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Union Atletica vs Nacional Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 16 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 91-81
31-19 17-22 20-22 23-18
Position#6
Record10-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game82.8
Union Atletica 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Nacional
Uruguay
Position#2
Record13-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game83.1
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Union Atletica
Other2025-26
Meetings · Union Atletica v Nacional
16 Feb 2026
UNIO91
NACI81
03 Jan 2014
UNIO81
NACI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Union Atletica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nacional winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Union AtleticaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAtletica
Date
Competition
Malvin
#4
L
72-78
72
78
-6
60avg 75
H06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
108-93
108
93
+15
106avg 75
H10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
89-79
89
79
+10
80avg 75
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
80-88
80
88
-8
64avg 75
A18/12
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
91-75
91
75
+16
91avg 75
H09/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
87-77
87
77
+10
no box
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
96-76
96
76
+20
97avg 75
H21/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
86-79
86
79
+7
83avg 75
H29/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
79-76
79
76
+3
72avg 75
A04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
76-90
76
90
-14
67avg 75
A13/02
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-16
20-22
14-15
26-25
34-31
26-16
30-19
18-27
14-23
24-12
26-25
25-19
25-20
16-27
25-21
14-20
29-23
26-13
23-17
13-22
27-22
25-20
12-20
23-15
29-20
17-18
19-15
31-23
19-28
26-15
25-21
16-15
17-18
19-22
20-15
23-21
16-25
20-19
15-25
25-21
167.5Avg total
86.4Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)83.182.8165.8+0.350%
Season at home (10)85.983.8169.7+2.160%
Season away (10)80.381.7162.0-1.440%
Last 10 (10)86.481.1167.5+5.370%
Last 5 (5)84.879.6164.4+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)77.887.4165.2-9.640%
vs Similar (17)82.683.0165.6-0.447%
vs Weaker (8)89.680.1169.8+9.588%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Welcome
#12
W
120-91
120
91
+29
116avg 80
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Obras Sanitarias
#9
W
90-74
90
74
+16
no box
A18/01
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#7
W
95-76
95
76
+19
no box
A19/01
Champions League Americas
Bigua
#5
W
97-73
97
73
+24
91avg 80
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
94-97
94
97
-3
83avg 80
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
81-102
81
102
-21
60avg 80
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
79-53
79
53
+26
74avg 80
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Obras Sanitarias
#9
W
77-73
77
73
+4
66avg 80
A07/02
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#7
W
89-79
89
79
+10
91avg 80
H08/02
Champions League Americas
Defensor
#7
L
73-82
73
82
-9
60avg 80
A12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-14
34-29
25-28
33-20
29-20
27-15
17-18
17-21
34-22
25-17
14-14
22-23
31-18
35-15
24-18
7-22
25-24
16-26
25-26
28-21
20-20
24-31
16-23
21-28
20-18
24-12
13-13
22-10
15-16
17-24
21-19
24-14
21-27
24-18
33-24
11-10
24-38
14-15
18-16
17-13
169.5Avg total
89.5Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)91.283.1174.3+8.165%
Season at home (10)90.074.4164.4+15.690%
Season away (10)92.491.8184.2+0.640%
Last 10 (10)89.580.0169.5+9.570%
Last 5 (5)79.877.8157.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.584.5150.0-19.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)90.981.4172.3+9.579%
This opponent (Union Atletica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.0+2.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.0+2.0
Union AtleticaNacional
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Union AtleticaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malvin
#4
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A18/12
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H09/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H21/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H29/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A13/02
Liga Uruguaya
85.1Avg total
44.1Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.140.380.4-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.139.681.7+2.664%-
Last 30 away (16)38.340.979.2-2.625%-
Last 10 (10)44.141.085.1+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.041.484.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)38.246.284.4-8.020%-
vs Similar (17)39.839.078.8+0.841%-
vs Weaker (8)41.939.481.2+2.562%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Welcome
#12
W
62-43
62
43
+19
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Obras Sanitarias
#9
W
56-35
56
35
+21
A18/01
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#7
W
59-39
59
39
+20
A19/01
Champions League Americas
Bigua
#5
W
66-33
66
33
+33
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Obras Sanitarias
#9
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A07/02
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#7
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H08/02
Champions League Americas
Defensor
#7
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A12/02
Liga Uruguaya
90.6Avg total
48.7Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.342.488.7+3.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.638.784.3+6.973%-
Last 30 away (15)47.046.193.1+0.947%-
Last 10 (10)48.741.990.6+6.850%-
Last 5 (5)40.643.884.4-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.041.572.5-10.50%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)47.442.589.9+4.964%-
This opponent (Union Atletica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Union Atleticatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Union Atletica: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.821.6
57.1%
53.3%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.3
29.7%
33.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.216.4
81.2%
70.9%16.4
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.321.9
51.8%
53.3%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.8
34.5%
33.3%29.4
🏀 Free throws25.216.9
67.1%
70.9%16.9
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Union Atletica
LWWWWWLWWL
Nacional
LWWWLLWWWW
#6
League position
#2
+3.5
Net rating
+8.3
102.7
Offensive rating
98.4
99.2
Defensive rating
90.1
51.8%
Effective FG%
51.8%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
16.0%
Turnover %
14.1%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
23.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.36
29.7%
3-point %
34.5%
55.5%
Assist %
62.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.7 · 98.4Defence99.2 · 90.1Shooting51.8% · 51.8%3-point %29.7% · 34.5%Ball care16.0% · 14.1%Off. rebounds28.4% · 23.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Union Atletica   ■ Nacional
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Union Atletica wins
3
Nacional wins
DateGameScore
20/11/25Nacional v Union Atletica88-72
27/01/14Nacional v Union Atletica90-65
03/01/14Union Atletica v Nacional81-74
11/11/13Nacional v Union Atletica86-79
30/11/12Nacional v Union Atletica73-83
14/10/12Nacional v Union Atletica63-81
Union Atleticalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/26AAguada76-90
04/02/26AUrunday79-76
29/01/26HBigua86-79
21/01/26HGoes96-76
16/01/26ADefensor87-77
09/01/26HWelcome91-75
18/12/25APenarol80-88
13/12/25HCordon89-79
10/12/25HHebraica y Macabi108-93
06/12/25HMalvin72-78
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/26ADefensor73-82
08/02/26HFlamengo89-79
07/02/26AObras Sanitarias77-73
03/02/26HMalvin79-53
30/01/26AHebraica y Macabi81-102
27/01/26AUrunday94-97
23/01/26HBigua97-73
19/01/26AFlamengo95-76
18/01/26AObras Sanitarias90-74
13/01/26HWelcome120-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Union Atletica
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL50%
HomeWWWWW60%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game83.185.980.3
Allowed / game82.883.881.7
Point differential+0.3+2.1-1.4
Avg total165.8169.7162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL65%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %65%90%40%
Points / game91.290.092.4
Allowed / game83.174.491.8
Point differential+8.1+15.6+0.6
Avg total174.3164.4184.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%80%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol2118386%87.372.8+14.5
2 Aguada2014670%92.286.3+6.0
3 Nacional2013765%91.283.1+8.1
4 Hebraica y Macabi2013765%84.281.1+3.0
5 Malvin2113862%81.981.2+0.7
6 Defensor21111052%85.984.7+1.2
7 Bigua21111052%88.789.0-0.2
8 Union Atletica20101050%83.182.8+0.3
9 Urunday2191243%89.285.7+3.5
10 Goes2161529%81.288.7-7.5
11 Cordon2131814%80.894.2-13.4
12 Welcome2131814%80.595.9-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Union Atletica3117202391
Nacional1922221881
← all games of the day
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