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Ulm vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 80-70
16-18 26-20 18-16 20-16
Position#9
Record-
FormLWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Ulm 🏆
vs
Position#16
Record-
FormLLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeEurocupRound 1· Ratiopharm Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Ulm v Trento
04 Dec 2025
ULM87
TRE100
30 Oct 2024
ULM84
TRE82
03 Oct 2023
ULM80
TRE70
27 Dec 2017
ULM84
TRE94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
W
83-81
83
81
+2
73avg 80
H24/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
87-69
87
69
+18
81avg 80
A28/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
93-88
93
88
+5
83avg 80
A30/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
104-102 OT
104
102
+2
no box
H02/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
79-73
79
73
+6
71avg 80
A09/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
75-104
75
104
-29
69avg 80
A11/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
112-84
112
84
+28
114avg 80
H14/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
74-70
74
70
+4
68avg 80
H16/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
W
90-85
90
85
+5
84avg 80
H27/09
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
99-84
99
84
+15
98avg 80
A01/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
24-29
18-16
15-14
18-20
24-21
23-17
22-11
27-20
17-19
27-17
22-32
29-22
17-21
28-19
18-30
20-20
22-15
13-17
24-21
16-26
13-19
15-30
31-29
26-18
27-12
27-25
32-29
21-23
22-18
8-18
23-11
31-24
20-18
13-16
26-27
27-26
25-22
19-22
28-14
173.6Avg total
89.6Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)89.684.0173.6+5.690%
Last 5 (5)90.085.4175.4+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)83.582.7166.3+0.855%
vs Similar ◀ (9)88.982.4171.3+6.489%
vs Weaker (10)97.287.9185.1+9.370%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
80-96
80
96
-16
74avg 67
A16/04
Lega A
Verona
#16
L
69-70
69
70
-1
65avg 67
H18/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
86-73
86
73
+13
79avg 67
A23/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
86-84
86
84
+2
82avg 67
H30/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
70-94
70
94
-24
54avg 67
A07/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
78-79
78
79
-1
74avg 67
A14/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
81-84
81
84
-3
71avg 67
A16/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
79-76
79
76
+3
74avg 67
H19/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
81-82
81
82
-1
72avg 67
H21/05
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
91-84
91
84
+7
88avg 67
H30/09
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-23
20-26
25-28
24-19
24-23
21-12
8-21
16-14
17-18
22-14
17-18
30-23
12-22
29-18
20-22
25-22
19-29
14-22
16-30
21-13
18-19
27-24
12-19
21-17
17-18
17-23
24-25
23-18
10-12
18-27
22-14
29-23
27-19
12-25
20-26
22-12
33-20
19-22
20-24
19-18
162.3Avg total
80.1Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.182.2162.3-2.140%
Last 5 (5)82.081.0163.0+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.385.6160.9-10.310%
vs Similar ◀ (16)80.078.9158.9+1.156%
vs Weaker (3)76.774.3151.0+2.333%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +5.1+5.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +5.1+5.1
UlmTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H24/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A28/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A30/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H02/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A09/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A11/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H14/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H16/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H27/09
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A01/10
BBL
86.7Avg total
45.2Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.641.586.2+3.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.441.188.5+6.373%-
Last 30 away (15)41.941.983.8-0.160%-
Last 10 (10)45.241.586.7+3.780%-
Last 5 (5)45.641.286.8+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)42.341.383.5+1.055%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)44.040.884.8+3.267%-
vs Weaker (10)47.842.590.3+5.380%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A16/04
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H18/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A23/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H30/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A07/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A14/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A16/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H19/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H21/05
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H30/09
Lega A
80.3Avg total
38.7Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.840.479.2-1.647%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.039.779.7+0.359%-
Last 30 away (13)37.341.378.6-4.031%-
Last 10 (10)38.741.680.3-2.950%-
Last 5 (5)39.641.881.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.843.583.3-3.740%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.439.678.0-1.150%-
vs Weaker (3)38.735.374.0+3.367%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.217.3
55.4%
54.0%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.111.3
35.2%
35.5%33.9
🏀 Free throws25.719.0
73.9%
74.5%19.0
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.7
52.7%
54.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.28.5
40.1%
35.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.813.8
77.5%
74.5%13.8
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWWWLWWWWW
Trento
WLWLLLWWLL
#9
League position
#16
+8.5
Net rating
-2.6
115.7
Offensive rating
112.7
107.2
Defensive rating
115.3
54.1%
Effective FG%
55.4%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.3%
16.4%
Turnover %
17.7%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.2%
3-point %
40.1%
75.9%
Assist %
57.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.7 · 112.7Defence107.2 · 115.3Shooting54.1% · 55.4%3-point %35.2% · 40.1%Ball care16.4% · 17.7%Off. rebounds30.9% · 25.3%Free throws0.41 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Ulm   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ulm wins
2
Trento wins
DateGameScore
27/12/17Ulm v Trento84-94
08/11/17Trento v Ulm77-66
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/23ATubingen99-84
27/09/23HChemnitz90-85
16/06/23HBonn74-70
14/06/23HBonn112-84
11/06/23ABonn75-104
09/06/23ABonn79-73
02/06/23HBayern104-102 OT
30/05/23ABayern93-88
28/05/23ABayern87-69
24/05/23HAlba Berlin83-81
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/23HCremona91-84
21/05/23HTortona81-82
19/05/23HTortona79-76
16/05/23ATortona81-84
14/05/23ATortona78-79
07/05/23AReggiana70-94
30/04/23HVenezia86-84
23/04/23ABrindisi86-73
18/04/23HVerona69-70
16/04/23AVirtus Bologna80-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Trento
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv110100%100.073.0+27.0
2 Cedevita Olimpija1010%73.0100.0-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm1626182080
Trento1820161670
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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