Ulm vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Dec 2017

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 84-94

33-20 13-26 16-24 22-24

Position#22

Record2-7

FormWLWLW

Points / game82.9

Allowed / game91.2

Ulm

Trento 🏆

Position#11

Record5-4

FormWWWWW

Points / game81.8

Allowed / game79.2

EurocupRound 10

European cup2017

Meetings · Ulm v Trento

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Trento winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Basketball Braunschweig

#13

88-77

+11

H11/11

BBL

Tofas

#14

84-100

100

-16

A15/11

Eurocup

Frankfurt

89-75

+14

A18/11

BBL

Mitteldeutscher

#14

93-76

+17

H03/12

BBL

Lyon-Villeurbanne

84-94

-10

H06/12

Eurocup

Giessen

#11

84-70

+14

A10/12

BBL

Gran Canaria

84-97

-13

A13/12

Eurocup

s.Oliver Wurzburg

72-69

H16/12

BBL

Zenit Petersburg

78-90

-12

A19/12

Eurocup

Gotha

#17

78-62

+16

H22/12

BBL

24-22

15-18

25-24

24-13

22-26

25-23

20-25

17-26

22-18

21-22

15-19

31-16

26-12

21-20

26-22

20-22

17-21

24-22

25-21

18-30

14-23

23-18

28-13

19-16

19-22

19-19

28-23

18-33

19-12

15-16

23-24

15-17

14-18

22-20

20-22

22-30

24-18

22-18

13-5

19-21

164.4Avg total

83.4Scored

81.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	82.9	91.2	174.1	-8.3	22%
Season at home (4)	89.2	87.2	176.5	+2.0	50%
Season away (5)	77.8	94.4	172.2	-16.6	0%
Last 10 (10)	83.4	81.0	164.4	+2.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.2	77.6	156.8	+1.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	80.0	87.3	167.3	-7.3	25%
vs Similar (5)	83.4	83.0	166.4	+0.4	40%
vs Weaker (13)	83.1	76.1	159.2	+7.0	69%

This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

TrentoLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpia Milano

55-74

-19

H11/11

Lega A

Lyon-Villeurbanne

67-79

-12

A14/11

Eurocup

Pesaro

#15

91-74

+17

H19/11

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#16

80-82

-2

A02/12

Lega A

Zenit Petersburg

103-81

103

+22

H05/12

Eurocup

Brindisi

#14

77-72

A10/12

Lega A

Tofas

#14

91-79

+12

A13/12

Eurocup

Cremona

#10

90-79

+11

H17/12

Lega A

Gran Canaria

79-76

H20/12

Eurocup

Pistoia

#13

86-79

A23/12

Lega A

24-21

10-15

10-20

11-18

17-18

19-21

18-17

13-23

26-17

21-19

23-25

21-13

18-21

22-13

15-26

25-22

28-9

26-19

20-16

29-37

25-20

24-21

11-20

17-11

21-16

25-26

21-17

24-20

21-20

24-17

12-17

33-25

18-11

25-25

14-12

22-28

26-18

17-23

24-15

19-23

159.4Avg total

81.9Scored

77.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	81.8	79.2	161.0	+2.6	56%
Season at home (5)	86.4	77.8	164.2	+8.6	80%
Season away (4)	76.0	81.0	157.0	-5.0	25%
Last 10 (10)	81.9	77.5	159.4	+4.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	84.6	77.0	161.6	+7.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	69.0	76.0	145.0	-7.0	33%
vs Similar (21)	79.5	76.9	156.4	+2.6	48%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	82.2	74.6	156.8	+7.6	80%

This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

UlmTrento

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.8	40.9	-0.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	20.5	41.8	+0.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.8	21.1	39.9	-2.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.2	39.3	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.6	36.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.6	22.5	41.1	-3.9	8%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.6	21.8	42.4	-1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (13)	21.3	18.8	40.1	+2.5	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	17.5	37.8	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	15.8	36.0	+4.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	19.3	39.5	+1.0	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	17.1	39.5	+5.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	17.0	39.2	+5.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.0	19.0	41.0	+3.0	67%	-
vs Similar (21)	19.4	17.3	36.7	+2.1	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	24.0	17.2	41.2	+6.8	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.0	39.3	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.0	18.1	38.1	+1.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	19.9	40.6	+0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.6	40.3	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.2	38.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.8	20.0	39.8	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.6	19.6	39.2	+0.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (13)	21.0	17.8	38.8	+3.2	69%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.5	40.7	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	18.7	40.5	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	20.3	40.9	+0.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	19.9	41.2	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	22.4	45.4	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.7	19.7	36.3	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (21)	22.1	19.8	41.9	+2.3	52%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	21.6	18.2	39.8	+3.4	80%	-

UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Basketball Braunschweig

#13

39-40

-1

H11/11

BBL

Tofas

#14

47-49

-2

A15/11

Eurocup

Frankfurt

43-40

A18/11

BBL

Mitteldeutscher

#14

47-32

+15

H03/12

BBL

Lyon-Villeurbanne

41-43

-2

H06/12

Eurocup

Giessen

#11

37-41

-4

A10/12

BBL

Gran Canaria

38-41

-3

A13/12

Eurocup

s.Oliver Wurzburg

34-28

H16/12

BBL

Zenit Petersburg

36-38

-2

A19/12

Eurocup

Gotha

#17

46-36

+10

H22/12

BBL

79.6Avg total

40.8Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	39.7	80.1	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.2	38.6	79.9	+2.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.4	41.0	80.4	-1.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	38.8	79.6	+2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	36.8	75.0	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	38.4	42.5	80.9	-4.1	25%	-
vs Similar (5)	40.2	41.4	81.6	-1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (13)	42.3	36.5	78.8	+5.8	69%	-

This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpia Milano

34-36

-2

H11/11

Lega A

Lyon-Villeurbanne

36-39

-3

A14/11

Eurocup

Pesaro

#15

47-36

+11

H19/11

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#16

40-34

A02/12

Lega A

Zenit Petersburg

54-28

+26

H05/12

Eurocup

Brindisi

#14

49-41

A10/12

Lega A

Tofas

#14

46-42

A13/12

Eurocup

Cremona

#10

45-37

H17/12

Lega A

Gran Canaria

43-36

H20/12

Eurocup

Pistoia

#13

43-41

A23/12

Lega A

80.7Avg total

43.7Scored

37.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	37.0	78.5	+4.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.1	34.5	76.5	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.8	39.6	80.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.7	37.0	80.7	+6.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	39.4	84.6	+5.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	38.7	38.7	77.3	+0.0	33%	-
vs Similar (21)	41.5	37.1	78.6	+4.4	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	45.6	35.4	81.0	+10.2	100%	-

This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.8	41.2	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	20.1	41.0	+0.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	21.6	41.5	-1.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	19.8	42.1	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	17.4	39.8	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	20.1	22.8	42.8	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.0	19.4	40.4	+1.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (13)	20.5	19.5	40.1	+1.0	69%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	19.8	37.4	-2.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.9	18.9	35.7	-2.0	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	20.8	39.1	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	18.5	35.3	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	16.2	32.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.3	16.7	32.0	-1.3	67%	-
vs Similar (21)	18.0	19.9	37.8	-1.9	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	17.6	21.6	39.2	-4.0	20%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.7	41.5	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	18.6	38.8	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	23.2	44.6	-1.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	22.4	42.7	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	23.4	42.0	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	21.5	22.1	43.6	-0.6	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.2	22.2	44.4	+0.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (13)	19.5	18.9	38.4	+0.5	46%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.5	38.8	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	19.9	41.3	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	19.0	36.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	22.0	43.4	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	21.4	44.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.0	20.7	35.7	-5.7	0%	-
vs Similar (21)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	19.0	17.6	36.6	+1.4	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	41.5	82.7	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.1	38.7	79.8	+2.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.3	44.8	86.1	-3.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	42.2	84.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	40.8	81.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	41.6	44.8	86.4	-3.2	25%	-
vs Similar (5)	43.2	41.6	84.8	+1.6	60%	-
vs Weaker (13)	40.0	38.5	78.5	+1.5	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	39.3	76.3	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.2	38.8	77.0	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.7	39.8	75.5	-4.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	40.5	78.7	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	37.6	77.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	30.3	37.3	67.7	-7.0	33%	-
vs Similar (21)	38.0	39.8	77.8	-1.9	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	36.6	39.2	75.8	-2.6	40%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 76.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.3	19.6	49.9%	55.2%	39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.2	8.5	33.7%	34.8%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	16.0	11.6	72.5%	77.0%	11.6

They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	23.1	59.2%	55.2%	46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.5	6.6	29.3%	34.8%	19.8
🏀 Free throws	15.4	10.8	70.1%	77.0%	10.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.6	20.5	49.4%	55.2%	41.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.3	7.2	33.7%	34.8%	21.5
🏀 Free throws	20.9	14.4	68.9%	77.0%	14.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.8	19.0	54.7%	55.2%	38.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.3	8.0	30.3%	34.8%	23.9
🏀 Free throws	15.7	11.1	71.1%	77.0%	11.1

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ulm wins

Trento wins

Date	Game	Score
08/11/17	Trento v Ulm	77-66

Ulmlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/12/17	H	Gotha	78-62
19/12/17	A	Zenit Petersburg	78-90
16/12/17	H	s.Oliver Wurzburg	72-69
13/12/17	A	Gran Canaria	84-97
10/12/17	A	Giessen	84-70
06/12/17	H	Lyon-Villeurbanne	84-94
03/12/17	H	Mitteldeutscher	93-76
18/11/17	A	Frankfurt	89-75
15/11/17	A	Tofas	84-100
11/11/17	H	Basketball Braunschweig	88-77

Trentolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/12/17	A	Pistoia	86-79
20/12/17	H	Gran Canaria	79-76
17/12/17	H	Cremona	90-79
13/12/17	A	Tofas	91-79
10/12/17	A	Brindisi	77-72
05/12/17	H	Zenit Petersburg	103-81
02/12/17	A	Capo d'Orlando	80-82
19/11/17	H	Pesaro	91-74
14/11/17	A	Lyon-Villeurbanne	67-79
11/11/17	H	Olimpia Milano	55-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm

Eurocup 2017

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	22%
Home	WWLL	50%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	22%	50%	0%
Points / game	82.9	89.2	77.8
Allowed / game	91.2	87.2	94.4
Point differential	-8.3	+2.0	-16.6
Avg total	174.1	176.5	172.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Trento

Eurocup 2017

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	56%
Home	WLWWW	80%
Away	LLLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	56%	80%	25%
Points / game	81.8	86.4	76.0
Allowed / game	79.2	77.8	81.0
Point differential	+2.6	+8.6	-5.0
Avg total	161.0	164.2	157.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	60%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bayern	9	9	0	100%	88.8	73.2	+15.6
2	Lokomotiv Kuban	10	10	0	100%	86.3	71.4	+14.9
3	Darussafaka	9	7	2	78%	82.6	73.4	+9.1
4	Unics Kazan	10	7	3	70%	79.4	76.0	+3.4
5	Lyon-Villeurbanne	9	6	3	67%	85.4	80.8	+4.7
6	Rytas	10	6	4	60%	85.9	80.8	+5.1
7	Zenit Petersburg	10	6	4	60%	86.2	86.4	-0.2
8	Gran Canaria	9	5	4	56%	88.6	83.3	+5.2
9	Trento	9	5	4	56%	81.8	79.2	+2.6
10	Alba Berlin	9	5	4	56%	84.6	82.7	+1.9
11	Galatasaray	10	5	5	50%	79.5	77.0	+2.5
12	Buducnost	10	5	5	50%	77.6	77.6	+0.0
13	Limoges	10	5	5	50%	78.7	80.4	-1.7
14	Torino	10	5	5	50%	79.3	84.2	-4.9
15	Cedevita	9	4	5	44%	82.2	79.2	+3.0
16	Reggiana	9	4	5	44%	73.2	75.3	-2.1
17	Tofas	10	4	6	40%	82.6	86.1	-3.5
18	Lietkabelis	10	4	6	40%	77.4	82.2	-4.8
19	MoraBanc Andorra	9	3	6	33%	79.6	82.3	-2.8
20	Bilbao	9	2	7	22%	83.7	90.3	-6.7
21	Levallois	9	2	7	22%	75.1	82.8	-7.7
22	Ulm	9	2	7	22%	82.9	91.2	-8.3
23	Hapoel M. Jerusalem	10	2	8	20%	76.7	86.5	-9.8
24	Partizan	10	1	9	10%	81.1	95.1	-14.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ulm	33	13	16	22	84
Trento	20	26	24	24	94

← all games of the day

Ulm vs Trento Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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