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Vermont vs UMBC Retrievers Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 64-55
29-29 35-26
Position#85
Record13-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game71.0
Vermont 🏆
USA
vs
Position#43
Record12-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game70.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Vermont v UMBC Retrievers
29 Jan 2026
VERM64
UMBC55
25 Jan 2025
VERM63
UMBC80
11 Jan 2024
VERM77
UMBC72
28 Jan 2023
VERM74
UMBC68
12 Mar 2022
VERM82
UMBC43
19 Feb 2022
VERM86
UMBC59
10 Mar 2020
VERM81
UMBC74
22 Feb 2020
VERM64
UMBC66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vermont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMBC Retrievers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VermontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Merrimack Warriors
#66
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H14/12
NCAA
Siena
#78
W
83-69
83
69
+14
H18/12
NCAA
Iona
#152
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H20/12
NCAA
Princeton
#337
L
69-75 OT
69
75
-6
A30/12
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
80-61
80
61
+19
A03/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
60-59
60
59
+1
H09/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
67-62
67
62
+5
H16/01
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A19/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A22/01
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-21
36-38
41-27
42-42
40-36
38-47
32-36
31-27
39-31
41-30
31-36
29-23
32-30
35-32
29-37
39-38
40-29
37-39
30-17
32-35
137.3Avg total
71.0Scored
66.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)75.071.0146.0+4.062%
Season at home (10)75.469.8145.2+5.660%
Season away (11)74.772.1146.8+2.664%
Last 10 (10)71.066.3137.3+4.770%
Last 5 (5)66.863.2130.0+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)66.566.0132.5+0.550%
vs Similar (10)72.770.0142.7+2.760%
vs Weaker (16)71.967.5139.4+4.475%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#180
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H09/12
NCAA
Army
#318
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H12/12
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
69-94
69
94
-25
A21/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
W
93-59
93
59
+34
A29/12
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
69-62
69
62
+7
H08/01
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H10/01
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
L
74-79 OT
74
79
-5
A15/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
78-60
78
60
+18
A19/01
NCAA
NJIT
#220
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H22/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
79-56
79
56
+23
H24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-39
36-44
30-36
30-27
29-45
40-49
40-34
53-25
32-20
37-42
30-39
45-35
26-33
41-34
38-26
40-34
47-28
40-46
46-35
33-21
146.7Avg total
76.3Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)75.770.4146.1+5.463%
Season at home (10)76.764.4141.1+12.380%
Season away (9)74.777.0151.7-2.344%
Last 10 (10)76.370.4146.7+5.960%
Last 5 (5)78.668.6147.2+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.087.8164.8-10.80%
vs Similar (6)65.881.7147.5-15.817%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)78.770.6149.3+8.167%
This opponent (Vermont) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.4+4.41st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +3.8+3.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.4+4.41st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +3.8+3.8
VermontUMBC Retrievers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VermontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Merrimack Warriors
#66
W
30-21
30
21
+9
H14/12
NCAA
Siena
#78
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H18/12
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H20/12
NCAA
Princeton
#337
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A30/12
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A03/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H09/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H16/01
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A19/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A22/01
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
W
30-17
30
17
+13
A24/01
NCAA
64.4Avg total
34.4Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.431.364.7+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.931.165.0+2.956%-
Last 30 away (14)32.731.664.3+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)34.430.064.4+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)32.429.862.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)30.534.064.5-3.50%-
vs Similar (10)33.530.664.1+2.970%-
vs Weaker (16)32.831.764.4+1.144%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#180
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H09/12
NCAA
Army
#318
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H12/12
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A21/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A29/12
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
32-20
32
20
+12
H08/01
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H10/01
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A15/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A19/01
NCAA
NJIT
#220
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H22/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H24/01
NCAA
69.6Avg total
36.1Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.836.171.9-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.834.472.2+3.456%-
Last 30 away (14)33.638.071.6-4.429%-
Last 10 (10)36.133.569.6+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)37.432.269.6+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.045.683.6-7.60%-
vs Similar (6)28.238.366.5-10.217%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)37.633.370.9+4.361%-
This opponent (Vermont) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Vermont wins
2
UMBC Retrievers wins
Vermontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26ABryant University62-52
22/01/26AUMass Lowell77-68
19/01/26AAlbany Great Danes68-75
16/01/26HMaine Black Bears67-62
09/01/26HBinghamton60-59
03/01/26ANew Hampshire Wildcats80-61
30/12/25APrinceton69-75 OT
20/12/25HIona78-83
18/12/25HSiena83-69
14/12/25HMerrimack Warriors66-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26HUMass Lowell79-56
22/01/26HNJIT87-74
19/01/26ABinghamton78-60
15/01/26ABryant University74-79 OT
10/01/26HNew Hampshire Wildcats75-74
08/01/26HMaine Black Bears69-62
29/12/25ACoppin State93-59
21/12/25ASouth Florida69-94
12/12/25HArmy60-63
09/12/25HBuffalo79-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vermont
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW62%
HomeWWLWW60%
AwayLWLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %62%60%64%
Points / game75.075.474.7
Allowed / game71.069.872.1
Point differential+4.0+5.6+2.6
Avg total146.0145.2146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%20%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %10%0%18%
UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW63%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWLWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %63%80%44%
Points / game75.776.774.7
Allowed / game70.464.477.0
Point differential+5.4+12.3-2.3
Avg total146.1141.1151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%50%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %11%10%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMBC Retrievers1912763%75.770.4+5.4
2 Vermont2113862%75.071.0+4.0
3 NJIT22101245%67.875.5-7.7
4 UMass Lowell2281436%74.477.5-3.1
5 Bryant University2161529%62.770.8-8.1
6 Maine Black Bears2251723%61.367.9-6.5
7 Binghamton2351822%67.175.2-8.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Vermont293564
UMBC Retrievers292655
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