PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

UNLV vs Boise State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 89-85 (OT)
40-39 36-37 13-9
Position#192
Record7-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game76.8
UNLV 🏆
USA
vs
Position#101
Record9-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game73.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UNLV v Boise State
13 Jan 2026
UNLV89
BOIS85
04 Feb 2025
UNLV62
BOIS71
11 Jan 2023
UNLV66
BOIS84
26 Feb 2022
UNLV76
BOIS86
05 Mar 2020
UNLV61
BOIS67
26 Feb 2020
UNLV76
BOIS66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UNLV winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boise State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#305
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A25/11
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
76-115
76
115
-39
A26/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A27/11
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
75-74
75
74
+1
A07/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H14/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H21/12
NCAA
La Sierra
#545
W
89-47
89
47
+42
H30/12
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
67-39
67
39
+28
H03/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
66-98
66
98
-32
A07/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-27
37-47
36-51
40-64
39-33
26-47
38-39
37-35
33-29
27-34
39-41
45-31
49-19
40-28
35-20
32-19
26-48
40-50
29-32
33-38
144.3Avg total
71.1Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.576.8155.3+1.747%
Season at home (8)84.270.4154.6+13.962%
Season away (7)71.984.1156.0-12.329%
Last 10 (10)71.173.2144.3-2.140%
Last 5 (5)73.665.2138.8+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)67.075.9142.9-8.99%
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.077.5159.5+4.570%
vs Weaker (9)68.258.0126.2+10.267%
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#128
L
70-81
70
81
-11
H25/11
NCAA
Chaminade Silverswords
#438
W
102-76
102
76
+26
A27/11
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A06/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
86-64
86
64
+22
H11/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H14/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A21/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H31/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
107-110 OT
107
110
-3
A04/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
58-75
58
75
-17
H08/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
68-93
68
93
-25
H11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-34
42-47
43-39
59-37
33-31
44-37
45-30
41-34
37-32
31-35
26-36
40-45
21-19
41-34
29-50
50-29
27-37
31-38
23-46
45-47
153.2Avg total
76.4Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)76.273.5149.7+2.756%
Season at home (12)72.270.1142.3+2.258%
Season away (4)88.083.8171.8+4.250%
Last 10 (10)76.476.8153.2-0.450%
Last 5 (5)72.282.4154.6-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.872.5147.2+2.275%
vs Similar ◀ (16)71.971.3143.2+0.656%
vs Weaker (10)76.164.2140.3+11.980%
This opponent (UNLV) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: -4.2-4.22nd half2nd half: -3.6-3.62nd half: +4.1+4.1
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: -4.2-4.22nd half2nd half: -3.6-3.62nd half: +4.1+4.1
UNLVBoise State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#305
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A25/11
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A26/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A27/11
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A07/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H14/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H21/12
NCAA
La Sierra
#545
W
49-19
49
19
+30
H30/12
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
35-20
35
20
+15
H03/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A07/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A10/01
NCAA
69.3Avg total
35.4Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.832.767.5+2.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.631.467.9+5.250%-
Last 30 away (14)32.834.367.1-1.543%-
Last 10 (10)35.433.969.3+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)35.632.067.6+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.535.768.3-3.218%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.837.776.5+1.150%-
vs Weaker (9)33.123.656.7+9.678%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#128
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H25/11
NCAA
Chaminade Silverswords
#438
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A27/11
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A06/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H11/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H14/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A21/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
21-19
21
19
+2
H31/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A04/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H08/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
23-46
23
46
-23
H11/01
NCAA
66.6Avg total
31.2Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.132.365.3+0.860%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.232.167.2+3.167%-
Last 30 away (12)29.932.662.5-2.750%-
Last 10 (10)31.235.466.6-4.250%-
Last 5 (5)25.237.662.8-12.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.833.064.8-1.275%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)32.033.965.9-1.944%-
vs Weaker (10)35.329.464.7+5.980%-
This opponent (UNLV) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UNLV wins
9
Boise State wins
DateGameScore
05/02/25UNLV v Boise State62-71
08/01/25Boise State v UNLV81-59
17/01/24Boise State v UNLV64-68
10/03/23Boise State v UNLV87-76 OT
20/02/23Boise State v UNLV73-69
12/01/23UNLV v Boise State66-84
27/02/22UNLV v Boise State76-86
12/02/22Boise State v UNLV69-63
14/02/21Boise State v UNLV61-59
12/02/21Boise State v UNLV78-66
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26AColorado State62-70
07/01/26AWyoming66-98
03/01/26HAir Force67-39
30/12/25HLa Sierra89-47
21/12/25HFresno State84-72
14/12/25HTennessee State60-63
07/12/25AStanford75-74
27/11/25ARutgers65-80
26/11/25AAlabama76-115
25/11/25AMaryland67-74
Boise Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26HUtah State68-93
08/01/26HGrand Canyon58-75
04/01/26ASan Diego State107-110 OT
31/12/25HNew Mexico62-53
21/12/25ANevada66-81
14/12/25HSt. Marys (CA)68-67
11/12/25HDuquesne86-64
06/12/25AButler77-68
27/11/25AChaminade Silverswords102-76
25/11/25HNC State70-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UNLV
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL47%
HomeWLWWW62%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %47%62%29%
Points / game78.584.271.9
Allowed / game76.870.484.1
Point differential+1.7+13.9-12.3
Avg total155.3154.6156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%62%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Boise State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL56%
HomeWWWLL58%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16124
Win %56%58%50%
Points / game76.272.288.0
Allowed / game73.570.183.8
Point differential+2.7+2.2+4.2
Avg total149.7142.3171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %6%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1514193%87.067.0+20.0
2 New Mexico1714382%80.866.2+14.5
3 Nevada1612475%77.171.9+5.1
4 San Diego State1511473%82.572.8+9.7
5 Wyoming1611569%84.072.7+11.3
6 Colorado State1711665%78.971.9+7.1
7 Grand Canyon1610662%74.868.6+6.2
8 Boise State169756%76.273.5+2.7
9 Fresno State178947%73.170.8+2.3
10 UNLV157847%78.576.8+1.7
11 San Jose State1761135%72.275.6-3.4
12 Air Force1731418%62.075.6-13.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
UNLV40361389
Boise State3937985
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.