PythiaBasketballBETA
Unicaja host Pardubice on 18 November 2026 in the Basketball Champions League, and the Pythia model names the Spanish club as the clear favourite, assigning it a 94% chance of victory largely because of its undefeated 3-0 record, 94.3 points scored per game and only 74.3 points allowed, placing it first in the league; Pardubice, by contrast, sits 49th with a 0-3 record, 74.3 points scored and 86.3 allowed. Unicaja has gone 1-0 at home, averaging 99.0 points and conceding 94.0, while Pardubice is 0-2 on the road, averaging 80.0 points and giving up 90.0; the last five games for Unicaja were 3-2 and for Pardubice 4-1, with recent results including a 91-96 loss to Basket Zaragoza and a 99-94 win over Reggiana for the home side, and a 99-80 win over Opava for the visitors. Their sole previous meeting ended 79-63 in favour of Unicaja. Pythia projects a 91-73 score, 164 total points, a 94% probability that Unicaja covers the home line, a 1% chance of overtime, and a 6% chance of a Pardubice win. The game will likely finish with Unicaja's 91 points.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 94.3 | 74.3 | 168.7 | +20.0 | 100% |
| Season at home (1) | 99.0 | 94.0 | 193.0 | +5.0 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 92.0 | 64.5 | 156.5 | +27.5 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 90.4 | 82.6 | 173.0 | +7.8 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 92.2 | 87.0 | 179.2 | +5.2 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 83.3 | 90.2 | 173.5 | -6.8 | 0% |
| vs Similar (10) | 86.8 | 89.5 | 176.3 | -2.7 | 40% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (14) | 87.4 | 79.0 | 166.4 | +8.4 | 79% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 74.3 | 86.3 | 160.7 | -12.0 | 0% |
| Season at home (1) | 63.0 | 79.0 | 142.0 | -16.0 | 0% |
| Season away (2) | 80.0 | 90.0 | 170.0 | -10.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 89.7 | 80.6 | 170.3 | +9.1 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 97.2 | 89.2 | 186.4 | +8.0 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (10) | 74.6 | 84.5 | 159.1 | -9.9 | 30% |
| vs Similar (3) | 85.0 | 85.0 | 170.0 | +0.0 | 33% |
| vs Weaker (17) | 93.5 | 80.2 | 173.7 | +13.2 | 88% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.9 | 41.5 | 83.4 | +0.4 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 41.8 | 40.9 | 82.6 | +0.9 | 57% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 42.0 | 42.1 | 84.1 | -0.1 | 44% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 46.4 | 39.9 | 86.3 | +6.5 | 70% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 47.8 | 42.2 | 90.0 | +5.6 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 42.7 | 45.2 | 87.8 | -2.5 | 33% | - |
| vs Similar (10) | 44.3 | 45.2 | 89.5 | -0.9 | 40% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (14) | 39.9 | 37.3 | 77.1 | +2.6 | 64% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.3 | 40.1 | 82.4 | +2.2 | 67% | - |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 44.8 | 39.4 | 84.2 | +5.5 | 77% | - |
| Last 30 away (17) | 40.4 | 40.6 | 81.1 | -0.2 | 59% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 45.2 | 37.5 | 82.7 | +7.7 | 80% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 45.4 | 39.2 | 84.6 | +6.2 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (10) | 37.4 | 43.0 | 80.4 | -5.6 | 40% | - |
| vs Similar (3) | 47.0 | 37.7 | 84.7 | +9.3 | 100% | - |
| vs Weaker (17) | 44.4 | 38.8 | 83.2 | +5.6 | 76% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 37.9 | 21.3 | 53.1% | 42.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.5 | 8.9 | 35.3% | 26.7 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 23.7 | 18.4 | 72.1% | 18.4 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.1 | 17.9 | 53.1% | 35.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 34.3 | 11.0 | 35.3% | 33.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.2 | 15.0 | 72.1% | 15.0 |
Unicaja
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | A | Basket Zaragoza | 91-96 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Reggiana | 99-94 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Barcelona | 89-92 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Breogan | 103-90 |
| 20/10/26 | A | Pardubice | 79-63 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Manresa | 84-72 |
| 10/10/26 | H | MoraBanc Andorra | 92-84 |
| 07/10/26 | A | Juventus | 105-66 |
| 03/10/26 | H | Tenerife | 75-80 |
| 27/09/26 | A | Real Madrid | 87-89 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWW | 100% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | WW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Points / game | 94.3 | 99.0 | 92.0 |
| Allowed / game | 74.3 | 94.0 | 64.5 |
| Point differential | +20.0 | +5.0 | +27.5 |
| Avg total | 168.7 | 193.0 | 156.5 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 67% | 0% | 100% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLL | 0% |
| Home | L | 0% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Points / game | 74.3 | 63.0 | 80.0 |
| Allowed / game | 86.3 | 79.0 | 90.0 |
| Point differential | -12.0 | -16.0 | -10.0 |
| Avg total | 160.7 | 142.0 | 170.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 33% | 0% | 50% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Unicaja | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 94.3 | 74.3 | +20.0 |
| 2 |  Joventut Badalona | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 81.0 | 71.0 | +10.0 |
| 3 |  Peristeri | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 89.8 | 84.2 | +5.5 |
| 4 |  Murcia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 85.2 | 67.8 | +17.5 |
| 5 |  Spartak Subotica | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 81.0 | 72.0 | +9.0 |
| 6 |  Alba Berlin | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 94.5 | 87.0 | +7.5 |
| 7 |  Bilbao | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 93.0 | 85.8 | +7.2 |
| 8 |  Rytas | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 86.5 | 82.2 | +4.2 |
| 9 |  Dziki Warszawa | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 103.2 | 99.2 | +4.0 |
| 10 |  Breogan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 113.7 | 92.3 | +21.3 |
| 11 |  Strasbourg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 90.7 | 71.7 | +19.0 |
| 12 |  Antwerp Giants | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 90.3 | 82.0 | +8.3 |
| 13 |  CSM Oradea | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 94.7 | 87.3 | +7.3 |
| 14 |  Bonn | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 84.3 | 79.7 | +4.7 |
| 15 |  Salon Vilpas | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 86.7 | 84.0 | +2.7 |
| 16 |  Legia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 78.7 | 83.0 | -4.3 |
| 17 |  AEK Athens | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 81.0 | 87.3 | -6.3 |
| 18 |  Promitheas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 86.3 | 92.7 | -6.3 |
| 19 |  Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 80.0 | 91.7 | -11.7 |
| 20 |  Vechta | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 87.0 | 86.8 | +0.2 |
| 21 |  Cholet | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 80.2 | 72.2 | +8.0 |
| 22 | Korfez Basket | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 92.0 | 86.5 | +5.5 |
| 23 |  VEF Riga | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 100.0 | 95.0 | +5.0 |
| 24 | Sabah Baku | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 83.5 | 83.5 | +0.0 |
| 25 |  Benfica | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 87.5 | 88.0 | -0.5 |
| 26 |  Trabzonspor | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 86.5 | 88.5 | -2.0 |
| 27 |  Igokea | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 81.0 | 83.8 | -2.8 |
| 28 |  Bakken Bears | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 80.5 | 84.0 | -3.5 |
| 29 |  Hapoel Holon | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 84.5 | 88.5 | -4.0 |
| 30 |  Batumi | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 81.5 | 89.0 | -7.5 |
| 31 |  Manchester Basketball | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 79.0 | 89.0 | -10.0 |
| 32 |  Reggiana | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 83.7 | 80.0 | +3.7 |
| 33 |  Szombathely | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 81.3 | 81.0 | +0.3 |
| 34 |  FC Porto | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 74.7 | 77.7 | -3.0 |
| 35 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 77.0 | 84.0 | -7.0 |
| 36 |  Cibona | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 81.0 | 88.7 | -7.7 |
| 37 |  Varese | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 82.8 | 83.0 | -0.2 |
| 38 |  Nanterre | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 84.5 | 86.8 | -2.2 |
| 39 |  Fribourg Olympic | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 85.0 | 86.0 | -1.0 |
| 40 |  Wurzburg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 73.0 | 74.0 | -1.0 |
| 41 | Denizli Basket | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 98.0 | 101.0 | -3.0 |
| 42 |  Levice | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 87.0 | 90.0 | -3.0 |
| 43 |  AEK Larnaca | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 87.0 | 95.0 | -8.0 |
| 44 |  Geneva Lions | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 78.0 | 87.0 | -9.0 |
| 45 |  Vienna Basket | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 82.0 | 92.0 | -10.0 |
| 46 |  Zwolle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 78.0 | 89.0 | -11.0 |
| 47 |  Bnei Herzliya | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 79.3 | 91.0 | -11.7 |
| 48 |  Kolossos Rhodes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 79.0 | 91.0 | -12.0 |
| 49 | Pardubice | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 74.3 | 86.3 | -12.0 |
| 50 | Slavia Prague ERA NBK | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 81.2 | 93.2 | -12.0 |
| 51 |  Absheron Lions | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 88.0 | 105.0 | -17.0 |
| 52 |  Opava | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 99.0 | 116.0 | -17.0 |
| 53 |  Bamberg | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 70.2 | 93.0 | -22.8 |
| 54 |  Rilski Sportist | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 80.0 | 126.0 | -46.0 |
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