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Pistoia vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 79-86
18-26 23-17 15-24 23-19
Position#13
Record4-7
FormLLWWL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game81.5
Pistoia
Italy
vs
Trento 🏆
Italy
Position#5
Record5-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game77.3
ItalyLega ARound 12
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Pistoia v Trento
17 Nov 2024
PIS88
TRE92
08 Oct 2023
PIS73
TRE78
12 Jan 2020
PIS71
TRE74
26 Dec 2018
PIS70
TRE78
23 Dec 2017
PIS79
TRE86
20 Nov 2016
PIS84
TRE78
19 Feb 2016
PIS74
TRE81
31 Jan 2016
PIS64
TRE69
18 Mar 2015
PIS86
TRE69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#14
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H09/10
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
77-92
77
92
-15
A15/10
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
71-86
71
86
-15
H22/10
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A29/10
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
82-93
82
93
-11
H04/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
42-90
42
90
-48
A11/11
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
80-84
80
84
-4
A18/11
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H03/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H09/12
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
81-88
81
88
-7
A16/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
20-18
21-15
16-28
18-31
22-16
20-25
17-20
19-14
10-26
20-26
22-20
16-18
23-26
20-9
14-28
17-24
17-26
29-20
19-23
16-23
6-18
13-20
7-29
17-27
24-18
15-23
24-16
16-18
20-16
26-15
18-16
22-25
23-26
18-21
23-11
23-26
18-17
20-22
20-23
159.4Avg total
75.5Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.381.5156.7-6.236%
Season at home (5)80.480.8161.2-0.460%
Season away (6)71.082.0153.0-11.017%
Last 10 (10)75.583.9159.4-8.430%
Last 5 (5)73.882.0155.8-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)75.887.4163.2-11.711%
vs Similar (18)77.274.4151.6+2.856%
vs Weaker (3)77.071.0148.0+6.067%
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#22
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H08/11
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
55-74
55
74
-19
H11/11
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A14/11
Eurocup
Pesaro
#15
W
91-74
91
74
+17
H19/11
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A02/12
Lega A
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
103-81
103
81
+22
H05/12
Eurocup
Brindisi
#14
W
77-72
77
72
+5
A10/12
Lega A
Tofas
#14
W
91-79
91
79
+12
A13/12
Eurocup
Cremona
#10
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H17/12
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#8
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H20/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-10
24-15
15-22
13-19
24-21
10-15
10-20
11-18
17-18
19-21
18-17
13-23
26-17
21-19
23-25
21-13
18-21
22-13
15-26
25-22
28-9
26-19
20-16
29-37
25-20
24-21
11-20
17-11
21-16
25-26
21-17
24-20
21-20
24-17
12-17
33-25
18-11
25-25
14-12
22-28
157.2Avg total
81.0Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.577.3153.8-0.745%
Season at home (6)76.872.7149.5+4.267%
Season away (5)76.282.8159.0-6.620%
Last 10 (10)81.076.2157.2+4.870%
Last 5 (5)88.077.4165.4+10.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.076.0145.0-7.033%
vs Similar (22)78.977.4156.2+1.545%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)81.273.5154.8+7.875%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -0.8-0.8
PistoiaTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#14
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H09/10
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A15/10
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H22/10
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A29/10
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H04/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
22-41
22
41
-19
A11/11
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A18/11
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H03/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H09/12
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A16/12
Lega A
80.2Avg total
37.3Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.340.177.4-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.538.977.4-0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)36.141.477.5-5.327%-
Last 10 (10)37.342.980.2-5.620%-
Last 5 (5)37.042.879.8-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.845.782.4-8.911%-
vs Similar (18)37.438.375.8-0.944%-
vs Weaker (3)38.034.372.3+3.7100%-
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#22
W
49-25
49
25
+24
H08/11
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H11/11
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A14/11
Eurocup
Pesaro
#15
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H19/11
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A02/12
Lega A
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H05/12
Eurocup
Brindisi
#14
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A10/12
Lega A
Tofas
#14
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A13/12
Eurocup
Cremona
#10
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H17/12
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#8
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H20/12
Eurocup
79.7Avg total
44.3Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.137.178.1+4.067%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.434.976.4+6.575%-
Last 30 away (14)40.639.580.1+1.157%-
Last 10 (10)44.335.479.7+8.980%-
Last 5 (5)47.436.884.2+10.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.738.777.3+0.033%-
vs Similar (22)41.137.378.4+3.868%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)46.234.080.2+12.2100%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.219.5
46.2%
51.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.6
36.2%
34.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.713.1
70.1%
73.0%13.1
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.818.8
48.5%
51.6%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.2
33.7%
34.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.513.3
71.9%
73.0%13.3
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LWWLLLLLLW
Trento
WWWWWLWLLW
#13
League position
#5
-11.0
Net rating
-1.8
100.7
Offensive rating
102.7
111.7
Defensive rating
104.5
48.9%
Effective FG%
49.3%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
19.5%
Turnover %
17.2%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.2%
3-point %
33.7%
50.2%
Assist %
47.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.7 · 102.7Defence111.7 · 104.5Shooting48.9% · 49.3%3-point %36.2% · 33.7%Ball care19.5% · 17.2%Off. rebounds31.6% · 27.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Pistoia   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pistoia wins
4
Trento wins
DateGameScore
18/03/17Trento v Pistoia99-91
20/11/16Pistoia v Trento84-78 OT
19/02/16Pistoia v Trento74-81
31/01/16Pistoia v Trento64-69
18/10/15Trento v Pistoia54-74
18/03/15Pistoia v Trento86-69
15/11/14Trento v Pistoia86-72
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/17ASassari81-88
09/12/17HPesaro86-83
03/12/17HTorino80-65
18/11/17AVenezia80-84
11/11/17AReggiana42-90
04/11/17HCantu82-93
29/10/17AVarese73-81
22/10/17HAvellino71-86
15/10/17ACremona77-92
09/10/17HBrindisi83-77
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/17HGran Canaria79-76
17/12/17HCremona90-79
13/12/17ATofas91-79
10/12/17ABrindisi77-72
05/12/17HZenit Petersburg103-81
02/12/17ACapo d'Orlando80-82
19/11/17HPesaro91-74
14/11/17ALyon-Villeurbanne67-79
11/11/17HOlimpia Milano55-74
08/11/17HUlm77-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL36%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%60%17%
Points / game75.380.471.0
Allowed / game81.580.882.0
Point differential-6.2-0.4-11.0
Avg total156.7161.2153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trento
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW45%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%67%20%
Points / game76.576.876.2
Allowed / game77.372.782.8
Point differential-0.7+4.2-6.6
Avg total153.8149.5159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1110191%80.469.6+10.7
2 Olimpia Milano118373%76.571.8+4.7
3 Avellino118373%79.577.2+2.4
4 Sassari117464%84.279.3+4.9
5 Torino117464%79.878.9+0.9
6 Venezia117464%81.681.4+0.3
7 Virtus Bologna115645%80.276.4+3.8
8 Trento115645%76.577.3-0.7
9 Cantu115645%84.987.9-3.0
10 Capo d'Orlando115645%67.074.8-7.8
11 Varese114736%73.871.4+2.5
12 Reggiana114736%73.373.1+0.2
13 Cremona114736%79.981.1-1.2
14 Pistoia114736%75.381.5-6.2
15 Pesaro113827%76.381.4-5.1
16 Brindisi112918%73.680.0-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia1823152379
Trento2617241986
← all games of the day
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