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UNLV vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 87-77
48-30 39-47
Position#165
Record6-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game69.5
UNLV 🏆
USA
vs
Position#358
Record4-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game79.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · UNLV v Fresno State
20 Dec 2025
UNLV84
FRES72
28 Dec 2024
UNLV87
FRES77
30 Jan 2024
UNLV78
FRES69
03 Feb 2023
UNLV79
FRES82
14 Jan 2022
UNLV68
FRES73
26 Feb 2021
UNLV68
FRES67
24 Feb 2021
UNLV64
FRES67
08 Feb 2020
UNLV68
FRES67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UNLV winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis
#15
L
74-80
74
80
-6
H09/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H15/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#310
W
80-59
80
59
+21
H21/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H24/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
L
58-80
58
80
-22
H29/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
61-66
61
66
-5
H30/11
NCAA
Creighton
#59
L
65-83
65
83
-18
A07/12
NCAA
Pacific
#336
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H15/12
NCAA
Dayton
#62
L
65-66
65
66
-1
A18/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
W
66-53
66
53
+13
H21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-30
40-50
35-29
45-40
46-17
34-42
37-34
35-31
32-45
26-35
25-26
36-40
27-39
38-44
34-29
38-36
28-27
37-39
31-29
35-24
137.9Avg total
69.3Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)71.569.5141.0+1.955%
Season at home (9)72.968.4141.3+4.467%
Season away (2)65.074.5139.5-9.50%
Last 10 (10)69.368.6137.9+0.750%
Last 5 (5)65.866.6132.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)68.379.5147.8-11.217%
vs Similar (13)71.167.7138.8+3.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)70.962.3133.2+8.690%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSU Bakersfield
#265
L
58-74
58
74
-16
A17/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
94-83
94
83
+11
H21/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A23/11
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A27/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
81-86 OT
81
86
-5
H28/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
62-84
62
84
-22
H05/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A08/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
67-95
67
95
-28
A12/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#360
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H15/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
69-86
69
86
-17
H21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-38
23-36
53-36
41-47
28-39
44-30
36-39
37-45
27-37
38-28
24-29
38-55
25-36
41-45
27-44
40-51
32-37
41-28
35-36
34-50
152.2Avg total
71.5Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)72.179.6151.7-7.533%
Season at home (6)73.876.8150.7-3.050%
Season away (6)70.382.3152.7-12.017%
Last 10 (10)71.580.7152.2-9.230%
Last 5 (5)67.482.2149.6-14.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)66.179.0145.2-12.99%
vs Similar (7)77.970.3148.1+7.6100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (UNLV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: -4.9-4.92nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: -3.8-3.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: -4.9-4.92nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: -3.8-3.8
UNLVFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis
#15
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H09/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H15/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#310
W
46-17
46
17
+29
H21/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H24/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H29/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H30/11
NCAA
Creighton
#59
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A07/12
NCAA
Pacific
#336
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H15/12
NCAA
Dayton
#62
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A18/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H21/12
NCAA
63.4Avg total
32.9Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.831.264.0+1.660%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.429.462.8+4.172%-
Last 30 away (12)31.933.965.8-2.042%-
Last 10 (10)32.930.563.4+2.470%-
Last 5 (5)29.030.059.0-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.037.568.5-6.533%-
vs Similar (13)33.631.264.8+2.569%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)32.626.859.4+5.870%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSU Bakersfield
#265
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A17/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H21/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A23/11
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A27/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H28/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
24-29
24
29
-5
H05/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A08/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A12/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#360
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H15/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H21/12
NCAA
69.3Avg total
32.2Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.937.067.9-6.117%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.436.868.2-5.414%-
Last 30 away (16)30.437.267.7-6.819%-
Last 10 (10)32.237.169.3-4.910%-
Last 5 (5)28.636.465.0-7.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)29.337.266.4-7.913%-
vs Similar (7)36.336.672.9-0.329%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (UNLV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
UNLV wins
4
Fresno State wins
DateGameScore
15/02/24Fresno State v UNLV65-67
31/01/24UNLV v Fresno State78-69
04/02/23UNLV v Fresno State79-82
21/01/23Fresno State v UNLV76-63
17/02/22Fresno State v UNLV57-60
15/01/22UNLV v Fresno State68-73
27/02/21UNLV v Fresno State68-67
25/02/21UNLV v Fresno State64-67
09/02/20UNLV v Fresno State68-67
05/12/19Fresno State v UNLV80-81 OT
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24HUC Riverside66-53
18/12/24ADayton65-66
15/12/24HPacific72-65
07/12/24ACreighton65-83
30/11/24HNorthwestern61-66
29/11/24HMississippi St.58-80
24/11/24HNew Mexico State72-65
21/11/24HPepperdine80-59
15/11/24HNebraska O.80-69
09/11/24HMemphis74-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24HCalifornia Baptist69-86
15/12/24HSan Diego Toreros73-65
12/12/24ABrigham Young67-95
08/12/24ASanta Clara66-81
05/12/24HSan Diego State62-84
28/11/24HCalifornia Baptist81-86 OT
27/11/24AWashington State73-84
23/11/24ALong Beach State72-69
21/11/24HPrairie View A&M94-83
17/11/24ACSU Bakersfield58-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UNLV
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW55%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1192
Win %55%67%0%
Points / game71.572.965.0
Allowed / game69.568.474.5
Point differential+1.9+4.4-9.5
Avg total141.0141.3139.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fresno State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeWLLWL50%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%50%17%
Points / game72.173.870.3
Allowed / game79.676.882.3
Point differential-7.5-3.0-12.0
Avg total151.7150.7152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1312192%83.965.7+18.2
2 Boise State1310377%78.966.2+12.7
3 New Mexico1310377%86.274.8+11.3
4 San Diego State118373%74.463.5+10.8
5 Grand Canyon139469%77.269.7+7.5
6 Nevada138562%75.566.2+9.3
7 Wyoming138562%73.170.8+2.3
8 UNLV116555%71.569.5+1.9
9 Colorado State137654%72.970.5+2.5
10 San Jose State147750%78.172.6+5.5
11 Fresno State124833%72.179.6-7.5
12 Air Force123925%65.769.4-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UNLV483987
Fresno State304777
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