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Ulm vs Ludwigsburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 70-99
20-14 15-25 21-26 14-34
Position#5
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game95.8
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Position#9
Record1-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game79.3
GermanyBBLRound 5· Ratiopharm Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Ulm v Ludwigsburg
20 Sep 2026
ULM86
LUD77
06 Mar 2026
ULM93
LUD76
05 Oct 2024
ULM63
LUD62
28 Oct 2023
ULM70
LUD99
25 Mar 2023
ULM93
LUD76
19 May 2022
ULM79
LUD97
02 Jan 2022
ULM78
LUD66
20 Mar 2021
ULM77
LUD83
24 Oct 2020
ULM92
LUD72
23 Jun 2020
ULM85
LUD94
08 Mar 2020
ULM76
LUD94
10 Nov 2018
ULM82
LUD91
22 Apr 2018
ULM84
LUD77
18 May 2017
ULM91
LUD81
13 May 2017
ULM87
LUD76
06 May 2017
ULM93
LUD96
22 Oct 2016
ULM97
LUD80
07 Nov 2015
ULM69
LUD71
18 Oct 2014
ULM99
LUD85
09 Nov 2013
ULM104
LUD99
06 Oct 2012
ULM84
LUD91
14 Mar 2012
ULM84
LUD80
08 Apr 2011
ULM85
LUD95
13 Mar 2010
ULM76
LUD84
17 Apr 2009
ULM103
LUD66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ludwigsburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Bonn
#1
W
74-70
74
70
+4
68avg 81
H16/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
W
90-85
90
85
+5
84avg 81
H27/09
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
99-84
99
84
+15
98avg 81
A01/10
BBL
Trento
#16
W
80-70
80
70
+10
67avg 81
H03/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#2
W
100-88
100
88
+12
98avg 81
H07/10
BBL
Gran Canaria
#6
L
82-111
82
111
-29
78avg 81
A11/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#8
W
76-72
76
72
+4
73avg 81
A14/10
German Cup
Lietkabelis
#17
W
99-74
99
74
+25
95avg 81
H17/10
Eurocup
Hamburg
#10
W
94-78
94
78
+16
94avg 81
A21/10
BBL
Turk Telekom
#15
W
91-78
91
78
+13
84avg 81
A25/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
22-18
8-18
23-11
31-24
20-18
13-16
26-27
27-26
25-22
19-22
28-14
16-18
26-20
18-16
20-16
20-27
29-25
19-16
32-20
16-30
20-32
32-22
14-27
21-20
23-12
17-19
15-21
27-17
26-25
18-18
28-14
30-12
24-25
17-19
23-22
16-21
29-12
24-25
22-20
169.5Avg total
88.5Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)95.883.8179.5+12.0100%
Season at home (2)95.086.5181.5+8.5100%
Season away (2)96.581.0177.5+15.5100%
Last 10 (10)88.581.0169.5+7.590%
Last 5 (5)88.482.6171.0+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)83.485.1168.5-1.750%
vs Similar ◀ (10)91.081.9172.9+9.1100%
vs Weaker (8)100.187.2187.4+12.975%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#5
W
86-72
86
72
+14
no box
H21/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
71-80
71
80
-9
62avg 73
A29/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
65-94
65
94
-29
no box
A31/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
73-82
73
82
-9
52avg 73
H03/06
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
79-87
79
87
-8
64avg 73
H29/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
78-60
78
60
+18
77avg 73
A06/10
BBL
Bonn
#10
L
79-80
79
80
-1
70avg 73
H14/10
German Cup
AEK Athens
#33
L
79-84
79
84
-5
63avg 73
A17/10
Champions League
Bonn
#7
L
86-91
86
91
-5
78avg 73
H21/10
BBL
Szczecin
#38
W
82-78
82
78
+4
67avg 73
H24/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
15-14
26-18
20-17
23-16
8-26
22-14
18-24
21-27
15-17
13-24
16-26
17-18
18-18
16-21
22-25
22-19
16-19
22-25
19-24
17-10
19-24
22-15
20-11
22-13
24-21
16-21
17-25
25-24
18-20
18-17
18-23
11-22
26-23
26-30
23-16
23-27
22-20
14-20
23-11
158.6Avg total
77.8Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.079.3160.3+1.733%
Season at home (2)82.589.0171.5-6.50%
Season away (1)78.060.0138.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.880.8158.6-3.030%
Last 5 (5)80.878.6159.4+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.286.5158.7-14.30%
vs Similar ◀ (15)83.482.4165.8+1.053%
vs Weaker (8)91.887.9179.6+3.975%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -0.6-0.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -0.6-0.6
UlmLudwigsburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H16/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H27/09
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A01/10
BBL
Trento
#16
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H03/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H07/10
BBL
Gran Canaria
#6
L
36-62
36
62
-26
A11/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#8
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A14/10
German Cup
Lietkabelis
#17
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H17/10
Eurocup
Hamburg
#10
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A21/10
BBL
Turk Telekom
#15
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A25/10
Eurocup
89.6Avg total
46.9Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.742.987.6+1.863%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.342.991.1+5.471%-
Last 30 away (16)41.642.984.4-1.356%-
Last 10 (10)46.942.789.6+4.280%-
Last 5 (5)46.441.287.6+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.843.084.8-1.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)44.141.185.2+3.070%-
vs Weaker (8)49.944.994.8+5.075%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H21/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A29/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A31/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H03/06
BBL
Hamburg
#10
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H29/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A06/10
BBL
Bonn
#10
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H14/10
German Cup
AEK Athens
#33
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A17/10
Champions League
Bonn
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H21/10
BBL
Szczecin
#38
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H24/10
Champions League
78.8Avg total
38.7Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.141.384.4+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.041.686.6+3.457%-
Last 30 away (16)41.440.982.4+0.544%-
Last 10 (10)38.740.178.8-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.882.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.840.776.5-4.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.941.484.3+1.553%-
vs Weaker (8)48.542.490.9+6.175%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.721.8
57.8%
54.6%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.6
37.2%
35.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.915.1
72.2%
76.0%15.1
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.5
50.1%
54.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.68.7
29.4%
35.4%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.211.9
69.2%
76.0%11.9
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWWWLWWWWW
Ludwigsburg
WLLLWLLLLW
#5
League position
#9
+9.6
Net rating
-3.5
112.5
Offensive rating
102.3
102.9
Defensive rating
105.7
57.0%
Effective FG%
47.5%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
18.7%
Turnover %
17.3%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.2%
3-point %
29.4%
67.8%
Assist %
52.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 102.3Defence102.9 · 105.7Shooting57.0% · 47.5%3-point %37.2% · 29.4%Ball care18.7% · 17.3%Off. rebounds28.8% · 33.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Ulm   ■ Ludwigsburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ulm wins
7
Ludwigsburg wins
DateGameScore
25/03/23Ulm v Ludwigsburg93-76
27/12/22Ludwigsburg v Ulm87-84
19/05/22Ulm v Ludwigsburg79-97
17/05/22Ludwigsburg v Ulm81-77 OT
14/05/22Ludwigsburg v Ulm104-99 OT
09/04/22Ludwigsburg v Ulm74-61
02/01/22Ulm v Ludwigsburg78-66
20/03/21Ulm v Ludwigsburg77-83
09/01/21Ludwigsburg v Ulm89-87
24/10/20Ulm v Ludwigsburg92-72
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/23ATurk Telekom91-78
21/10/23AHamburg94-78
17/10/23HLietkabelis99-74
14/10/23AWurzburg76-72
11/10/23AGran Canaria82-111
07/10/23HAlba Berlin100-88
03/10/23HTrento80-70
01/10/23ATubingen99-84
27/09/23HChemnitz90-85
16/06/23HBonn74-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/23HSzczecin82-78
21/10/23HBonn86-91
17/10/23AAEK Athens79-84
14/10/23HBonn79-80
06/10/23AWurzburg78-60
29/09/23HHamburg79-87
03/06/23HBonn73-82
31/05/23ABonn65-94
29/05/23ABonn71-80
21/05/23HOldenburg86-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game95.895.096.5
Allowed / game83.886.581.0
Point differential+12.0+8.5+15.5
Avg total179.5181.5177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ludwigsburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%0%100%
Points / game81.082.578.0
Allowed / game79.389.060.0
Point differential+1.7-6.5+18.0
Avg total160.3171.5138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ulm440100%95.883.8+12.0
2 Chemnitz54180%86.275.6+10.6
3 Oldenburg54180%88.282.6+5.6
4 Alba Berlin43175%96.584.0+12.5
5 Bayern43175%87.576.2+11.2
6 Vechta43175%92.082.0+10.0
7 Wurzburg32167%77.370.7+6.7
8 Bonn42250%86.582.8+3.8
9 Basketball Braunschweig42250%83.283.2+0.0
10 Gottingen21150%86.590.5-4.0
11 Ludwigsburg31233%81.079.3+1.7
12 Rostock31233%97.397.3+0.0
13 Heidelberg41325%92.897.0-4.2
14 Tubingen41325%82.093.0-11.0
15 Hamburg41325%75.587.8-12.2
16 Bamberg41325%83.897.0-13.2
17 Crailsheim Merlins41325%81.599.5-18.0
18 Syntainics MBC5050%77.689.8-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm2015211470
Ludwigsburg1425263499
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