13/10/26HPAOK95-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL43%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game87.694.082.8
Allowed / game87.491.084.8
Point differential+0.1+3.0-2.0
Avg total175.0185.0167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lietkabelis
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game73.776.070.7
Allowed / game81.781.082.7
Point differential-8.0-5.0-12.0
Avg total155.4157.0153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Jerusalem770100%88.474.0+14.4
2 Basket Napoli770100%94.984.0+10.9
3 Bahcesehir Kol.76186%92.676.6+16.0
4 Aris76186%90.677.0+13.6
5 Tenerife76186%91.479.0+12.4
6 Tofas76186%91.782.9+8.9
7 PAOK75271%87.782.0+5.7
8 Manresa75271%88.183.3+4.9
9 London Lions74357%81.175.3+5.9
10 Buducnost74357%88.484.4+4.0
11 Maxima Roma74357%88.484.7+3.7
12 Le Mans74357%80.778.1+2.6
13 Chemnitz74357%87.985.4+2.4
14 Venezia73443%86.380.6+5.7
15 Ulm73443%87.687.4+0.1
16 Turk Telekom73443%80.680.9-0.3
17 Tortona73443%80.683.3-2.7
18 BC Roma73443%87.090.6-3.6
19 Siauliai73443%80.086.3-6.3
20 Rigas Zelli73443%78.685.3-6.7
21 Lietkabelis73443%73.781.7-8.0
22 Frankfurt73443%86.694.7-8.1
23 KK Bosna72529%79.981.9-2.0
24 JL Bourg72529%81.184.7-3.6
25 Cedevita Olimpija72529%74.979.0-4.1
26 Neptunas72529%84.790.3-5.6
27 Trento72529%82.189.0-6.9
28 Rostock72529%78.486.4-8.0
29 Cluj-Napoca72529%81.394.3-13.0
30 San Pablo Burgos71614%76.985.9-9.0
31 Slask Wroclaw71614%79.789.9-10.1
32 Balkan71614%67.480.6-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 32 teams: scroll the table.
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