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Varese vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 74-85
22-17 18-24 18-21 16-23
Position#8
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game99.7
vs
Trento 🏆
Italy
Position#9
Record2-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game72.0
ItalyLega ARound 4· Palasport Lino Oldrini
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Varese v Trento
21 Mar 2027
VAR v TRE
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
VAR74
TRE85
09 Feb 2025
VAR79
TRE92
22 Oct 2023
VAR84
TRE85
16 Oct 2022
VAR91
TRE94
30 Jan 2022
VAR90
TRE89
28 Mar 2021
VAR88
TRE70
29 Dec 2019
VAR81
TRE86
21 Oct 2018
VAR93
TRE85
04 Nov 2017
VAR93
TRE66
15 Apr 2017
VAR83
TRE80
06 Mar 2016
VAR96
TRE82
09 Nov 2014
VAR70
TRE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Scafati
#15
W
95-82
95
82
+13
84avg 75
H30/03
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
85-87 OT
85
87
-2
78avg 75
H06/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
97-87
97
87
+10
87avg 75
A12/04
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
89-84
89
84
+5
92avg 75
H19/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
67-104
67
104
-37
58avg 75
A27/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
85-80
85
80
+5
73avg 75
H04/05
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
64-83
64
83
-19
49avg 75
A11/05
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
105-102
105
102
+3
100avg 75
A05/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
61-94
61
94
-33
46avg 75
H11/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
79-103
79
103
-24
68avg 75
A19/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
23-17
29-20
20-24
16-6
14-16
23-18
15-28
26-20
24-21
25-21
22-25
23-17
23-17
18-21
25-29
17-13
13-32
20-35
17-24
19-19
20-16
27-22
19-23
21-20
20-23
14-18
9-22
27-24
27-25
28-29
23-24
17-28
15-22
20-24
9-20
22-28
22-28
18-20
17-27
173.3Avg total
82.7Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.799.7181.3-18.033%
Season at home (1)61.094.0155.0-33.00%
Season away (2)92.0102.5194.5-10.550%
Last 10 (10)82.790.6173.3-7.950%
Last 5 (5)78.892.4171.2-13.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)82.495.0177.4-12.529%
vs Similar ◀ (9)90.491.3181.8-0.956%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
79-107
79
107
-28
65avg 76
A22/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
82-89
82
89
-7
74avg 76
A24/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
75-88
75
88
-13
70avg 76
H27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
JL Bourg
#1
L
48-79
48
79
-31
34avg 76
H01/10
Eurocup
Cantu
#15
W
109-69
109
69
+40
82avg 76
H05/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#6
W
107-96
107
96
+11
105avg 76
A08/10
Eurocup
Brescia
#4
L
63-72
63
72
-9
49avg 76
A11/10
Lega A
London Lions
#17
L
71-87
71
87
-16
55avg 76
A16/10
Eurocup
Tortona
#6
W
89-75
89
75
+14
87avg 76
H19/10
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#4
L
60-80
60
80
-20
51avg 76
H22/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
28-32
11-27
21-24
22-20
13-28
29-15
18-26
26-20
19-12
14-30
16-26
10-23
20-17
10-17
8-22
24-15
22-15
29-12
34-27
25-21
28-35
30-12
24-28
14-27
20-12
13-16
16-17
16-29
8-26
24-16
23-16
25-18
19-20
25-17
20-20
22-16
9-25
19-17
10-22
162.5Avg total
78.3Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.072.0159.0+15.067%
Season at home (2)99.072.0171.0+27.0100%
Season away (1)63.072.0135.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)78.384.2162.5-5.930%
Last 5 (5)78.082.0160.0-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.086.0158.0-14.020%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.881.6160.5-2.836%
vs Weaker (12)89.676.9166.5+12.783%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -7.0-7.0Q4: -3.8-3.8
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -7.0-7.0Q4: -3.8-3.8
VareseTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#15
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H30/03
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
30-22
30
22
+8
H06/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A12/04
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H19/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A27/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H04/05
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A11/05
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A05/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H11/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A19/10
Lega A
82.5Avg total
41.2Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.744.888.5-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.542.786.3+0.860%-
Last 30 away (15)43.946.890.7-2.940%-
Last 10 (10)41.241.382.5-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.046.688.6-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)42.646.489.0-3.938%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)46.340.987.2+5.478%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A22/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A24/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
JL Bourg
#1
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H01/10
Eurocup
Cantu
#15
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H05/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#6
L
53-56
53
56
-3
A08/10
Eurocup
Brescia
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A11/10
Lega A
London Lions
#17
L
24-55
24
55
-31
A16/10
Eurocup
Tortona
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H19/10
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#4
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H22/10
Eurocup
82.4Avg total
38.9Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.941.482.4-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.538.278.6+2.365%-
Last 30 away (13)41.545.787.2-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)38.943.582.4-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)37.245.883.0-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.844.680.4-8.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.544.285.6-2.736%-
vs Weaker (12)42.238.280.3+4.083%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.115.3
50.8%
54.1%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.512.7
39.1%
34.6%38.1
🏀 Free throws17.413.0
74.7%
76.1%13.0
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.7
52.0%
54.1%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.9
32.0%
34.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.314.7
76.2%
76.1%14.7
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LLWLWLWWLW
Trento
LWLLWWLLLL
#8
League position
#9
-10.3
Net rating
-7.2
106.3
Offensive rating
104.4
116.5
Defensive rating
111.7
54.9%
Effective FG%
50.4%
57.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
19.7%
Turnover %
17.7%
22.1%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
39.1%
3-point %
32.0%
59.6%
Assist %
51.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 104.4Defence116.5 · 111.7Shooting54.9% · 50.4%3-point %39.1% · 32.0%Ball care19.7% · 17.7%Off. rebounds22.1% · 28.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Varese   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Varese wins
6
Trento wins
DateGameScore
09/02/25Varese v Trento79-92
13/10/24Trento v Varese106-100
04/02/24Trento v Varese90-84
22/10/23Varese v Trento84-85
22/01/23Trento v Varese90-80
16/10/22Varese v Trento91-94 OT
30/01/22Varese v Trento90-89
28/01/22Trento v Varese84-90
28/03/21Varese v Trento88-70
22/11/20Trento v Varese74-77
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/25AReggiana79-103
11/10/25HOlimpia Milano61-94
05/10/25ASassari105-102
11/05/25AVenezia64-83
04/05/25HTrieste85-80
27/04/25AVirtus Bologna67-104
19/04/25HSassari89-84
12/04/25ABasket Napoli97-87
06/04/25HCremona85-87 OT
30/03/25HScafati95-82
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/25HTurk Telekom60-80
19/10/25HTortona89-75
16/10/25ALondon Lions71-87
11/10/25ABrescia63-72
08/10/25ABuducnost107-96
05/10/25HCantu109-69
01/10/25HJL Bourg48-79
27/09/25HBrescia75-88
24/05/25AOlimpia Milano82-89
22/05/25AOlimpia Milano79-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game81.761.092.0
Allowed / game99.794.0102.5
Point differential-18.0-33.0-10.5
Avg total181.3155.0194.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trento
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game87.099.063.0
Allowed / game72.072.072.0
Point differential+15.0+27.0-9.0
Avg total159.0171.0135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani330100%93.784.0+9.7
2 Brescia330100%85.078.3+6.7
3 Trento32167%87.072.0+15.0
4 Venezia32167%95.383.3+12.0
5 Olimpia Milano32167%80.369.0+11.3
6 Reggiana32167%85.777.7+8.0
7 Cremona32167%80.075.3+4.7
8 Virtus Bologna32167%85.384.7+0.7
9 Tortona32167%85.385.0+0.3
10 Basket Napoli31233%84.389.3-5.0
11 Trieste31233%79.090.7-11.7
12 Cantu31233%71.789.3-17.7
13 Varese31233%81.799.7-18.0
14 Sassari3030%83.086.7-3.7
15 Udine3030%74.379.7-5.3
16 Treviso3030%91.398.3-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2218181674
Trento1724212385
← all games of the day
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